Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, December 7, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Thunder	84%	120	131	131.0	100	105.5
	29	Jazz	16%	107	101	100.0	101	96.0

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

-13

UTA

+10

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.36 68.2%

UTA

1.09 54.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

6 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23	28.8	7	58%	2	4	0	0	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	25.4	6	60%	2	4	5	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 25	25.0	25	66%	3	8	2	0	0	0	1	2	2-2	100%	10-16	63%	1-3	33%
Jaylin Williams #6 · SF · 6'9" 240 · 23	23.8	5	31%	6	4	1	0	2	2	0	6	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 24	22.6	25	78%	9	1	1	2	3	2	1	8	0-3	0%	11-13	85%	1-2	50%

Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 23	25.9	14	100%	2	3	0	0	0	4	2	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-5	80%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	24.4	11	69%	7	6	0	0	2	3	2	5	1-4	25%	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	24.2	13	65%	6	0	0	1	1	2	1	5	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	20.1	19	95%	3	1	0	0	2	3	0	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	5-6	83%
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	11.5	3	75%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Chris Youngblood #3 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	8.4	3	50%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Bursitis
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Adductor; Strain
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Contusion
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Surgical Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	68%	44	32	9	3	13	20	8	36	8-18	44%	30-46	65%	21-42	50%

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6 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23	28.8	7	58%	2	4	0	0	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	25.4	6	60%	2	4	5	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 25	25.0	25	66%	3	8	2	0	0	0	1	2	2-2	100%	10-16	63%	1-3	33%
Jaylin Williams #6 · SF · 6'9" 240 · 23	23.8	5	31%	6	4	1	0	2	2	0	6	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 24	22.6	25	78%	9	1	1	2	3	2	1	8	0-3	0%	11-13	85%	1-2	50%

Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 23	25.9	14	100%	2	3	0	0	0	4	2	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-5	80%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	24.4	11	69%	7	6	0	0	2	3	2	5	1-4	25%	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	24.2	13	65%	6	0	0	1	1	2	1	5	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	20.1	19	95%	3	1	0	0	2	3	0	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	5-6	83%
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	11.5	3	75%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Chris Youngblood #3 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	8.4	3	50%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Bursitis
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Adductor; Strain
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Contusion
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Surgical Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	68%	44	32	9	3	13	20	8	36	8-18	44%	30-46	65%	21-42	50%

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29 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 22	36.2	21	75%	10	2	3	0	1	4	1	9	0-0	-	9-10	90%	1-4	25%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 28	33.4	6	100%	1	1	2	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Ace Bailey #19 · SG · 6'9" 200 · 19	32.2	13	46%	1	4	1	1	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	3-8	38%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	27.8	8	31%	6	3	0	1	6	2	0	6	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	0-4	0%
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	19.8	7	35%	8	2	0	0	1	3	2	6	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	0-1	0%

Walter Clayton Jr. #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	29.3	20	77%	2	9	0	0	2	3	1	1	2-3	67%	6-7	86%	2-5	40%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	24.7	20	83%	5	1	0	1	0	0	1	4	4-5	80%	2-3	67%	4-7	57%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	16.0	0	0%	2	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 21	8.4	4	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	6.1	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	6.1	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Kyle Anderson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Tonje #17 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fourth Metatarsal Stress Reaction
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	54%	37	25	6	3	17	17	6	31	9-12	75%	28-49	57%	12-36	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	UTA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.36 68.2%

UTA

1.09 54.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

87%

UTA

67%

Midrange

OKC

55%

UTA

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

31.5

50%

75%

UTA

18.0

33%

50%

Free Throws

OKC

44%

UTA

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Williams	25	66%	12.5 / 19
C. Holmgren	25	78%	12.5 / 16
A. Wiggins	19	95%	9.5 / 10
O. Dieng	14	100%	7.0 / 7
B. Carlson	13	65%	6.5 / 10
K. Williams	11	69%	5.5 / 8
A. Mitchell	7	58%	3.5 / 6
C. Wallace	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Williams	5	31%	2.5 / 8
B. Barnhizer	3	75%	1.5 / 2
C. Youngblood	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Filipowski	21	75%	10.5 / 14
W. Clayton	20	77%	10.0 / 13
T. Hendricks	20	83%	10.0 / 12
A. Bailey	13	46%	6.5 / 14
K. George	8	31%	4.0 / 13
J. Nurkić	7	35%	3.5 / 10
S. Mykhailiuk	6	100%	3.0 / 3
C. Williams	4	50%	2.0 / 4
B. Sensabaugh	2	33%	1.0 / 3
K. Love	0	-	0.0 / 3
I. Collier	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 117.6 22 112.9	OKC 131.0 +31.0 UTA 100.0
Pace	15 100.3 2 103.4	OKC 105.5 +9.5 UTA 96.0
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.1 27 13.8	OKC 13.7 −1.3 UTA 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 56.1% 20 53.6%	OKC 69.9% +15.8% UTA 54.1%
TO %	1 11.8% 23 14.4%	OKC 12.7% −3.1% UTA 15.8%
ORB %	28 22.3% 12 26.2%	OKC 20.5% +6.2% UTA 14.3%
FTrt	17 26.1 10 27.7	OKC 20.5 +6.4 UTA 14.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	25 59.8% 2 69.6%	OKC 62.7% +0.2% UTA 62.5%
STL %	4 9.6% 14 8.5%	OKC 9.0% +3.1% UTA 5.9%
BLK %	2 11.0% 30 7.5%	OKC 6.1% UTA 6.5% +0.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 58.5% 18 56.4%	OKC 68.2% +13.9% UTA 54.3%
Rim FG%	11 65.2% 17 64.5%	OKC 86.7% +20.0% UTA 66.7%
Mid FG%	1 47.6% 8 44.4%	OKC 54.8% +3.2% UTA 51.6%
3P %	9 36.5% 25 34.5%	OKC 50.0% +16.7% UTA 33.3%
FT %	3 81.7% 13 78.6%	OKC 44.4% UTA 75.0% +30.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	16 31.3% 17 31.3%	OKC 17.0% UTA 21.2% +4.1%
Mid Att. %	15 26.1% 23 28.4%	OKC 35.2% −1.2% UTA 36.5%
3P Att. %	13 42.6% 21 40.3%	OKC 47.7% +5.4% UTA 42.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	OKC	UTA
Possessions	100	101
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.2
Points	131	101
Rebounds	44	37
Assists	32	25
Steals	9	6
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls	20	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (1)	6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (3)	31 (3)
Field Goals	51-88	40-85
At-the-Rim FG	13-15	12-18
Midrange FG	17-31	16-31
2-Point FG	30-46	28-49
3-Point FG	21-42	12-36
Free Throws	8-18	9-12
Fast Break Pts	17	4
2nd Chance Pts	13	9
Points in Paint	52	48
Pts off Turnovers	27	9
Bench Points	63	46
Biggest Lead	42	1

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg