Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, December 1, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Rockets	80%	121	125	116.8	107	100.9
	26	Jazz	20%	110	133	123.1	108	115.0

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+18

-13

112

UTA

+17

-13

112

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.13 56.3%

UTA

1.20 59.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

2 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Durant #7 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 37	40.3	32	53%	9	5	0	0	5	3	0	9	10-12	83%	8-18	44%	2-7	29%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	38.1	31	74%	8	14	2	5	3	4	3	5	6-8	75%	11-16	69%	1-3	33%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23	37.4	12	50%	7	1	1	1	3	5	2	5	5-6	83%	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Amen Thompson #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	37.2	23	57%	8	3	0	2	2	4	3	5	7-9	78%	8-13	62%	0-3	0%
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	23.4	9	56%	2	2	1	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-7	43%

Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	32.6	10	45%	2	2	0	0	0	3	0	2	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	3-7	43%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	12.9	6	75%	6	0	2	0	0	1	5	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	9.0	2	33%	3	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	9.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	DND – Rest
Kevon Harris #00 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Oblique; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	56%	46	27	6	8	13	26	16	30	33-41	80%	31-59	53%	10-34	29%

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2 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Durant #7 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 37	40.3	32	53%	9	5	0	0	5	3	0	9	10-12	83%	8-18	44%	2-7	29%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	38.1	31	74%	8	14	2	5	3	4	3	5	6-8	75%	11-16	69%	1-3	33%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23	37.4	12	50%	7	1	1	1	3	5	2	5	5-6	83%	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Amen Thompson #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	37.2	23	57%	8	3	0	2	2	4	3	5	7-9	78%	8-13	62%	0-3	0%
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	23.4	9	56%	2	2	1	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-7	43%

Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	32.6	10	45%	2	2	0	0	0	3	0	2	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	3-7	43%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	12.9	6	75%	6	0	2	0	0	1	5	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	9.0	2	33%	3	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	9.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	DND – Rest
Kevon Harris #00 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Oblique; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	56%	46	27	6	8	13	26	16	30	33-41	80%	31-59	53%	10-34	29%

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26 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	37.3	29	66%	8	0	1	0	0	1	2	6	9-11	82%	7-14	50%	2-3	67%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	37.1	28	70%	4	8	1	0	6	5	0	4	10-12	83%	6-8	75%	2-6	33%
Ace Bailey #19 · SG · 6'9" 200 · 19	28.4	13	59%	3	3	2	3	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-8	38%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 28	26.1	10	71%	6	5	0	0	0	3	2	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	24.2	18	50%	9	2	0	0	1	6	2	7	2-6	33%	8-14	57%	0-1	0%

Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	29.1	12	67%	7	3	0	1	3	5	4	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Walter Clayton Jr. #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	20.8	8	50%	5	6	1	0	1	4	0	5	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	15.4	11	69%	5	1	1	0	0	2	2	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	11.7	3	75%	0	4	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	9.9	1	17%	3	1	1	0	0	0	2	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Kyle Anderson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Tonje #17 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury Recovery
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fourth Metatarsal Stress Reaction
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	60%	50	33	8	4	13	31	14	36	29-38	76%	31-55	56%	14-35	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	UTA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.13 56.3%

UTA

1.20 59.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

58%

UTA

55%

Midrange

HOU

50%

UTA

57%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

15.0

29%

44%

UTA

21.0

40%

60%

Free Throws

HOU

80%

UTA

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Durant	32	53%	16.0 / 30
A. Sengun	31	74%	15.5 / 21
A. Thompson	23	57%	11.5 / 20
J. Smith	12	50%	6.0 / 12
A. Holiday	10	45%	5.0 / 11
R. Sheppard	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. Tate	6	75%	3.0 / 4
C. Capela	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Okogie	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Markkanen	29	66%	14.5 / 22
K. George	28	70%	14.0 / 20
J. Nurkić	18	50%	9.0 / 18
A. Bailey	13	59%	6.5 / 11
K. Filipowski	12	67%	6.0 / 9
K. Love	11	69%	5.5 / 8
S. Mykhailiuk	10	71%	5.0 / 7
W. Clayton	8	50%	4.0 / 8
I. Collier	3	75%	1.5 / 2
B. Sensabaugh	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 117.5 22 112.9	HOU 116.8 UTA 123.1 +6.3
Pace	29 96.9 2 103.4	HOU 100.9 UTA 115.0 +14.1
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.8 27 13.8	HOU 14.3 UTA 12.5 −1.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 54.2% 20 53.6%	HOU 49.5% UTA 57.8% +8.3%
TO %	25 14.7% 23 14.4%	HOU 10.5% −0.4% UTA 10.9%
ORB %	1 34.8% 12 26.2%	HOU 30.8% UTA 31.8% +1.0%
FTrt	18 26.0 10 27.7	HOU 44.1 +1.9 UTA 42.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 59.1% 2 69.6%	HOU 65.9% UTA 73.3% +7.4%
STL %	9 8.7% 14 8.5%	HOU 5.6% UTA 7.4% +1.8%
BLK %	4 10.9% 30 7.5%	HOU 14.5% +7.7% UTA 6.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.81 and 2.81.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 56.1% 18 56.4%	HOU 56.3% UTA 59.9% +3.6%
Rim FG%	13 64.8% 17 64.5%	HOU 57.9% +2.9% UTA 55.0%
Mid FG%	9 44.3% 8 44.4%	HOU 50.0% UTA 57.1% +7.1%
3P %	10 36.4% 25 34.5%	HOU 29.4% UTA 40.0% +10.6%
FT %	25 76.3% 13 78.6%	HOU 80.5% +4.2% UTA 76.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 30.7% 17 31.3%	HOU 20.4% UTA 22.2% +1.8%
Mid Att. %	29 34.2% 23 28.4%	HOU 43.0% UTA 38.9% −4.1%
3P Att. %	28 35.0% 21 40.3%	HOU 36.6% UTA 38.9% +2.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	HOU	UTA
Possessions	107	108
Possession Minutes	25.5	22.5
Points	125	133
Rebounds	46	50
Assists	27	33
Steals	6	8
Blocks	8	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls	26	31
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (2)	14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (3)	36 (5)
Field Goals	41-93	45-90
At-the-Rim FG	11-19	11-20
Midrange FG	20-40	20-35
2-Point FG	31-59	31-55
3-Point FG	10-34	14-35
Free Throws	33-41	29-38
Fast Break Pts	11	13
2nd Chance Pts	20	24
Points in Paint	54	48
Pts off Turnovers	17	12
Bench Points	18	35
Biggest Lead	4	21

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg