Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, December 4, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Timberwolves	79%	120	125	111.6	112	108.4
	29	Pelicans	21%	110	116	105.5	110	113.8

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+16

-19

109

NOP

+10

-12

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.16 57.9%

NOP

1.07 53.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	36.5	28	67%	9	3	0	0	4	2	2	7	8-8	100%	7-15	47%	2-3	67%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	34.8	14	47%	7	5	2	2	2	4	2	5	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	0-2	0%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 29	32.1	15	75%	4	3	0	1	1	4	1	3	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	4-8	50%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	31.4	11	79%	6	4	1	3	8	4	0	6	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	23.9	15	63%	12	3	0	1	1	1	6	6	5-8	63%	5-8	63%	0-0	-

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	32.7	19	68%	7	6	1	2	0	1	0	7	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	4-9	44%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	16.8	2	14%	1	3	0	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-5	0%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	14.5	12	67%	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-6	33%
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	9.2	7	70%	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	8.2	2	33%	0	3	0	1	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Juzang #9 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	INACTIVE
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	58%	49	30	5	10	19	22	12	37	26-29	90%	27-54	50%	15-38	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

5 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	36.5	28	67%	9	3	0	0	4	2	2	7	8-8	100%	7-15	47%	2-3	67%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	34.8	14	47%	7	5	2	2	2	4	2	5	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	0-2	0%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 29	32.1	15	75%	4	3	0	1	1	4	1	3	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	4-8	50%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	31.4	11	79%	6	4	1	3	8	4	0	6	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	23.9	15	63%	12	3	0	1	1	1	6	6	5-8	63%	5-8	63%	0-0	-

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	32.7	19	68%	7	6	1	2	0	1	0	7	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	4-9	44%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	16.8	2	14%	1	3	0	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-5	0%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	14.5	12	67%	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-6	33%
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	9.2	7	70%	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	8.2	2	33%	0	3	0	1	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Juzang #9 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	INACTIVE
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	58%	49	30	5	10	19	22	12	37	26-29	90%	27-54	50%	15-38	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

29 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	33.9	15	50%	3	5	1	0	0	0	0	3	5-6	83%	5-9	56%	0-3	0%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 25	33.8	21	50%	7	8	2	0	2	2	2	5	7-8	88%	7-12	58%	0-5	0%
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	33.5	20	56%	7	6	1	0	3	3	1	6	2-2	100%	6-15	40%	2-2	100%
Saddiq Bey #41 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	33.2	20	53%	6	1	3	0	0	1	3	3	4-4	100%	8-12	67%	0-5	0%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	29.1	12	55%	4	5	1	0	1	5	1	3	4-4	100%	4-9	44%	0-0	-

Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 28	22.1	13	81%	3	1	2	0	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-5	60%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	18.5	8	80%	6	1	0	1	1	3	0	6	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	16.2	7	50%	3	1	0	1	1	2	1	2	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 24	15.2	0	0%	4	1	1	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	4.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #9 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot/ankle; Soreness
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Strain
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Adductor; Strain
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	54%	43	29	11	2	12	22	8	35	23-26	88%	36-70	51%	7-25	28%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	NOP
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	NOP

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.16 57.9%

NOP

1.07 53.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

62%

NOP

63%

Midrange

MIN

20%

NOP

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

22.5

39%

59%

NOP

10.5

28%

42%

Free Throws

MIN

90%

NOP

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Randle	28	67%	14.0 / 21
N. Reid	19	68%	9.5 / 14
D. DiVincenzo	15	75%	7.5 / 10
R. Gobert	15	63%	7.5 / 12
J. McDaniels	14	47%	7.0 / 15
J. Clark	12	67%	6.0 / 9
A. Edwards	11	79%	5.5 / 7
T. Shannon	7	70%	3.5 / 5
M. Conley	2	14%	1.0 / 7
R. Dillingham	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Murphy	21	50%	10.5 / 21
J. Fears	20	56%	10.0 / 18
S. Bey	20	53%	10.0 / 19
B. McGowens	15	50%	7.5 / 15
J. Alvarado	13	81%	6.5 / 8
D. Queen	12	55%	6.0 / 11
K. Matković	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Hawkins	7	50%	3.5 / 7
M. Peavy	0	-	0.0 / 2
T. Alexander	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 115.7 20 113.3	MIN 111.6 +6.2 NOP 105.5
Pace	9 101.4 11 101.3	MIN 108.4 NOP 113.8 +5.4
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 22 14.1	MIN 13.3 NOP 12.7 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 55.9% 27 52.7%	MIN 53.8% +4.9% NOP 48.9%
TO %	18 13.9% 11 13.2%	MIN 16.0% NOP 10.1% −5.9%
ORB %	15 25.7% 8 27.0%	MIN 25.5% +7.7% NOP 17.8%
FTrt	7 28.5 8 28.4	MIN 31.5 +4.1 NOP 27.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	21 61.2% 26 59.6%	MIN 71.4% +4.0% NOP 67.4%
STL %	13 8.6% 10 8.7%	MIN 4.5% NOP 10.0% +5.5%
BLK %	6 10.4% 7 10.1%	MIN 14.3% +10.6% NOP 3.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 57.6% 25 55.4%	MIN 57.9% +4.2% NOP 53.7%
Rim FG%	10 65.7% 29 61.5%	MIN 61.5% NOP 63.0% +1.5%
Mid FG%	14 43.7% 30 36.6%	MIN 20.0% NOP 29.2% +9.2%
3P %	6 37.0% 24 34.7%	MIN 39.5% +11.5% NOP 28.0%
FT %	29 75.2% 14 78.4%	MIN 89.7% +1.2% NOP 88.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 33.0% 1 42.8%	MIN 42.4% NOP 48.4% +6.0%
Mid Att. %	10 25.0% 5 21.7%	MIN 16.3% −9.0% NOP 25.3%
3P Att. %	16 42.0% 27 35.5%	MIN 41.3% +15.0% NOP 26.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Game Totals	MIN	NOP
Possessions	112	110
Possession Minutes	24.8	23.2
Points	125	116
Rebounds	49	43
Assists	30	29
Steals	5	11
Blocks	10	2
Turnovers (Team)	19 (1)	12 (0)
Fouls	22	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (4)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (6)	35 (1)
Field Goals	42-92	43-95
At-the-Rim FG	24-39	29-46
Midrange FG	3-15	7-24
2-Point FG	27-54	36-70
3-Point FG	15-38	7-25
Free Throws	26-29	23-26
Fast Break Pts	23	16
2nd Chance Pts	11	8
Points in Paint	52	68
Pts off Turnovers	16	23
Bench Points	42	28
Biggest Lead	13	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg