Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, December 11, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | Pelicans | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | Celtics | ||||
 | Bucks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, December 10, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 5 | Lakers | |||
Tuesday, December 9, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Heat | |||
 | 7 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Knicks | |||
 | 16 | Raptors | |||
Monday, December 8, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | |||
 | 9 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | |||
| 26 | Pelicans | |||
Sunday, December 7, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Magic | |||
| 5 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celtics | |||
| 17 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Blazers | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | |||
 | 24 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
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Saturday, December 6, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pelicans | |||
 | 29 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | |||
 | 13 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | |||
| 12 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | |||
| 9 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | |||
 | 23 | Mavericks | |||
Friday, December 5, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | |||
| 8 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | |||
| 7 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Blazers | |||
| 13 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nuggets | |||
| 11 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | |||
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | |||
| 5 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | |||
| 17 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | |||
| 21 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | |||
| 3 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | |||
| 16 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | |||
| 20 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | |||
| 1 | Thunder | |||
Thursday, December 4, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warriors | |||
| 19 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | |||
| 18 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | |||
| 29 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | |||
| 26 | Pelicans | |||
Wednesday, December 3, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | |||
| 6 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | |||
| 25 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Blazers | |||
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | |||
| 4 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | |||
| 10 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | |||
| 21 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | |||
| 3 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | |||
| 20 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | |||
| 22 | Mavericks | |||
Tuesday, December 2, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| 19 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Blazers | |||
| 18 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Grizzlies | |||
| 7 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | |||
| 26 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | |||
| 9 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 15 | Warriors | |||
Monday, December 1, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | |||
| 12 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| 25 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | |||
| 29 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | |||
| 11 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | |||
| 6 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | |||
| 27 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | |||
| 13 | Nuggets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | |||
| 4 | Lakers | |||
Sunday, November 30, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | |||
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | |||
| 6 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pelicans | |||
| 4 | Lakers | |||
Friday, November 28, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 62% | 119 | 123 |
| 16 | Hawks | 38% | 115 | 130 |
Updated: Nov 29, 2025 12:21 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 30% | 115 | 109 |
| 6 | Knicks | 70% | 121 | 118 |
Updated: Nov 29, 2025 12:21 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 44% | 116 | 86 |
| 28 | Pacers | 56% | 118 | 119 |
Updated: Nov 29, 2025 12:21 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Magic | 47% | 113 | 112 |
| 12 | Pistons | 53% | 114 | 109 |
Updated: Nov 29, 2025 12:21 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 51% | 125 | 116 |
| 23 | Hornets | 49% | 124 | 123 |
Updated: Nov 29, 2025 12:21 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Spurs | 34% | 117 | 139 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 66% | 122 | 136 |
Updated: Nov 29, 2025 02:34 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 13% | 103 | 119 |
| 1 | Thunder | 87% | 118 | 123 |
Updated: Nov 29, 2025 02:34 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | 39% | 111 | 112 |
| 13 | Clippers | 61% | 115 | 107 |
Updated: Nov 29, 2025 03:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 24% | 111 | 119 |
| 4 | Lakers | 76% | 121 | 129 |
Updated: Nov 29, 2025 03:01 AM
game detail