Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, December 1, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Cavaliers	59%	117	135	136.4	99	100.4
	23	Pacers	41%	114	119	120.2	99	97.7

Scoring Opportunities

CLE

+23

-8

114

IND

+18

-14

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.19 59.7%

IND

1.16 57.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

12 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'2" 215 · 29	34.5	43	72%	9	6	0	0	3	2	3	6	7-9	78%	12-17	71%	4-10	40%
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	30.8	27	96%	11	4	1	0	2	3	5	6	3-3	100%	6-8	75%	4-5	80%
Evan Mobley #4 · C · 6'11" 215 · 24	28.2	13	46%	5	5	0	2	0	5	1	4	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	0-3	0%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · PF · 6'7" 221 · 28	27.9	13	50%	3	4	0	0	1	3	1	2	3-6	50%	2-4	50%	2-6	33%
Dean Wade #32 · SF · 6'9" 228 · 29	25.7	9	64%	2	3	1	0	1	6	1	1	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	1-4	25%

Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	27.3	6	43%	6	1	2	4	1	2	3	3	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	22.4	4	40%	5	3	1	2	0	4	2	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	21.5	12	55%	2	0	1	0	0	2	1	1	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	3-7	43%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	12.1	6	50%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 24	8.7	2	33%	3	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Chris Livingston #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Sprain
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Injury Management
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 3rd Finger; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	135	60%	48	27	7	8	8	28	19	29	21-29	72%	36-58	62%	14-40	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

12 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'2" 215 · 29	34.5	43	72%	9	6	0	0	3	2	3	6	7-9	78%	12-17	71%	4-10	40%
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	30.8	27	96%	11	4	1	0	2	3	5	6	3-3	100%	6-8	75%	4-5	80%
Evan Mobley #4 · C · 6'11" 215 · 24	28.2	13	46%	5	5	0	2	0	5	1	4	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	0-3	0%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · PF · 6'7" 221 · 28	27.9	13	50%	3	4	0	0	1	3	1	2	3-6	50%	2-4	50%	2-6	33%
Dean Wade #32 · SF · 6'9" 228 · 29	25.7	9	64%	2	3	1	0	1	6	1	1	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	1-4	25%

Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	27.3	6	43%	6	1	2	4	1	2	3	3	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	22.4	4	40%	5	3	1	2	0	4	2	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	21.5	12	55%	2	0	1	0	0	2	1	1	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	3-7	43%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	12.1	6	50%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 24	8.7	2	33%	3	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Chris Livingston #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Sprain
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Injury Management
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 3rd Finger; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	135	60%	48	27	7	8	8	28	19	29	21-29	72%	36-58	62%	14-40	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

23 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	32.5	21	75%	4	6	0	0	2	1	1	3	5-6	83%	5-9	56%	2-2	100%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	31.3	26	54%	7	2	0	0	0	2	5	2	4-6	67%	11-18	61%	0-3	0%
Jarace Walker #5 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 22	29.3	7	35%	5	3	2	0	2	1	0	5	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-5	0%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	25.8	15	75%	3	1	0	3	1	3	3	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-6	50%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	21.8	11	50%	4	1	0	0	3	3	0	4	3-5	60%	1-5	20%	2-4	50%

Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 29	25.3	15	125%	1	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	6-9	67%	0-0	-	3-3	100%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	17.6	0	0%	2	3	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #25 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	16.8	5	42%	5	0	0	1	1	4	1	4	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	15.5	6	75%	3	0	1	2	2	3	2	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28	6.7	6	50%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	5.9	4	67%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	4.7	1	25%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee MCL; Sprain
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Stress Reaction
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	58%	36	19	5	6	14	22	14	22	27-37	73%	31-55	56%	10-30	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	IND
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.19 59.7%

IND

1.16 57.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CLE

77%

IND

69%

Midrange

CLE

46%

IND

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CLE

21.0

35%

53%

IND

15.0

33%

50%

Free Throws

CLE

72%

IND

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell	43	72%	21.5 / 30
J. Tyson	27	96%	13.5 / 14
E. Mobley	13	46%	6.5 / 14
D. Hunter	13	50%	6.5 / 13
T. Proctor	12	55%	6.0 / 11
D. Wade	9	64%	4.5 / 7
N. Tomlin	6	43%	3.0 / 7
T. Bryant	6	50%	3.0 / 6
C. Porter	4	40%	2.0 / 5
L. Travers	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Siakam	26	54%	13.0 / 24
A. Nembhard	21	75%	10.5 / 14
J. Huff	15	75%	7.5 / 10
G. Mathews	15	125%	7.5 / 6
B. Mathurin	11	50%	5.5 / 11
J. Walker	7	35%	3.5 / 10
I. Jackson	6	75%	3.0 / 4
T. Bradley	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Robinson-Earl	5	42%	2.5 / 6
T. McConnell	4	67%	2.0 / 3
E. Thompson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Peter	1	25%	0.5 / 2
B. Sheppard	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 118.3 28 110.1	CLE 136.4 +16.2 IND 120.2
Pace	12 100.6 10 101.4	CLE 100.4 +2.7 IND 97.7
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.1 25 13.9	CLE 14.3 −0.4 IND 14.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 56.1% 23 53.3%	CLE 58.2% +4.1% IND 54.1%
TO %	10 13.2% 14 13.6%	CLE 7.5% −4.6% IND 12.1%
ORB %	9 26.9% 29 21.7%	CLE 46.3% +13.7% IND 32.6%
FTrt	15 26.5 20 25.2	CLE 29.6 IND 43.5 +13.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 65.3% 5 67.8%	CLE 54.0% +7.7% IND 46.3%
STL %	15 8.4% 28 7.2%	CLE 7.1% +2.0% IND 5.1%
BLK %	11 9.8% 26 8.1%	CLE 14.5% +4.2% IND 10.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.2% 24 55.4%	CLE 59.7% +1.9% IND 57.8%
Rim FG%	7 66.1% 25 62.9%	CLE 76.7% +7.9% IND 68.8%
Mid FG%	3 46.8% 19 42.7%	CLE 46.4% +7.3% IND 39.1%
3P %	13 36.0% 18 35.6%	CLE 35.0% +1.7% IND 33.3%
FT %	19 77.6% 17 77.6%	CLE 72.4% IND 73.0% +0.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 31.7% 23 30.3%	CLE 30.6% IND 37.6% +7.0%
Mid Att. %	8 24.1% 18 27.5%	CLE 28.6% IND 27.1% −1.5%
3P Att. %	9 44.2% 14 42.2%	CLE 40.8% +5.5% IND 35.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CLE	IND
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	135	119
Rebounds	48	36
Assists	27	19
Steals	7	5
Blocks	8	6
Turnovers (Team)	8 (1)	14 (0)
Fouls	28	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	19 (4)	14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (1)	22 (6)
Field Goals	50-98	41-85
At-the-Rim FG	23-30	22-32
Midrange FG	13-28	9-23
2-Point FG	36-58	31-55
3-Point FG	14-40	10-30
Free Throws	21-29	27-37
Fast Break Pts	16	12
2nd Chance Pts	28	25
Points in Paint	62	58
Pts off Turnovers	17	13
Bench Points	30	39
Biggest Lead	21	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg