Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, December 1, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Bucks	74%	121	126	126.0	100	97.8
	30	Wizards	26%	113	129	123.8	101	103.3

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

+13

-16

WAS

+18

-10

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.33 66.3%

WAS

1.15 57.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

17 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 31	31.6	26	59%	7	4	1	1	5	6	3	4	6-11	55%	10-16	63%	0-1	0%
Kevin Porter Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 26	31.0	30	94%	4	5	3	0	1	2	0	4	1-2	50%	7-9	78%	5-6	83%
AJ Green #20 · SF · 6'4" 190 · 26	30.9	13	108%	5	5	0	0	2	2	0	5	1-1	100%	0-0	-	4-6	67%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	29.6	14	54%	2	5	0	1	3	2	0	2	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	3-7	43%
Myles Turner #3 · C · 6'11" 250 · 30	26.1	9	45%	3	3	1	1	2	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-8	38%

Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 27	30.5	14	88%	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 30	19.9	3	50%	2	6	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-1	100%
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 27	18.1	5	63%	7	0	0	0	0	3	3	4	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	17.4	12	60%	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 26	4.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Amir Coffey #17 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Antetokounmpo #29 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mark Sears #19 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Neck; Surgery
Gary Harris #11 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	66%	35	29	5	4	16	16	7	28	13-21	62%	25-46	54%	21-38	55%

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17 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 31	31.6	26	59%	7	4	1	1	5	6	3	4	6-11	55%	10-16	63%	0-1	0%
Kevin Porter Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 26	31.0	30	94%	4	5	3	0	1	2	0	4	1-2	50%	7-9	78%	5-6	83%
AJ Green #20 · SF · 6'4" 190 · 26	30.9	13	108%	5	5	0	0	2	2	0	5	1-1	100%	0-0	-	4-6	67%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	29.6	14	54%	2	5	0	1	3	2	0	2	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	3-7	43%
Myles Turner #3 · C · 6'11" 250 · 30	26.1	9	45%	3	3	1	1	2	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-8	38%

Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 27	30.5	14	88%	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 30	19.9	3	50%	2	6	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-1	100%
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 27	18.1	5	63%	7	0	0	0	0	3	3	4	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	17.4	12	60%	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 26	4.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Amir Coffey #17 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Antetokounmpo #29 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mark Sears #19 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Neck; Surgery
Gary Harris #11 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	66%	35	29	5	4	16	16	7	28	13-21	62%	25-46	54%	21-38	55%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	35.6	28	64%	4	5	1	0	0	1	0	4	2-3	67%	7-10	70%	4-11	36%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 21	32.6	7	39%	5	2	3	1	3	3	0	5	0-1	0%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Khris Middleton #22 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 34	31.4	15	68%	4	6	1	0	2	3	0	4	1-3	33%	4-7	57%	2-3	67%
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 22	30.9	9	41%	3	5	1	1	3	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-5	0%	3-6	50%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · C · 6'10" 235 · 27	29.3	22	73%	9	1	0	0	0	2	7	2	0-0	-	11-15	73%	0-1	0%

Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	21.9	5	42%	2	5	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	19.7	16	80%	2	2	2	0	0	3	0	2	7-8	88%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	19.4	17	61%	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	3	0-0	-	7-11	64%	1-3	33%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	19.3	10	63%	8	2	1	2	0	1	6	2	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Adductor; Soreness
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Distal Phalanx Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	57%	41	29	9	4	10	17	14	27	10-15	67%	39-65	60%	13-36	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	WAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.33 66.3%

WAS

1.15 57.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

68%

WAS

67%

Midrange

MIL

44%

WAS

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

31.5

55%

83%

WAS

19.5

36%

54%

Free Throws

MIL

62%

WAS

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Porter	30	94%	15.0 / 16
G. Antetokounmpo	26	59%	13.0 / 22
R. Rollins	14	54%	7.0 / 13
G. Trent	14	88%	7.0 / 8
A. Green	13	108%	6.5 / 6
B. Portis	12	60%	6.0 / 10
M. Turner	9	45%	4.5 / 10
J. Sims	5	63%	2.5 / 4
K. Kuzma	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. McCollum	28	64%	14.0 / 22
M. Bagley	22	73%	11.0 / 15
C. Whitmore	17	61%	8.5 / 14
T. Vukcevic	16	80%	8.0 / 10
K. Middleton	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Champagnie	10	63%	5.0 / 8
K. George	9	41%	4.5 / 11
B. Coulibaly	7	39%	3.5 / 9
B. Carrington	5	42%	2.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	24 112.3 29 109.7	MIL 126.0 +2.2 WAS 123.8
Pace	24 98.1 5 102.5	MIL 97.8 WAS 103.3 +5.5
Avg. Poss. Time	7 14.8 23 14.0	MIL 14.7 WAS 13.9 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 56.5% 21 53.5%	MIL 67.3% +9.0% WAS 58.3%
TO %	24 14.7% 26 14.7%	MIL 15.4% WAS 8.4% −7.0%
ORB %	30 21.1% 21 24.0%	MIL 20.6% WAS 33.3% +12.7%
FTrt	29 22.3 26 23.5	MIL 25.0 +10.3 WAS 14.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 63.3% 24 59.9%	MIL 63.0% +8.3% WAS 54.7%
STL %	23 7.5% 22 7.8%	MIL 5.0% WAS 8.9% +3.9%
BLK %	25 8.2% 9 10.0%	MIL 6.2% WAS 8.7% +2.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.5% 26 55.4%	MIL 66.3% +9.0% WAS 57.3%
Rim FG%	4 67.1% 15 64.7%	MIL 68.4% +1.7% WAS 66.7%
Mid FG%	20 42.6% 26 41.3%	MIL 44.4% WAS 53.1% +8.7%
3P %	2 38.7% 16 35.9%	MIL 55.3% +19.2% WAS 36.1%
FT %	30 73.0% 23 76.6%	MIL 61.9% WAS 66.7% +4.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 28.2% 22 30.6%	MIL 22.6% WAS 32.4% +9.7%
Mid Att. %	16 26.1% 25 29.1%	MIL 32.1% WAS 31.4% −0.8%
3P Att. %	5 45.7% 20 40.3%	MIL 45.2% +9.9% WAS 35.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Game Totals	MIL	WAS
Possessions	100	101
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	126	125
Rebounds	35	41
Assists	29	29
Steals	5	9
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	10 (0)
Fouls	16	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (6)	14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (5)	27 (4)
Field Goals	46-84	53-102
At-the-Rim FG	13-19	22-33
Midrange FG	12-27	17-32
2-Point FG	25-46	39-65
3-Point FG	21-38	13-36
Free Throws	13-21	10-15
Fast Break Pts	14	11
2nd Chance Pts	10	20
Points in Paint	34	58
Pts off Turnovers	18	17
Bench Points	34	48
Biggest Lead	16	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg