Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 5, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Pacers	42%	115	120	121.2	99	96.8
	21	Bulls	58%	118	105	104.0	101	103.4

Scoring Opportunities

IND

-13

CHI

+15

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.30 65.2%

CHI

1.09 54.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	38.1	28	78%	5	3	2	1	2	4	0	5	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	6-11	55%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	32.8	15	54%	2	7	3	0	3	3	0	2	0-0	-	6-9	67%	1-5	20%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	31.4	36	67%	10	1	2	0	3	2	3	7	5-7	71%	8-17	47%	5-7	71%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	28.4	11	92%	4	5	2	5	0	0	1	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 29	14.9	3	38%	3	0	1	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%

Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	34.3	11	92%	2	3	1	2	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	18.3	7	70%	3	0	1	0	2	1	2	1	1-3	33%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	16.2	2	25%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	13.9	2	33%	3	4	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	9.0	3	50%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28	1.2	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #25 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; MCL Sprain
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Stress Reaction
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Torn
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	65%	35	24	13	8	13	21	6	29	12-16	75%	27-45	60%	18-39	46%

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27 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	38.1	28	78%	5	3	2	1	2	4	0	5	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	6-11	55%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	32.8	15	54%	2	7	3	0	3	3	0	2	0-0	-	6-9	67%	1-5	20%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	31.4	36	67%	10	1	2	0	3	2	3	7	5-7	71%	8-17	47%	5-7	71%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	28.4	11	92%	4	5	2	5	0	0	1	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 29	14.9	3	38%	3	0	1	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%

Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	34.3	11	92%	2	3	1	2	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	18.3	7	70%	3	0	1	0	2	1	2	1	1-3	33%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	16.2	2	25%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	13.9	2	33%	3	4	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	9.0	3	50%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28	1.2	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #25 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; MCL Sprain
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Stress Reaction
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Torn
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	65%	35	24	13	8	13	21	6	29	12-16	75%	27-45	60%	18-39	46%

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21 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Matas Buzelis #14 · PF · 6'8" 196 · 21	34.7	19	79%	12	2	1	1	6	2	2	10	9-9	100%	5-5	100%	0-3	0%
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 23	33.0	9	41%	7	6	1	0	5	1	0	7	4-4	100%	1-6	17%	1-3	33%
Coby White #0 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	26.4	22	55%	3	6	0	0	2	1	1	2	9-12	75%	5-9	56%	1-5	20%
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 35	26.2	8	57%	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 22	22.6	5	63%	4	1	1	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%

Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 24	26.3	9	45%	3	0	0	0	1	4	1	2	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	2-4	50%
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 30	22.2	14	64%	3	1	1	0	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	4-8	50%
Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 28	20.6	8	67%	6	1	0	0	0	4	3	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Dalen Terry #7 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 23	19.5	7	50%	3	0	3	1	4	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Emanuel Miller #2 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 25	7.3	4	67%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Lachlan Olbrich #47 · C · 6'8" 236 · 22	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tre Jones #30 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Trentyn Flowers #00 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Smith #25 · C · 6'8" 244 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Ayo Dosunmu #11 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Sprain
Noa Essengue #24 · PF · 6'8" 194 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Contusion
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lumbar; Radiculopathy
Kevin Huerter #13 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	55%	46	21	7	2	18	15	11	35	24-29	83%	21-42	50%	13-35	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	CHI
Clock	Team	Event	IND	CHI

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.30 65.2%

CHI

1.09 54.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

74%

CHI

54%

Midrange

IND

45%

CHI

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

27.0

46%

69%

CHI

19.5

37%

56%

Free Throws

IND

75%

CHI

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Siakam	36	67%	18.0 / 27
B. Mathurin	28	78%	14.0 / 18
A. Nembhard	15	54%	7.5 / 14
J. Huff	11	92%	5.5 / 6
E. Thompson	11	92%	5.5 / 6
I. Jackson	7	70%	3.5 / 5
G. Mathews	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Walker	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Furphy	2	25%	1.0 / 4
T. McConnell	2	33%	1.0 / 3
T. Bradley	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. White	22	55%	11.0 / 20
M. Buzelis	19	79%	9.5 / 12
J. Carter	14	64%	7.0 / 11
J. Giddey	9	41%	4.5 / 11
P. Williams	9	45%	4.5 / 10
N. Vučević	8	57%	4.0 / 7
Z. Collins	8	67%	4.0 / 6
D. Terry	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Phillips	5	63%	2.5 / 4
E. Miller	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 110.1 25 112.2	IND 121.2 +17.3 CHI 104.0
Pace	10 101.4 3 103.3	IND 96.8 CHI 103.4 +6.6
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 28 13.6	IND 14.9 CHI 13.9 −1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.3% 14 54.7%	IND 64.3% +11.7% CHI 52.6%
TO %	14 13.6% 20 14.1%	IND 13.3% −4.2% CHI 17.5%
ORB %	29 21.7% 27 23.1%	IND 14.6% CHI 27.5% +12.9%
FTrt	20 25.2 22 24.6	IND 19.0 CHI 37.7 +18.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 67.8% 7 67.2%	IND 53.3% CHI 61.8% +8.5%
STL %	28 7.2% 26 7.4%	IND 13.1% +6.2% CHI 6.9%
BLK %	26 8.1% 15 9.0%	IND 19.0% +14.6% CHI 4.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.4% 17 56.5%	IND 65.2% +10.5% CHI 54.7%
Rim FG%	25 62.9% 30 61.4%	IND 73.9% +20.1% CHI 53.8%
Mid FG%	19 42.7% 15 43.7%	IND 45.5% +1.7% CHI 43.8%
3P %	18 35.6% 19 35.6%	IND 46.2% +9.1% CHI 37.1%
FT %	17 77.6% 18 77.6%	IND 75.0% CHI 82.8% +7.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 30.3% 3 38.2%	IND 27.4% CHI 33.8% +6.4%
Mid Att. %	18 27.5% 1 17.5%	IND 26.2% CHI 20.8% −5.4%
3P Att. %	14 42.2% 8 44.3%	IND 46.4% +1.0% CHI 45.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Game Totals	IND	CHI
Possessions	99	101
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	120	105
Rebounds	35	46
Assists	24	21
Steals	13	7
Blocks	8	2
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	18 (1)
Fouls	21	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (0)	11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (2)	35 (0)
Field Goals	45-84	34-77
At-the-Rim FG	17-23	14-26
Midrange FG	10-22	7-16
2-Point FG	27-45	21-42
3-Point FG	18-39	13-35
Free Throws	12-16	24-29
Fast Break Pts	15	8
2nd Chance Pts	7	18
Points in Paint	44	36
Pts off Turnovers	22	13
Bench Points	27	42
Biggest Lead	19	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg