Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, December 4, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Celtics	83%	120	146	150.5	97	97.0
	30	Wizards	17%	108	101	102.0	99	99.0

Scoring Opportunities

BOS

+20

-9

108

WAS

+18

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.35 67.6%

WAS

1.02 51.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

8 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 28	32.1	20	48%	6	8	1	0	1	1	5	1	1-1	100%	5-12	42%	3-9	33%
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 22	29.7	22	110%	7	3	2	1	0	4	2	5	5-6	83%	7-7	100%	1-1	100%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 31	28.8	30	71%	7	9	1	0	2	3	0	7	1-1	100%	7-9	78%	5-12	42%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 26	21.1	17	77%	4	2	1	4	1	4	2	2	3-4	75%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 28	20.5	6	50%	2	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-6	33%

Anfernee Simons #4 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	25.4	16	53%	2	3	2	0	0	2	0	2	4-4	100%	0-5	0%	4-8	50%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	25.0	5	83%	6	3	3	0	1	0	1	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	22.0	11	69%	4	2	1	0	1	0	1	3	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Hugo González #28 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	17.7	14	100%	5	0	0	1	1	3	3	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-2	100%
Luka Garza #52 · C · 6'10" 243 · 27	8.2	5	125%	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	4.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 26	4.7	0	0%	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Amari Williams #77 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Boucher #99 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Max Shulga #44 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Repair
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Non-Covid
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	146	68%	46	35	14	8	9	20	15	31	18-21	86%	34-52	65%	20-47	43%

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8 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 28	32.1	20	48%	6	8	1	0	1	1	5	1	1-1	100%	5-12	42%	3-9	33%
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 22	29.7	22	110%	7	3	2	1	0	4	2	5	5-6	83%	7-7	100%	1-1	100%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 31	28.8	30	71%	7	9	1	0	2	3	0	7	1-1	100%	7-9	78%	5-12	42%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 26	21.1	17	77%	4	2	1	4	1	4	2	2	3-4	75%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 28	20.5	6	50%	2	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-6	33%

Anfernee Simons #4 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	25.4	16	53%	2	3	2	0	0	2	0	2	4-4	100%	0-5	0%	4-8	50%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	25.0	5	83%	6	3	3	0	1	0	1	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	22.0	11	69%	4	2	1	0	1	0	1	3	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Hugo González #28 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	17.7	14	100%	5	0	0	1	1	3	3	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-2	100%
Luka Garza #52 · C · 6'10" 243 · 27	8.2	5	125%	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	4.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 26	4.7	0	0%	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Amari Williams #77 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Boucher #99 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Max Shulga #44 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Repair
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Non-Covid
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	146	68%	46	35	14	8	9	20	15	31	18-21	86%	34-52	65%	20-47	43%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	30.6	22	65%	2	3	1	1	4	4	1	1	5-5	100%	4-7	57%	3-8	38%
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	28.4	15	94%	3	1	2	0	4	4	0	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-4	75%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · C · 6'10" 235 · 27	25.6	5	25%	6	0	0	0	1	1	3	3	1-4	25%	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Khris Middleton #22 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 34	25.2	16	67%	3	4	0	0	2	2	0	3	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	1-3	33%
Jamir Watkins #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	18.4	2	100%	2	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	27.6	7	35%	3	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	2-6	33%
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	26.6	7	50%	4	2	0	0	3	4	3	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	18.1	4	18%	0	2	1	2	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-4	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	15.2	9	64%	7	1	1	0	1	0	1	6	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	11.4	10	71%	4	1	0	1	0	3	1	3	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 23	8.2	2	25%	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	4.7	2	100%	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Adductor; Strain
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Oblique; Strain
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Distal Phalanx Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	51%	37	21	5	4	18	22	12	25	21-25	84%	25-53	47%	10-31	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.35 67.6%

WAS

1.02 51.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

86%

WAS

69%

Midrange

BOS

42%

WAS

26%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

30.0

43%

64%

WAS

15.0

32%

48%

Free Throws

BOS

86%

WAS

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. White	30	71%	15.0 / 21
J. Walsh	22	110%	11.0 / 10
P. Pritchard	20	48%	10.0 / 21
N. Queta	17	77%	8.5 / 11
A. Simons	16	53%	8.0 / 15
H. González	14	100%	7.0 / 7
J. Minott	11	69%	5.5 / 8
S. Hauser	6	50%	3.0 / 6
B. Scheierman	5	83%	2.5 / 3
L. Garza	5	125%	2.5 / 2
R. Harper	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. McCollum	22	65%	11.0 / 17
K. Middleton	16	67%	8.0 / 12
K. George	15	94%	7.5 / 8
T. Vukcevic	10	71%	5.0 / 7
J. Champagnie	9	64%	4.5 / 7
B. Carrington	7	35%	3.5 / 10
W. Riley	7	50%	3.5 / 7
M. Bagley	5	25%	2.5 / 10
C. Whitmore	4	18%	2.0 / 11
J. Watkins	2	100%	1.0 / 1
M. Branham	2	25%	1.0 / 4
A. Gill	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 120.0 29 109.7	BOS 150.5 +48.5 WAS 102.0
Pace	30 95.5 5 102.5	BOS 97.0 WAS 99.0 +2.0
Avg. Poss. Time	2 15.7 23 14.0	BOS 14.8 WAS 14.5 −0.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 55.3% 21 53.5%	BOS 64.6% +17.0% WAS 47.6%
TO %	2 12.0% 26 14.7%	BOS 8.5% −7.4% WAS 15.9%
ORB %	6 29.2% 21 24.0%	BOS 37.5% +9.6% WAS 27.9%
FTrt	30 20.7 26 23.5	BOS 21.2 WAS 29.8 +8.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 58.5% 24 59.9%	BOS 64.8% +4.8% WAS 60.0%
STL %	25 7.4% 22 7.8%	BOS 14.4% +9.3% WAS 5.1%
BLK %	5 10.4% 9 10.0%	BOS 15.1% +7.4% WAS 7.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.21 and 2.21.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 56.9% 26 55.4%	BOS 67.6% +16.6% WAS 51.0%
Rim FG%	2 68.9% 15 64.7%	BOS 85.7% +16.5% WAS 69.2%
Mid FG%	12 44.2% 26 41.3%	BOS 41.7% +15.8% WAS 25.9%
3P %	8 36.7% 16 35.9%	BOS 42.6% +10.3% WAS 32.3%
FT %	7 80.7% 23 76.6%	BOS 85.7% +1.7% WAS 84.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30 24.4% 22 30.6%	BOS 28.3% WAS 31.0% +2.7%
Mid Att. %	24 28.9% 25 29.1%	BOS 24.2% −7.9% WAS 32.1%
3P Att. %	4 46.7% 20 40.3%	BOS 47.5% +10.6% WAS 36.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Game Totals	BOS	WAS
Possessions	97	99
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.0
Points	146	101
Rebounds	46	37
Assists	35	21
Steals	14	5
Blocks	8	4
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	18 (0)
Fouls	20	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (5)	12 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (3)	25 (1)
Field Goals	54-99	35-84
At-the-Rim FG	24-28	18-26
Midrange FG	10-24	7-27
2-Point FG	34-52	25-53
3-Point FG	20-47	10-31
Free Throws	18-21	21-25
Fast Break Pts	29	8
2nd Chance Pts	25	21
Points in Paint	58	40
Pts off Turnovers	29	15
Bench Points	51	41
Biggest Lead	45	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg