Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, December 8, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Timberwolves | 72% | 116 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 29 | Pelicans | 28% | 114 | 132 |
Sunday, December 7, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Magic | 49% | 114 | 100 |
 | 10 | Knicks | 51% | 115 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Celtics | 62% | 114 | 121 |
 | 18 | Raptors | 38% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Hornets | 21% | 113 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Bulls | 44% | 114 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Lakers | 51% | 119 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Thunder | 84% | 120 | 131 |
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Saturday, December 6, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pelicans | 38% | 113 | 101 |
 | 23 | Nets | 62% | 117 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Warriors | 35% | 113 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Bucks | 23% | 108 | 112 |
 | 10 | Pistons | 77% | 118 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 27% | 112 | 127 |
 | 11 | Heat | 73% | 120 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 2 | Timberwolves | 70% | 116 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Mavericks | 32% | 108 | 122 |
Friday, December 5, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Lakers | 19% | 108 | 105 |
| 3 | Celtics | 81% | 119 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 38% | 113 | 105 |
| 6 | Magic | 62% | 117 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Jazz | 13% | 113 | 112 |
| 2 | Knicks | 87% | 128 | 146 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 52% | 119 | 134 |
| 13 | Hawks | 48% | 118 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Spurs | 35% | 116 | 117 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 65% | 121 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Blazers | 34% | 114 | 116 |
| 9 | Pistons | 66% | 119 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 34% | 112 | 111 |
| 12 | Raptors | 66% | 118 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pacers | 42% | 115 | 120 |
| 22 | Bulls | 58% | 118 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 24% | 106 | 98 |
| 4 | Rockets | 76% | 115 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 46% | 112 | 98 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 54% | 113 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 46% | 113 | 116 |
| 24 | Bucks | 54% | 115 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Mavericks | 11% | 104 | 111 |
| 1 | Thunder | 89% | 120 | 132 |
Thursday, December 4, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Warriors | 49% | 112 | 98 |
| 19 | 76ers | 51% | 113 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 83% | 120 | 146 |
| 30 | Wizards | 17% | 108 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Jazz | 52% | 117 | 123 |
| 28 | Nets | 48% | 116 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Lakers | 39% | 113 | 123 |
| 15 | Raptors | 61% | 116 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 79% | 120 | 125 |
| 29 | Pelicans | 21% | 110 | 116 |
Wednesday, December 3, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | 27% | 111 | 114 |
| 6 | Magic | 73% | 119 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 72% | 122 | 135 |
| 25 | Pacers | 28% | 114 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Blazers | 23% | 116 | 122 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 77% | 126 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 22% | 114 | 104 |
| 5 | Knicks | 78% | 124 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Clippers | 38% | 110 | 115 |
| 10 | Hawks | 62% | 114 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pistons | 56% | 115 | 109 |
| 17 | Bucks | 44% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 12% | 106 | 95 |
| 2 | Rockets | 88% | 121 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 42% | 113 | 113 |
| 24 | Bulls | 58% | 116 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 62% | 119 | 108 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 38% | 115 | 118 |
Tuesday, December 2, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 18% | 110 | 102 |
| 22 | 76ers | 82% | 122 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Blazers | 37% | 113 | 118 |
| 14 | Raptors | 63% | 117 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 44% | 115 | 117 |
| 4 | Celtics | 56% | 117 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 80% | 120 | 149 |
| 29 | Pelicans | 20% | 109 | 142 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 44% | 116 | 119 |
| 18 | Spurs | 56% | 118 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 72% | 114 | 124 |
| 10 | Warriors | 28% | 107 | 112 |
Monday, December 1, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 74% | 121 | 126 |
| 30 | Wizards | 26% | 113 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cavaliers | 59% | 117 | 135 |
| 24 | Pacers | 41% | 114 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 36% | 112 | 98 |
| 10 | Pistons | 64% | 117 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 24% | 111 | 120 |
| 7 | Magic | 76% | 120 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | 35% | 113 | 123 |
| 8 | Heat | 65% | 119 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 53% | 116 | 103 |
| 28 | Nets | 47% | 115 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 80% | 121 | 125 |
| 27 | Jazz | 20% | 110 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Mavericks | 23% | 112 | 131 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 77% | 122 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | 34% | 115 | 125 |
| 6 | Lakers | 66% | 120 | 108 |
Sunday, November 30, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 81% | 123 | 129 |
| 26 | Jazz | 19% | 111 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Celtics | 28% | 113 | 117 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 72% | 121 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 26% | 113 | 94 |
| 4 | Knicks | 74% | 121 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 48% | 117 | 142 |
| 18 | 76ers | 52% | 118 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 86% | 122 | 123 |
| 24 | Blazers | 14% | 108 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Spurs | 39% | 115 | 112 |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 61% | 118 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 63% | 119 | 115 |
| 27 | Kings | 37% | 114 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pelicans | 11% | 108 | 121 |
| 9 | Lakers | 89% | 124 | 133 |
Saturday, November 29, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 42% | 112 | 115 |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 58% | 114 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 64% | 120 | 111 |
| 21 | Hornets | 36% | 115 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 49% | 119 | 101 |
| 25 | Pacers | 51% | 120 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pistons | 33% | 113 | 138 |
| 10 | Heat | 67% | 119 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 22% | 107 | 99 |
| 18 | Bucks | 78% | 117 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 23% | 108 | 96 |
| 12 | Warriors | 77% | 118 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 53% | 119 | 130 |
| 17 | Suns | 47% | 118 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Mavericks | 23% | 105 | 114 |
| 11 | Clippers | 77% | 115 | 110 |
Friday, November 28, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 51% | 125 | 116 |
| 22 | Hornets | 49% | 124 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 62% | 119 | 123 |
| 17 | Hawks | 38% | 115 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 59% | 114 | 115 |
| 30 | Nets | 41% | 111 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Magic | 47% | 113 | 112 |
| 13 | Pistons | 53% | 114 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 44% | 116 | 86 |
| 28 | Pacers | 56% | 118 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 30% | 115 | 109 |
| 6 | Knicks | 70% | 121 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Spurs | 34% | 117 | 139 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 66% | 122 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 44% | 119 | 119 |
| 23 | Jazz | 56% | 121 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 13% | 103 | 119 |
| 1 | Thunder | 87% | 118 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 24% | 111 | 119 |
| 4 | Lakers | 76% | 121 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | 39% | 111 | 112 |
| 11 | Clippers | 61% | 115 | 107 |
Wednesday, November 26, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 41% | 113 | 114 |
| 7 | Celtics | 59% | 115 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 64% | 124 | 129 |
| 20 | Hornets | 36% | 119 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 24% | 112 | 103 |
| 12 | Heat | 76% | 121 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pacers | 27% | 112 | 95 |
| 14 | Raptors | 73% | 120 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 25% | 106 | 105 |
| 1 | Thunder | 75% | 115 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | 62% | 119 | 133 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 38% | 115 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 46% | 111 | 104 |
| 3 | Warriors | 54% | 113 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Spurs | 51% | 119 | 115 |
| 22 | Blazers | 49% | 118 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | 61% | 117 | 112 |
| 27 | Kings | 39% | 114 | 100 |
Tuesday, November 25, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 81% | 124 | 113 |
| 30 | Wizards | 19% | 112 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 58% | 116 | 144 |
| 23 | 76ers | 42% | 113 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 34% | 112 | 118 |
| 3 | Lakers | 66% | 117 | 135 |