Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, December 3, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Spurs	27%	111	114	108.6	105	97.8
	6	Magic	73%	119	112	104.7	107	115.4

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+14

-19

100

ORL

+17

-10

114

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.14 57.0%

ORL

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	32.5	11	46%	5	2	1	0	1	2	1	4	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-6	17%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 25	31.5	15	54%	6	1	0	1	1	2	0	6	0-0	-	3-7	43%	3-7	43%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	29.4	31	67%	5	5	0	0	7	3	1	4	6-9	67%	8-13	62%	3-7	43%
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 30	28.4	5	63%	7	4	0	3	0	0	3	4	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	28.0	14	88%	5	0	0	0	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-7	57%

Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	24.8	13	65%	4	1	0	0	1	3	0	4	3-4	75%	5-5	100%	0-3	0%
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	22.1	16	57%	5	5	2	0	5	2	2	3	5-5	100%	4-9	44%	1-3	33%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	19.6	4	25%	7	1	1	0	1	2	4	3	0-2	0%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	13.1	3	75%	5	0	0	1	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	6.0	2	25%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	4.7	0	0%	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Flexor Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	57%	52	20	5	5	19	20	13	39	17-24	71%	29-53	55%	13-38	34%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

14 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	32.5	11	46%	5	2	1	0	1	2	1	4	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-6	17%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 25	31.5	15	54%	6	1	0	1	1	2	0	6	0-0	-	3-7	43%	3-7	43%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	29.4	31	67%	5	5	0	0	7	3	1	4	6-9	67%	8-13	62%	3-7	43%
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 30	28.4	5	63%	7	4	0	3	0	0	3	4	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	28.0	14	88%	5	0	0	0	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-7	57%

Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	24.8	13	65%	4	1	0	0	1	3	0	4	3-4	75%	5-5	100%	0-3	0%
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	22.1	16	57%	5	5	2	0	5	2	2	3	5-5	100%	4-9	44%	1-3	33%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	19.6	4	25%	7	1	1	0	1	2	4	3	0-2	0%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	13.1	3	75%	5	0	0	1	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	6.0	2	25%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	4.7	0	0%	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Flexor Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	57%	52	20	5	5	19	20	13	39	17-24	71%	29-53	55%	13-38	34%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

6 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	37.6	14	47%	3	6	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	4-12	33%	2-3	67%
Franz Wagner #22 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 24	35.9	25	63%	4	6	2	1	0	1	0	4	6-7	86%	8-16	50%	1-1	100%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 27	28.6	5	25%	9	2	1	1	1	4	1	8	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-4	0%
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	27.4	24	57%	4	4	3	0	1	6	1	3	1-2	50%	7-12	58%	3-8	38%
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	25.6	12	60%	4	0	2	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-6	33%

Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 22	27.6	7	29%	7	5	0	0	2	2	1	6	3-4	75%	2-8	25%	0-2	0%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	19.4	8	100%	5	2	1	1	2	1	2	3	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Jase Richardson #11 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 20	15.9	8	67%	5	2	1	0	0	2	2	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	12.2	4	40%	5	0	0	0	1	2	1	4	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Tyus Jones #2 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	6.8	5	83%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Noah Penda #93 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 21	3.0	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Orlando Robinson #7 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; injury recovery
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	50%	48	27	11	3	10	19	10	38	13-19	68%	36-72	50%	9-27	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	ORL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.14 57.0%

ORL

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

55%

ORL

59%

Midrange

SAS

55%

ORL

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

19.5

34%

51%

ORL

13.5

33%

50%

Free Throws

SAS

71%

ORL

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	31	67%	15.5 / 23
D. Harper	16	57%	8.0 / 14
D. Vassell	15	54%	7.5 / 14
J. Champagnie	14	88%	7.0 / 8
K. Johnson	13	65%	6.5 / 10
H. Barnes	11	46%	5.5 / 12
L. Kornet	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Sochan	4	25%	2.0 / 8
C. Bryant	3	75%	1.5 / 2
L. Waters	2	25%	1.0 / 4
D. Jones Garcia	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
F. Wagner	25	63%	12.5 / 20
J. Suggs	24	57%	12.0 / 21
D. Bane	14	47%	7.0 / 15
T. da Silva	12	60%	6.0 / 10
G. Bitadze	8	100%	4.0 / 4
J. Richardson	8	67%	4.0 / 6
A. Black	7	29%	3.5 / 12
W. Carter	5	25%	2.5 / 10
T. Jones	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Isaac	4	40%	2.0 / 5
N. Penda	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 118.9 17 114.3	SAS 108.6 +3.9 ORL 104.7
Pace	13 100.5 14 100.5	SAS 97.8 ORL 115.4 +17.6
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.2 17 14.2	SAS 14.7 ORL 12.5 −2.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 55.9% 26 53.0%	SAS 53.3% +3.3% ORL 50.0%
TO %	4 12.5% 12 13.5%	SAS 15.8% ORL 8.5% −7.3%
ORB %	10 26.2% 18 25.0%	SAS 25.5% +5.1% ORL 20.4%
FTrt	12 27.3 2 31.1	SAS 26.4 +7.2 ORL 19.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 64.6% 12 64.7%	SAS 47.6% ORL 60.0% +12.4%
STL %	24 7.5% 16 8.4%	SAS 4.8% ORL 10.3% +5.5%
BLK %	10 10.0% 17 8.8%	SAS 6.9% +1.2% ORL 5.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 58.1% 19 56.3%	SAS 57.0% +7.0% ORL 50.0%
Rim FG%	9 65.8% 24 63.0%	SAS 55.0% ORL 58.5% +3.5%
Mid FG%	5 45.1% 24 41.5%	SAS 54.5% +15.8% ORL 38.7%
3P %	15 35.9% 27 34.3%	SAS 34.2% +0.9% ORL 33.3%
FT %	12 78.7% 8 80.1%	SAS 70.8% +2.4% ORL 68.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 34.4% 4 35.7%	SAS 22.0% ORL 41.4% +19.4%
Mid Att. %	7 23.4% 12 25.7%	SAS 36.3% ORL 31.3% −5.0%
3P Att. %	15 42.2% 24 38.6%	SAS 41.8% +14.5% ORL 27.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	ORL
Possessions	105	107
Possession Minutes	25.8	22.2
Points	114	112
Rebounds	52	48
Assists	20	27
Steals	5	11
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	10 (0)
Fouls	20	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (1)	10 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (2)	38 (2)
Field Goals	42-91	45-99
At-the-Rim FG	11-20	24-41
Midrange FG	18-33	12-31
2-Point FG	29-53	36-72
3-Point FG	13-38	9-27
Free Throws	17-24	13-19
Fast Break Pts	9	21
2nd Chance Pts	7	11
Points in Paint	42	64
Pts off Turnovers	13	23
Bench Points	38	32
Biggest Lead	15	1

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg