Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, December 22, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Hornets	25%	114	132	133.3	99	95.9
	6	Cavaliers	75%	123	139	136.3	102	105.4

Prediction updated: Dec 22, 2025 11:31 PM

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+23

-19

103

CLE

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.27 63.5%

CLE

1.43 71.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

24 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kon Knueppel #7 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	30.8	20	83%	1	2	0	0	3	2	0	1	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	5-9	56%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 28	29.6	17	50%	6	4	0	1	1	0	2	4	5-7	71%	6-11	55%	0-3	0%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	26.7	20	77%	1	3	2	1	3	3	0	1	2-3	67%	6-9	67%	2-4	50%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	24.4	23	77%	4	9	0	0	3	1	0	4	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	6-10	60%
Mason Plumlee #22 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	10.0	5	63%	5	0	0	0	3	2	2	3	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24	28.4	5	31%	14	2	6	0	3	4	6	8	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	21.5	2	25%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Sion James #4 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 23	20.7	7	50%	1	3	0	0	1	2	0	1	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	19.5	10	100%	1	1	2	0	1	1	1	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	3-4	75%
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25	17.3	13	54%	5	3	0	1	1	1	4	1	0-0	-	2-8	25%	3-5	60%
Liam McNeeley #33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20	5.5	7	88%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Pat Connaughton #21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33	5.5	3	150%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	INACTIVE
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Drew Peterson #9 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Collin Sexton #8 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quadriceps; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	64%	44	29	10	3	19	18	17	27	19-25	76%	25-52	48%	21-42	50%

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24 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kon Knueppel #7 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	30.8	20	83%	1	2	0	0	3	2	0	1	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	5-9	56%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 28	29.6	17	50%	6	4	0	1	1	0	2	4	5-7	71%	6-11	55%	0-3	0%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	26.7	20	77%	1	3	2	1	3	3	0	1	2-3	67%	6-9	67%	2-4	50%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	24.4	23	77%	4	9	0	0	3	1	0	4	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	6-10	60%
Mason Plumlee #22 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	10.0	5	63%	5	0	0	0	3	2	2	3	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24	28.4	5	31%	14	2	6	0	3	4	6	8	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	21.5	2	25%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Sion James #4 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 23	20.7	7	50%	1	3	0	0	1	2	0	1	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	19.5	10	100%	1	1	2	0	1	1	1	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	3-4	75%
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25	17.3	13	54%	5	3	0	1	1	1	4	1	0-0	-	2-8	25%	3-5	60%
Liam McNeeley #33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20	5.5	7	88%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Pat Connaughton #21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33	5.5	3	150%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	INACTIVE
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Drew Peterson #9 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Collin Sexton #8 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quadriceps; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	64%	44	29	10	3	19	18	17	27	19-25	76%	25-52	48%	21-42	50%

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6 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	30.4	27	79%	5	10	2	0	3	4	3	2	4-4	100%	4-9	44%	5-6	83%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 29	28.7	30	79%	4	5	0	0	3	5	1	3	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	6-11	55%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	27.9	14	88%	7	2	0	0	0	0	0	7	2-2	100%	0-0	-	4-7	57%
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	20.0	0	0%	1	3	3	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-5	0%	0-1	0%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	19.8	12	100%	5	2	1	2	2	4	1	4	4-4	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-

Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	25.9	4	29%	1	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	25.7	27	96%	5	1	1	0	2	3	1	4	5-5	100%	5-8	63%	4-5	80%
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 28	23.8	6	60%	2	7	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	19.6	10	100%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-3	67%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	12.7	5	63%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	2.9	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	2.4	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chris Livingston #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	139	72%	31	36	9	2	13	20	6	25	19-19	100%	24-43	56%	24-44	55%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	CLE
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	CLE

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.27 63.5%

CLE

1.43 71.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

52%

CLE

73%

Midrange

CHA

43%

CLE

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

31.5

50%

75%

CLE

36.0

55%

82%

Free Throws

CHA

76%

CLE

100%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Ball	23	77%	11.5 / 15
K. Knueppel	20	83%	10.0 / 12
B. Miller	20	77%	10.0 / 13
M. Bridges	17	50%	8.5 / 17
T. Mann	13	54%	6.5 / 12
J. Green	10	100%	5.0 / 5
S. James	7	50%	3.5 / 7
L. McNeeley	7	88%	3.5 / 4
M. Plumlee	5	63%	2.5 / 4
M. Diabaté	5	31%	2.5 / 8
P. Connaughton	3	150%	1.5 / 1
T. Salaün	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell	30	79%	15.0 / 19
D. Garland	27	79%	13.5 / 17
D. Hunter	27	96%	13.5 / 14
D. Wade	14	88%	7.0 / 8
J. Allen	12	100%	6.0 / 6
T. Bryant	10	100%	5.0 / 5
L. Ball	6	60%	3.0 / 5
N. Tomlin	5	63%	2.5 / 4
S. Merrill	4	29%	2.0 / 7
C. Porter	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Proctor	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Tyson	0	-	0.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 118.6 6 118.3	CHA 133.3 CLE 136.3 +2.9
Pace	27 97.5 12 100.6	CHA 95.9 CLE 105.4 +9.4
Avg. Poss. Time	3 15.2 21 14.1	CHA 15.0 CLE 13.7 −1.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.2% 5 56.1%	CHA 60.1% CLE 69.0% +8.9%
TO %	27 14.8% 10 13.2%	CHA 16.0% CLE 12.0% −4.0%
ORB %	4 30.5% 9 26.9%	CHA 40.5% +22.3% CLE 18.2%
FTrt	23 24.4 15 26.5	CHA 26.6 +4.8 CLE 21.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 64.3% 11 65.3%	CHA 63.0% CLE 75.0% +12.0%
STL %	29 7.2% 15 8.4%	CHA 10.1% +1.3% CLE 8.8%
BLK %	20 8.6% 11 9.8%	CHA 7.0% +3.2% CLE 3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.3% 5 58.2%	CHA 63.5% CLE 71.6% +8.1%
Rim FG%	23 63.1% 7 66.1%	CHA 51.7% CLE 72.7% +21.0%
Mid FG%	25 41.4% 3 46.8%	CHA 43.5% +5.4% CLE 38.1%
3P %	3 37.8% 13 36.0%	CHA 50.0% CLE 54.5% +4.5%
FT %	2 81.8% 19 77.6%	CHA 76.0% CLE 100.0% +24.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 29.3% 14 31.7%	CHA 30.9% +5.6% CLE 25.3%
Mid Att. %	6 22.0% 8 24.1%	CHA 24.5% CLE 24.1% −0.3%
3P Att. %	2 48.7% 9 44.2%	CHA 44.7% CLE 50.6% +5.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHA	CLE
Possessions	99	102
Possession Minutes	24.8	23.2
Points	132	139
Rebounds	44	31
Assists	29	36
Steals	10	9
Blocks	3	2
Turnovers (Team)	19 (1)	13 (0)
Fouls	18	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (6)	6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (4)	25 (2)
Field Goals	46-94	48-87
At-the-Rim FG	15-29	16-22
Midrange FG	10-23	8-21
2-Point FG	25-52	24-43
3-Point FG	21-42	24-44
Free Throws	19-25	19-19
Fast Break Pts	22	18
2nd Chance Pts	20	7
Points in Paint	40	42
Pts off Turnovers	17	31
Bench Points	47	56
Biggest Lead	6	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg