Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, December 8, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Spurs	72%	121	135	128.6	105	111.2
	29	Pelicans	28%	114	132	124.5	106	100.4

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+20

-13

112

NOP

-9

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.21 60.3%

NOP

1.29 64.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	35.1	24	75%	2	1	0	0	2	3	1	1	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	4-7	57%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	30.4	14	54%	4	7	1	0	4	0	0	4	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	2-5	40%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	27.2	5	42%	3	3	0	0	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 30	25.6	6	43%	9	1	0	0	1	5	5	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21	23.1	18	47%	5	5	0	0	3	4	3	2	7-8	88%	4-13	31%	1-2	50%

Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	28.9	17	106%	6	3	2	0	0	1	0	6	2-2	100%	0-0	-	5-9	56%
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	25.9	22	65%	3	6	0	0	2	0	0	3	1-2	50%	9-13	69%	1-3	33%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	16.7	12	67%	6	2	0	0	0	3	3	3	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	1-1	100%
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	14.9	11	69%	2	1	2	0	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	8.4	4	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	3.7	2	50%	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	135	60%	44	29	5	0	13	19	13	31	20-25	80%	32-63	51%	17-36	47%

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15 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	35.1	24	75%	2	1	0	0	2	3	1	1	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	4-7	57%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	30.4	14	54%	4	7	1	0	4	0	0	4	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	2-5	40%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	27.2	5	42%	3	3	0	0	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 30	25.6	6	43%	9	1	0	0	1	5	5	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21	23.1	18	47%	5	5	0	0	3	4	3	2	7-8	88%	4-13	31%	1-2	50%

Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	28.9	17	106%	6	3	2	0	0	1	0	6	2-2	100%	0-0	-	5-9	56%
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	25.9	22	65%	3	6	0	0	2	0	0	3	1-2	50%	9-13	69%	1-3	33%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	16.7	12	67%	6	2	0	0	0	3	3	3	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	1-1	100%
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	14.9	11	69%	2	1	2	0	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	8.4	4	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	3.7	2	50%	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	135	60%	44	29	5	0	13	19	13	31	20-25	80%	32-63	51%	17-36	47%

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29 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 25	37.8	32	70%	3	4	2	1	1	1	0	3	4-5	80%	11-15	73%	2-6	33%
Saddiq Bey #41 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	36.2	17	71%	6	2	0	0	0	1	1	5	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	1-3	33%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	33.1	33	79%	10	10	0	4	4	3	0	10	11-13	85%	11-14	79%	0-1	0%
Herbert Jones #2 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 27	25.7	17	71%	6	4	4	1	0	4	2	4	5-5	100%	6-7	86%	0-3	0%
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	20.7	5	31%	3	4	1	0	2	4	1	2	0-0	-	1-6	17%	1-2	50%

Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 28	31.2	10	71%	3	6	1	1	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	23.5	8	80%	1	2	0	0	0	3	0	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 24	13.2	4	29%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	7.6	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	7.3	4	100%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	3.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #9 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Strain
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	65%	33	35	8	7	9	23	4	29	23-26	88%	44-62	71%	7-26	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	NOP
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	NOP

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.21 60.3%

NOP

1.29 64.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

58%

NOP

82%

Midrange

SAS

33%

NOP

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

25.5

47%

71%

NOP

10.5

27%

40%

Free Throws

SAS

80%

NOP

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
H. Barnes	24	75%	12.0 / 16
D. Harper	22	65%	11.0 / 17
S. Castle	18	47%	9.0 / 19
J. Champagnie	17	106%	8.5 / 8
D. Fox	14	54%	7.0 / 13
K. Johnson	12	67%	6.0 / 9
K. Olynyk	11	69%	5.5 / 8
L. Kornet	6	43%	3.0 / 7
D. Vassell	5	42%	2.5 / 6
C. Bryant	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Sochan	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Queen	33	79%	16.5 / 21
T. Murphy	32	70%	16.0 / 23
S. Bey	17	71%	8.5 / 12
H. Jones	17	71%	8.5 / 12
J. Alvarado	10	71%	5.0 / 7
B. McGowens	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Fears	5	31%	2.5 / 8
M. Peavy	4	29%	2.0 / 7
K. Matković	4	100%	2.0 / 2
Y. Missi	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Hawkins	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 118.9 20 113.3	SAS 128.6 +4.0 NOP 124.5
Pace	13 100.5 11 101.3	SAS 111.2 +10.7 NOP 100.4
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.2 22 14.1	SAS 13.0 −1.4 NOP 14.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 55.9% 27 52.7%	SAS 58.1% NOP 61.9% +3.8%
TO %	4 12.5% 11 13.2%	SAS 12.0% NOP 8.3% −3.7%
ORB %	10 26.2% 8 27.0%	SAS 31.0% +19.6% NOP 11.4%
FTrt	12 27.3 8 28.4	SAS 25.3 NOP 29.5 +4.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 64.6% 26 59.6%	SAS 59.2% NOP 68.6% +9.4%
STL %	24 7.5% 10 8.7%	SAS 4.8% NOP 7.5% +2.7%
BLK %	10 10.0% 7 10.1%	SAS 0.0% NOP 11.1% +11.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 58.1% 25 55.4%	SAS 60.3% NOP 64.7% +4.4%
Rim FG%	9 65.8% 29 61.5%	SAS 57.8% NOP 82.2% +24.4%
Mid FG%	5 45.1% 30 36.6%	SAS 33.3% NOP 41.2% +7.9%
3P %	15 35.9% 24 34.7%	SAS 47.2% +20.3% NOP 26.9%
FT %	12 78.7% 14 78.4%	SAS 80.0% NOP 88.5% +8.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 34.4% 1 42.8%	SAS 45.5% NOP 51.1% +5.7%
Mid Att. %	7 23.4% 5 21.7%	SAS 18.2% −1.1% NOP 19.3%
3P Att. %	15 42.2% 27 35.5%	SAS 36.4% +6.8% NOP 29.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Game Totals	SAS	NOP
Possessions	105	106
Possession Minutes	22.7	25.3
Points	135	132
Rebounds	44	33
Assists	29	35
Steals	5	8
Blocks	0	7
Turnovers (Team)	13 (2)	9 (0)
Fouls	19	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (7)	4 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (1)	29 (3)
Field Goals	49-99	51-88
At-the-Rim FG	26-45	37-45
Midrange FG	6-18	7-17
2-Point FG	32-63	44-62
3-Point FG	17-36	7-26
Free Throws	20-25	23-26
Fast Break Pts	22	16
2nd Chance Pts	18	6
Points in Paint	62	84
Pts off Turnovers	16	17
Bench Points	68	28
Biggest Lead	25	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg