Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, December 18, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Warriors	65%	116	98	97.0	101	98.9
	18	Suns	35%	110	99	99.0	100	102.2

Prediction updated: Dec 19, 2025 01:38 AM

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+18

-20

PHX

+14

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.00 50.0%

PHX

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	33.9	31	78%	3	3	1	0	2	1	1	2	8-9	89%	10-16	63%	1-1	100%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	33.3	15	50%	9	7	1	0	2	1	1	8	7-7	100%	1-4	25%	2-9	22%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	30.4	5	25%	8	3	1	1	1	3	2	6	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-6	17%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	30.1	7	39%	6	3	2	2	5	2	2	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	26.6	9	30%	11	1	1	0	1	5	4	7	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	2-10	20%

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	27.8	18	82%	2	2	1	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	6-8	75%	2-3	67%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	14.9	2	17%	0	2	2	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	13.7	6	150%	5	2	0	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	10.0	3	75%	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	9.5	2	20%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	6.8	0	0%	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	3.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Glute; Injury Management
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	50%	54	27	9	3	20	20	15	39	16-18	89%	23-47	49%	12-42	29%

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3 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	33.9	31	78%	3	3	1	0	2	1	1	2	8-9	89%	10-16	63%	1-1	100%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	33.3	15	50%	9	7	1	0	2	1	1	8	7-7	100%	1-4	25%	2-9	22%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	30.4	5	25%	8	3	1	1	1	3	2	6	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-6	17%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	30.1	7	39%	6	3	2	2	5	2	2	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	26.6	9	30%	11	1	1	0	1	5	4	7	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	2-10	20%

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	27.8	18	82%	2	2	1	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	6-8	75%	2-3	67%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	14.9	2	17%	0	2	2	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	13.7	6	150%	5	2	0	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	10.0	3	75%	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	9.5	2	20%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	6.8	0	0%	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	3.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Glute; Injury Management
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	50%	54	27	9	3	20	20	15	39	16-18	89%	23-47	49%	12-42	29%

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18 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Collin Gillespie #12 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 26	33.7	16	57%	6	5	2	1	3	2	1	5	5-5	100%	4-6	67%	1-6	17%
Dillon Brooks #3 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 30	33.0	24	52%	7	2	1	0	3	4	3	4	0-1	0%	6-14	43%	4-9	44%
Devin Booker #1 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	33.0	25	60%	2	2	1	0	3	2	0	2	5-6	83%	7-13	54%	2-6	33%
Royce O'Neale #00 · PF · 6'6" 226 · 33	31.3	9	45%	5	3	3	0	1	1	1	4	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	2-5	40%
Mark Williams #15 · C · 7'1" 240 · 24	19.0	6	75%	4	1	1	1	1	2	1	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Jordan Goodwin #23 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 27	30.1	9	35%	6	3	2	1	0	3	3	3	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	1-7	14%
Oso Ighodaro #11 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 23	28.4	2	33%	13	0	5	1	2	1	3	10	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Ryan Dunn #0 · SF · 6'7" 216 · 23	17.2	4	67%	2	2	0	1	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Jamaree Bouyea #17 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 26	14.3	4	40%	4	1	1	1	0	0	0	4	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Nigel Hayes-Davis #21 · SF · 6'7" 254 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nick Richards #2 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rasheer Fleming #20 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Khaman Maluach #10 · C · 7'1" 250 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Koby Brea #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Grayson Allen #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Isaiah Livers #18 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	50%	49	19	16	6	15	17	12	37	17-22	77%	26-53	49%	10-35	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	PHX
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	PHX

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.00 50.0%

PHX

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

57%

PHX

58%

Midrange

GSW

37%

PHX

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

18.0

29%

43%

PHX

15.0

29%

43%

Free Throws

GSW

89%

PHX

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	31	78%	15.5 / 20
B. Podziemski	18	82%	9.0 / 11
S. Curry	15	50%	7.5 / 15
Q. Post	9	30%	4.5 / 15
D. Green	7	39%	3.5 / 9
G. Santos	6	150%	3.0 / 2
M. Moody	5	25%	2.5 / 10
B. Hield	3	75%	1.5 / 2
D. Melton	2	17%	1.0 / 6
J. Kuminga	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Booker	25	60%	12.5 / 21
D. Brooks	24	52%	12.0 / 23
C. Gillespie	16	57%	8.0 / 14
R. O'Neale	9	45%	4.5 / 10
J. Goodwin	9	35%	4.5 / 13
M. Williams	6	75%	3.0 / 4
R. Dunn	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Bouyea	4	40%	2.0 / 5
O. Ighodaro	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.0 18 114.3	GSW 97.0 PHX 99.0 +2.0
Pace	18 99.9 23 98.2	GSW 98.9 PHX 102.2 +3.3
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.7 12 14.5	GSW 14.6 PHX 14.1 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 19 53.7%	GSW 46.1% PHX 46.6% +0.5%
TO %	28 14.9% 16 13.7%	GSW 17.1% PHX 13.3% −3.8%
ORB %	14 25.8% 7 28.9%	GSW 28.8% +5.3% PHX 23.5%
FTrt	24 23.8 28 22.5	GSW 20.2 PHX 25.0 +4.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.6% 23 60.1%	GSW 77.1% +24.3% PHX 52.8%
STL %	3 9.6% 2 9.7%	GSW 8.9% PHX 16.0% +7.1%
BLK %	27 8.0% 21 8.4%	GSW 5.7% PHX 12.8% +7.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.1% 27 55.3%	GSW 50.0% PHX 50.0%
Rim FG%	5 66.7% 18 64.0%	GSW 57.1% PHX 58.3% +1.2%
Mid FG%	22 42.1% 17 43.3%	GSW 36.8% PHX 41.4% +4.6%
3P %	20 35.6% 12 36.1%	GSW 28.6% PHX 28.6%
FT %	6 80.7% 15 78.1%	GSW 88.9% +11.6% PHX 77.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.5% 29 26.3%	GSW 31.5% +4.2% PHX 27.3%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 22 28.4%	GSW 21.3% −11.6% PHX 33.0%
3P Att. %	1 49.7% 7 45.3%	GSW 47.2% +7.4% PHX 39.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	PHX
Possessions	101	100
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	98	99
Rebounds	54	49
Assists	27	19
Steals	9	16
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	20 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls	20	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (3)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (2)	37 (1)
Field Goals	35-89	36-88
At-the-Rim FG	16-28	14-24
Midrange FG	7-19	12-29
2-Point FG	23-47	26-53
3-Point FG	12-42	10-35
Free Throws	16-18	17-22
Fast Break Pts	6	22
2nd Chance Pts	10	7
Points in Paint	38	42
Pts off Turnovers	18	30
Bench Points	31	19
Biggest Lead	14	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg