Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, November 26, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Pacers	27%	112	95	94.1	101	103.7
	14	Raptors	73%	120	97	96.0	101	98.4

Scoring Opportunities

IND

-18

TOR

+17

-13

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.04 52.2%

TOR

0.93 46.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	35.4	9	35%	4	4	2	0	2	2	0	4	4-6	67%	1-5	20%	1-5	20%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	34.0	15	47%	3	3	1	0	4	3	0	3	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	4-9	44%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	30.9	11	46%	4	2	2	0	3	5	1	3	1-4	25%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Jarace Walker #5 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 22	26.7	13	65%	9	2	2	1	3	2	1	8	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	3-7	43%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	19.6	8	80%	2	3	0	3	3	3	0	2	2-4	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	28.4	10	63%	6	0	0	3	0	3	0	6	4-5	80%	3-3	100%	0-3	0%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	27.0	8	67%	5	0	0	0	0	1	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	24.3	16	47%	7	6	0	0	2	1	1	6	0-0	-	8-13	62%	0-4	0%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #25 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	13.6	5	125%	3	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 29	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
RayJ Dennis #10 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee MCL; Sprain
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Stress Reaction
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	52%	43	20	7	7	18	22	3	40	14-23	61%	24-45	53%	11-33	33%

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25 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	35.4	9	35%	4	4	2	0	2	2	0	4	4-6	67%	1-5	20%	1-5	20%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	34.0	15	47%	3	3	1	0	4	3	0	3	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	4-9	44%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	30.9	11	46%	4	2	2	0	3	5	1	3	1-4	25%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Jarace Walker #5 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 22	26.7	13	65%	9	2	2	1	3	2	1	8	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	3-7	43%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	19.6	8	80%	2	3	0	3	3	3	0	2	2-4	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	28.4	10	63%	6	0	0	3	0	3	0	6	4-5	80%	3-3	100%	0-3	0%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	27.0	8	67%	5	0	0	0	0	1	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	24.3	16	47%	7	6	0	0	2	1	1	6	0-0	-	8-13	62%	0-4	0%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #25 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	13.6	5	125%	3	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 29	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
RayJ Dennis #10 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee MCL; Sprain
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Stress Reaction
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	52%	43	20	7	7	18	22	3	40	14-23	61%	24-45	53%	11-33	33%

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14 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 28	38.2	26	52%	8	0	2	1	3	1	1	7	3-5	60%	10-19	53%	1-4	25%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 24	36.4	24	63%	10	4	0	1	4	3	5	5	14-14	100%	5-11	45%	0-1	0%
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 26	34.7	15	36%	5	6	2	0	1	2	0	5	2-5	40%	5-12	42%	1-7	14%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 30	31.6	8	67%	9	3	1	1	2	4	3	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Collin Murray-Boyles #12 · SG · 6'7" 245 · 20	7.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%

Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	32.5	13	65%	4	1	2	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-5	60%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 23	16.5	2	20%	2	3	1	0	1	3	0	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	16.4	7	44%	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	13.9	2	50%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	6.6	0	0%	3	1	1	1	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	5.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 25	INACTIVE
Alijah Martin #55 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 24	INACTIVE
Chucky Hepburn #24 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 23	INACTIVE
RJ Barrett #9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	47%	48	18	9	4	13	19	12	36	22-27	81%	30-64	47%	5-26	19%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	IND	TOR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.04 52.2%

TOR

0.93 46.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

59%

TOR

52%

Midrange

IND

48%

TOR

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

16.5

33%

50%

TOR

7.5

19%

29%

Free Throws

IND

61%

TOR

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. McConnell	16	47%	8.0 / 17
B. Mathurin	15	47%	7.5 / 16
J. Walker	13	65%	6.5 / 10
P. Siakam	11	46%	5.5 / 12
J. Huff	10	63%	5.0 / 8
A. Nembhard	9	35%	4.5 / 13
I. Jackson	8	80%	4.0 / 5
B. Sheppard	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Robinson-Earl	5	125%	2.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Ingram	26	52%	13.0 / 25
S. Barnes	24	63%	12.0 / 19
I. Quickley	15	36%	7.5 / 21
J. Walter	13	65%	6.5 / 10
J. Poeltl	8	67%	4.0 / 6
S. Mamukelashvili	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Shead	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Battle	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Murray-Boyles	0	-	0.0 / 2
G. Dick	0	-	0.0 / 2
O. Agbaji	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 110.1 15 115.1	IND 94.1 TOR 96.0 +2.0
Pace	10 101.4 22 99.1	IND 103.7 +5.3 TOR 98.4
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 19 14.1	IND 13.9 −0.7 TOR 14.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.3% 16 54.6%	IND 51.9% +10.2% TOR 41.7%
TO %	14 13.6% 7 12.9%	IND 17.0% TOR 11.3% −5.7%
ORB %	29 21.7% 16 25.5%	IND 7.7% TOR 23.1% +15.4%
FTrt	20 25.2 16 26.5	IND 29.5 TOR 30.0 +0.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 67.8% 3 69.2%	IND 57.1% +5.7% TOR 51.4%
STL %	28 7.2% 8 8.8%	IND 6.9% TOR 8.9% +2.0%
BLK %	26 8.1% 12 9.6%	IND 10.9% +2.0% TOR 8.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.4% 16 56.6%	IND 52.2% +5.6% TOR 46.6%
Rim FG%	25 62.9% 6 66.5%	IND 59.1% +7.4% TOR 51.7%
Mid FG%	19 42.7% 16 43.7%	IND 47.8% +4.9% TOR 42.9%
3P %	18 35.6% 21 35.4%	IND 33.3% +14.1% TOR 19.2%
FT %	17 77.6% 22 76.9%	IND 60.9% TOR 81.5% +20.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 30.3% 10 32.9%	IND 28.2% TOR 32.2% +4.0%
Mid Att. %	18 27.5% 27 30.7%	IND 29.5% −9.4% TOR 38.9%
3P Att. %	14 42.2% 25 36.3%	IND 42.3% +13.4% TOR 28.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	TOR
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	95	97
Rebounds	43	48
Assists	20	18
Steals	7	9
Blocks	7	4
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls	22	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	3 (5)	12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (2)	36 (4)
Field Goals	35-78	35-90
At-the-Rim FG	13-22	15-29
Midrange FG	11-23	15-35
2-Point FG	24-45	30-64
3-Point FG	11-33	5-26
Free Throws	14-23	22-27
Fast Break Pts	11	9
2nd Chance Pts	7	15
Points in Paint	40	46
Pts off Turnovers	15	18
Bench Points	39	24
Biggest Lead	11	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg