Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, December 8, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Kings	44%	114	105	104.0	101	105.4
	23	Pacers	56%	116	116	116.0	100	96.0

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+19

-19

101

IND

+14

-13

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.05 52.5%

IND

1.15 57.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

26 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	40.3	24	71%	13	14	2	1	3	2	2	11	2-4	50%	8-13	62%	2-3	67%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	38.0	16	57%	2	3	1	0	5	0	0	2	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	2-6	33%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	37.5	8	36%	10	2	0	0	2	4	2	8	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	1-5	20%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	36.1	20	56%	5	3	1	0	1	4	3	2	4-5	80%	8-14	57%	0-2	0%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	23.2	13	65%	8	3	0	0	3	3	3	5	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	0-0	-

Precious Achiuwa #9 · C · 6'8" 243 · 26	21.0	11	55%	5	2	2	2	0	1	3	2	1-3	33%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	15.1	3	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	14.1	7	58%	2	0	0	1	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-1	100%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	9.2	0	0%	4	1	0	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-2	0%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	5.5	3	50%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip Flexor; Strain
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Partial Meniscus Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	53%	51	28	6	4	19	18	15	36	16-23	70%	34-66	52%	7-22	32%

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26 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	40.3	24	71%	13	14	2	1	3	2	2	11	2-4	50%	8-13	62%	2-3	67%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	38.0	16	57%	2	3	1	0	5	0	0	2	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	2-6	33%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	37.5	8	36%	10	2	0	0	2	4	2	8	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	1-5	20%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	36.1	20	56%	5	3	1	0	1	4	3	2	4-5	80%	8-14	57%	0-2	0%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	23.2	13	65%	8	3	0	0	3	3	3	5	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	0-0	-

Precious Achiuwa #9 · C · 6'8" 243 · 26	21.0	11	55%	5	2	2	2	0	1	3	2	1-3	33%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	15.1	3	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	14.1	7	58%	2	0	0	1	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-1	100%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	9.2	0	0%	4	1	0	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-2	0%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	5.5	3	50%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip Flexor; Strain
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Partial Meniscus Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	53%	51	28	6	4	19	18	15	36	16-23	70%	34-66	52%	7-22	32%

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23 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 23	35.1	25	74%	6	2	1	0	1	3	0	6	7-7	100%	3-5	60%	4-9	44%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	34.6	23	52%	5	4	2	0	2	0	1	4	2-2	100%	9-17	53%	1-4	25%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	32.7	28	64%	4	12	2	0	3	3	0	4	6-8	75%	8-14	57%	2-4	50%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	31.4	8	50%	7	2	2	4	1	1	2	5	6-6	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	27.8	6	75%	5	0	2	0	0	2	3	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%

Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	18.4	12	86%	3	1	0	0	2	1	1	2	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 29	17.3	7	58%	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	2-6	33%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	16.6	0	0%	7	0	3	2	2	3	2	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	15.6	4	22%	1	3	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-9	22%	0-0	-
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	10.4	3	75%	2	0	2	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #25 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Stress Reaction
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee MCL; Sprain
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	57%	41	25	14	7	13	15	10	31	26-28	93%	24-52	46%	14-35	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	IND
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.05 52.5%

IND

1.15 57.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

56%

IND

52%

Midrange

SAC

47%

IND

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

10.5

32%

48%

IND

21.0

40%

60%

Free Throws

SAC

70%

IND

93%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Westbrook	24	71%	12.0 / 17
D. DeRozan	20	56%	10.0 / 18
Z. LaVine	16	57%	8.0 / 14
M. Raynaud	13	65%	6.5 / 10
P. Achiuwa	11	55%	5.5 / 10
K. Murray	8	36%	4.0 / 11
N. Clifford	7	58%	3.5 / 6
K. Ellis	3	50%	1.5 / 3
D. Eubanks	3	50%	1.5 / 3
M. Monk	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Nembhard	28	64%	14.0 / 22
B. Mathurin	25	74%	12.5 / 17
P. Siakam	23	52%	11.5 / 22
J. Walker	12	86%	6.0 / 7
J. Huff	8	50%	4.0 / 8
G. Mathews	7	58%	3.5 / 6
E. Thompson	6	75%	3.0 / 4
T. McConnell	4	22%	2.0 / 9
J. Furphy	3	75%	1.5 / 2
I. Jackson	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 110.6 28 110.1	SAC 104.0 IND 116.0 +12.0
Pace	17 100.0 10 101.4	SAC 105.4 +9.4 IND 96.0
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.5 25 13.9	SAC 13.7 −1.3 IND 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 52.5% 23 53.3%	SAC 50.6% IND 51.7% +1.1%
TO %	15 13.7% 14 13.6%	SAC 16.2% IND 12.4% −3.8%
ORB %	13 25.9% 29 21.7%	SAC 32.6% +10.9% IND 21.7%
FTrt	19 25.6 20 25.2	SAC 26.1 IND 32.2 +6.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 5 67.8%	SAC 68.3% +2.5% IND 65.8%
STL %	21 8.0% 28 7.2%	SAC 5.9% IND 14.0% +8.1%
BLK %	19 8.6% 26 8.1%	SAC 7.7% IND 10.6% +2.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 54.7% 24 55.4%	SAC 52.5% IND 57.4% +4.9%
Rim FG%	8 65.9% 25 62.9%	SAC 55.9% +3.7% IND 52.2%
Mid FG%	13 43.8% 19 42.7%	SAC 46.9% +5.5% IND 41.4%
3P %	29 34.1% 18 35.6%	SAC 31.8% IND 40.0% +8.2%
FT %	21 77.2% 17 77.6%	SAC 69.6% IND 92.9% +23.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 28.0% 23 30.3%	SAC 38.6% +12.2% IND 26.4%
Mid Att. %	30 38.1% 18 27.5%	SAC 36.4% IND 33.3% −3.0%
3P Att. %	30 33.9% 14 42.2%	SAC 25.0% IND 40.2% +15.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	SAC	IND
Possessions	101	100
Possession Minutes	23.0	25.0
Points	105	116
Rebounds	51	41
Assists	28	25
Steals	6	14
Blocks	4	7
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls	18	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (4)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (1)	31 (1)
Field Goals	41-88	38-87
At-the-Rim FG	19-34	12-23
Midrange FG	15-32	12-29
2-Point FG	34-66	24-52
3-Point FG	7-22	14-35
Free Throws	16-23	26-28
Fast Break Pts	12	12
2nd Chance Pts	18	11
Points in Paint	50	34
Pts off Turnovers	16	17
Bench Points	24	26
Biggest Lead	4	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg