Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, December 7, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Blazers	37%	114	96	91.4	105	105.3
	16	Grizzlies	63%	118	119	114.4	104	103.7

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+13

-25

MEM

+23

-21

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.03 51.6%

MEM

1.11 55.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

21 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	32.7	13	50%	6	1	3	0	3	2	2	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-10	30%
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 213 · 32	32.1	21	53%	7	3	0	1	2	1	1	6	9-10	90%	3-8	38%	2-8	25%
Deni Avdija #8 · SG · 6'8" 228 · 25	30.7	17	57%	7	7	3	1	5	5	1	6	1-3	33%	5-10	50%	2-4	50%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 22	23.7	6	50%	4	0	0	1	4	4	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 20	19.2	4	40%	5	2	0	0	2	5	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%

Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	26.7	17	65%	2	2	1	0	6	1	1	1	4-4	100%	2-8	25%	3-3	100%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	21.9	2	100%	3	1	1	2	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	20.1	4	29%	2	3	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	19.1	12	100%	2	1	0	0	1	3	1	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	3-4	75%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	10.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 26	3.3	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Contusion
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Illness; .
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Ligament Tear
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Fracture
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	52%	40	21	7	5	25	27	10	30	15-18	83%	18-40	45%	15-43	35%

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21 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	32.7	13	50%	6	1	3	0	3	2	2	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-10	30%
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 213 · 32	32.1	21	53%	7	3	0	1	2	1	1	6	9-10	90%	3-8	38%	2-8	25%
Deni Avdija #8 · SG · 6'8" 228 · 25	30.7	17	57%	7	7	3	1	5	5	1	6	1-3	33%	5-10	50%	2-4	50%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 22	23.7	6	50%	4	0	0	1	4	4	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 20	19.2	4	40%	5	2	0	0	2	5	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%

Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	26.7	17	65%	2	2	1	0	6	1	1	1	4-4	100%	2-8	25%	3-3	100%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	21.9	2	100%	3	1	1	2	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	20.1	4	29%	2	3	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	19.1	12	100%	2	1	0	0	1	3	1	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	3-4	75%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	10.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 26	3.3	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Contusion
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Illness; .
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Ligament Tear
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Fracture
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	52%	40	21	7	5	25	27	10	30	15-18	83%	18-40	45%	15-43	35%

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16 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	25.7	16	73%	5	3	2	0	0	2	0	5	6-8	75%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	24.6	11	42%	6	3	0	1	3	2	2	4	1-3	33%	5-9	56%	0-3	0%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	23.8	6	30%	3	4	3	2	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-9	33%	0-1	0%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	21.9	12	50%	10	3	0	0	6	6	5	5	2-3	67%	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 25	16.2	5	42%	2	0	0	1	3	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%

Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	31.8	12	67%	3	6	4	0	4	3	0	3	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	1-5	20%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	28.1	22	85%	7	1	2	0	0	1	1	6	5-7	71%	4-5	80%	3-6	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	23.4	16	89%	2	5	2	0	2	0	0	2	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	3-5	60%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	21.0	15	63%	8	2	2	0	3	4	5	3	7-10	70%	4-4	100%	0-3	0%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	17.3	2	25%	3	1	3	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	3.0	2	33%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Turf Toe
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	56%	51	28	18	4	21	25	16	35	29-39	74%	30-54	56%	10-35	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MEM

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.03 51.6%

MEM

1.11 55.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

76%

MEM

67%

Midrange

POR

11%

MEM

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

22.5

35%

52%

MEM

15.0

29%

43%

Free Throws

POR

83%

MEM

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Grant	21	53%	10.5 / 20
D. Avdija	17	57%	8.5 / 15
S. Sharpe	17	65%	8.5 / 13
T. Camara	13	50%	6.5 / 13
D. Reath	12	100%	6.0 / 6
S. Cissoko	6	50%	3.0 / 6
Y. Hansen	4	40%	2.0 / 5
C. Love	4	29%	2.0 / 7
K. Murray	2	100%	1.0 / 1
R. Rupert	0	-	0.0 / 3
J. Cooke	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Aldama	22	85%	11.0 / 13
J. Wells	16	73%	8.0 / 11
K. Caldwell-Pope	16	89%	8.0 / 9
J. Landale	15	63%	7.5 / 12
Z. Edey	12	50%	6.0 / 11
C. Spencer	12	67%	6.0 / 9
C. Coward	11	42%	5.5 / 13
J. Jackson	6	30%	3.0 / 10
V. Williams	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Konchar	2	25%	1.0 / 4
O. Prosper	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Mashack	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 113.1 23 112.4	POR 91.4 MEM 114.4 +23.0
Pace	8 101.6 7 101.8	POR 105.3 +1.7 MEM 103.7
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.2 26 13.8	POR 13.7 −0.2 MEM 13.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 53.3% 24 53.3%	POR 48.8% MEM 50.6% +1.8%
TO %	30 16.1% 22 14.3%	POR 22.2% MEM 17.8% −4.4%
ORB %	2 31.3% 19 24.7%	POR 22.2% MEM 34.8% +12.6%
FTrt	9 28.0 21 25.1	POR 21.7 MEM 43.8 +22.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 61.6% 6 67.4%	POR 63.6% MEM 70.0% +6.4%
STL %	20 8.1% 11 8.7%	POR 6.7% MEM 17.3% +10.6%
BLK %	8 10.1% 14 9.1%	POR 9.3% MEM 10.0% +0.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 55.6% 22 55.8%	POR 51.6% MEM 55.6% +4.0%
Rim FG%	19 63.9% 26 62.8%	POR 76.2% +9.5% MEM 66.7%
Mid FG%	29 37.4% 11 44.2%	POR 10.5% MEM 46.7% +36.2%
3P %	28 34.2% 22 35.3%	POR 34.9% +6.3% MEM 28.6%
FT %	24 76.5% 9 79.3%	POR 83.3% +8.9% MEM 74.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 35.6% 26 28.6%	POR 25.3% MEM 27.0% +1.7%
Mid Att. %	2 17.6% 19 27.8%	POR 22.9% −10.8% MEM 33.7%
3P Att. %	3 46.8% 10 43.6%	POR 51.8% +12.5% MEM 39.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.26 and 2.26.

Game Totals	POR	MEM
Possessions	105	104
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	96	119
Rebounds	40	51
Assists	21	28
Steals	7	18
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	25 (1)	21 (2)
Fouls	27	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	16 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (2)	35 (3)
Field Goals	33-83	40-89
At-the-Rim FG	16-21	16-24
Midrange FG	2-19	14-30
2-Point FG	18-40	30-54
3-Point FG	15-43	10-35
Free Throws	15-18	29-39
Fast Break Pts	8	17
2nd Chance Pts	9	19
Points in Paint	34	52
Pts off Turnovers	23	31
Bench Points	35	69
Biggest Lead	1	26

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg