Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, December 6, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Kings	27%	112	127	125.7	101	93.6
	12	Heat	73%	120	111	111.0	100	108.5

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+15

-10

106

MIA

+13

-13

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.20 59.9%

MIA

1.11 55.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	39.8	13	59%	6	6	2	0	0	2	1	5	0-1	0%	5-9	56%	1-2	50%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	39.4	42	72%	5	1	1	0	0	3	0	5	10-11	91%	4-11	36%	8-13	62%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	32.4	16	62%	4	1	2	2	1	2	1	3	2-4	50%	4-6	67%	2-5	40%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	31.8	12	55%	1	10	4	0	6	3	0	1	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	1-4	25%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	25.1	12	55%	10	1	0	2	0	2	1	9	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-2	0%

Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	18.0	15	94%	6	0	1	0	2	3	1	5	0-0	-	6-7	86%	1-1	100%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	17.4	3	19%	0	4	0	0	1	4	0	0	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · C · 6'8" 243 · 26	16.3	7	58%	10	1	0	0	0	0	3	7	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	10.8	4	100%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	9.0	3	50%	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Partial Meniscus Tear
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip Flexor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	60%	45	24	11	5	10	19	8	37	15-21	71%	35-60	58%	14-33	42%

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25 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	39.8	13	59%	6	6	2	0	0	2	1	5	0-1	0%	5-9	56%	1-2	50%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	39.4	42	72%	5	1	1	0	0	3	0	5	10-11	91%	4-11	36%	8-13	62%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	32.4	16	62%	4	1	2	2	1	2	1	3	2-4	50%	4-6	67%	2-5	40%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	31.8	12	55%	1	10	4	0	6	3	0	1	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	1-4	25%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	25.1	12	55%	10	1	0	2	0	2	1	9	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-2	0%

Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	18.0	15	94%	6	0	1	0	2	3	1	5	0-0	-	6-7	86%	1-1	100%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	17.4	3	19%	0	4	0	0	1	4	0	0	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · C · 6'8" 243 · 26	16.3	7	58%	10	1	0	0	0	0	3	7	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	10.8	4	100%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	9.0	3	50%	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Partial Meniscus Tear
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip Flexor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	60%	45	24	11	5	10	19	8	37	15-21	71%	35-60	58%	14-33	42%

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12 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 22	29.6	5	50%	6	0	2	2	1	1	3	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 33	26.6	18	56%	2	1	0	1	0	4	1	1	5-6	83%	5-9	56%	1-5	20%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 31	26.1	13	65%	4	4	0	0	3	2	2	2	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-3	33%
Bam Adebayo #13 · PF · 6'9" 260 · 28	24.6	9	45%	7	3	0	0	0	0	2	5	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Dru Smith #12 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	19.1	4	29%	1	2	1	1	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	0-1	0%

Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25	35.5	27	64%	6	6	0	0	2	3	1	5	8-12	67%	8-14	57%	1-1	100%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	30.8	12	55%	2	6	1	0	5	2	0	2	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	2-7	29%
Simone Fontecchio #0 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 30	25.6	20	71%	7	0	0	0	0	3	1	6	0-1	0%	4-5	80%	4-9	44%
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	14.4	3	38%	5	0	0	0	0	2	1	4	1-4	25%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jahmir Young #17 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 25	7.7	0	0%	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Big Toe; Contusion
Pelle Larsson #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip Flexor; Tightness
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Tightness
Kasparas Jakučionis #25 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Vladislav Goldin #50 · C · 7'0" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Myron Gardner #15 · SF · 6'5" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	56%	41	23	5	4	13	17	11	30	20-32	63%	32-54	59%	9-31	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.20 59.9%

MIA

1.11 55.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

69%

MIA

67%

Midrange

SAC

46%

MIA

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

21.0

42%

64%

MIA

13.5

29%

44%

Free Throws

SAC

71%

MIA

63%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. LaVine	42	72%	21.0 / 29
K. Murray	16	62%	8.0 / 13
N. Clifford	15	94%	7.5 / 8
D. DeRozan	13	59%	6.5 / 11
R. Westbrook	12	55%	6.0 / 11
M. Raynaud	12	55%	6.0 / 11
P. Achiuwa	7	58%	3.5 / 6
D. Eubanks	4	100%	2.0 / 2
M. Monk	3	19%	1.5 / 8
K. Ellis	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jaquez	27	64%	13.5 / 21
S. Fontecchio	20	71%	10.0 / 14
N. Powell	18	56%	9.0 / 16
A. Wiggins	13	65%	6.5 / 10
N. Jović	12	55%	6.0 / 11
B. Adebayo	9	45%	4.5 / 10
K. Ware	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Smith	4	29%	2.0 / 7
K. Johnson	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Young	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 110.6 12 115.8	SAC 125.7 +14.7 MIA 111.0
Pace	17 100.0 1 104.3	SAC 93.6 MIA 108.5 +14.9
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.5 30 13.1	SAC 15.4 MIA 13.3 −2.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 52.5% 18 54.2%	SAC 60.2% +6.7% MIA 53.5%
TO %	15 13.7% 5 12.6%	SAC 9.7% −1.9% MIA 11.6%
ORB %	13 25.9% 17 25.4%	SAC 21.1% MIA 22.9% +1.8%
FTrt	19 25.6 14 26.8	SAC 22.6 MIA 37.6 +15.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 10 66.3%	SAC 49.0% MIA 56.1% +7.1%
STL %	21 8.0% 17 8.3%	SAC 10.9% +5.9% MIA 5.0%
BLK %	19 8.6% 28 7.9%	SAC 9.3% +2.6% MIA 6.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 54.7% 15 56.8%	SAC 59.9% +4.4% MIA 55.5%
Rim FG%	8 65.9% 20 63.6%	SAC 68.8% +2.1% MIA 66.7%
Mid FG%	13 43.8% 21 42.4%	SAC 46.4% MIA 50.0% +3.6%
3P %	29 34.1% 11 36.1%	SAC 42.4% +13.4% MIA 29.0%
FT %	21 77.2% 11 79.2%	SAC 71.4% +8.9% MIA 62.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 28.0% 11 32.9%	SAC 34.4% MIA 35.3% +0.9%
Mid Att. %	30 38.1% 17 26.5%	SAC 30.1% MIA 28.2% −1.9%
3P Att. %	30 33.9% 18 40.6%	SAC 35.5% MIA 36.5% +1.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	SAC	MIA
Possessions	101	100
Possession Minutes	25.9	22.1
Points	127	111
Rebounds	45	41
Assists	24	23
Steals	11	5
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	13 (0)
Fouls	19	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (7)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (1)	30 (4)
Field Goals	49-93	41-85
At-the-Rim FG	22-32	20-30
Midrange FG	13-28	12-24
2-Point FG	35-60	32-54
3-Point FG	14-33	9-31
Free Throws	15-21	20-32
Fast Break Pts	25	11
2nd Chance Pts	17	22
Points in Paint	54	58
Pts off Turnovers	20	12
Bench Points	32	62
Biggest Lead	28	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg