Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, November 28, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Grizzlies	39%	111	112	113.1	99	97.3
	11	Clippers	61%	115	107	108.1	99	100.8

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+19

-15

103

LAC

+13

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.10 54.9%

LAC

1.08 54.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	32.0	5	50%	19	2	0	3	1	3	6	13	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	30.8	24	80%	2	2	0	0	2	3	1	1	3-4	75%	6-8	75%	3-5	60%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	30.7	7	35%	4	1	0	0	2	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	28.1	13	59%	6	2	1	0	1	3	3	3	8-8	100%	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 25	23.3	16	47%	1	5	1	1	3	3	0	1	0-0	-	5-10	50%	2-7	29%

Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	24.6	10	56%	2	4	1	1	4	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	22.3	13	72%	7	5	0	0	0	1	1	6	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	2-2	100%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	21.2	12	60%	4	1	1	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	4-7	57%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	16.0	12	46%	6	0	0	0	1	1	3	3	2-4	50%	2-7	29%	2-4	50%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	11.1	0	0%	2	2	1	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Turf Toe
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	55%	53	25	5	6	15	19	15	38	17-22	77%	22-48	46%	17-40	43%

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15 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	32.0	5	50%	19	2	0	3	1	3	6	13	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	30.8	24	80%	2	2	0	0	2	3	1	1	3-4	75%	6-8	75%	3-5	60%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	30.7	7	35%	4	1	0	0	2	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	28.1	13	59%	6	2	1	0	1	3	3	3	8-8	100%	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 25	23.3	16	47%	1	5	1	1	3	3	0	1	0-0	-	5-10	50%	2-7	29%

Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	24.6	10	56%	2	4	1	1	4	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	22.3	13	72%	7	5	0	0	0	1	1	6	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	2-2	100%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	21.2	12	60%	4	1	1	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	4-7	57%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	16.0	12	46%	6	0	0	0	1	1	3	3	2-4	50%	2-7	29%	2-4	50%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	11.1	0	0%	2	2	1	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Turf Toe
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	55%	53	25	5	6	15	19	15	38	17-22	77%	22-48	46%	17-40	43%

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11 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	40.1	23	55%	7	11	2	0	5	5	1	6	7-7	100%	2-5	40%	4-13	31%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	39.1	9	41%	12	5	0	2	2	3	3	9	1-1	100%	4-11	36%	0-0	-
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	32.8	10	38%	7	0	0	1	1	4	2	5	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-4	0%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 32	30.4	11	55%	7	1	5	0	2	1	2	5	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 34	28.5	39	72%	3	0	1	0	1	0	0	3	6-6	100%	12-17	71%	3-7	43%

Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	23.3	2	100%	1	0	2	2	1	3	0	1	2-3	67%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	16.4	5	36%	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 41	15.0	5	63%	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 23	14.2	3	38%	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jahmyl Telfort #19 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Contusion
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	54%	39	19	13	5	13	21	8	31	19-21	90%	26-51	51%	12-38	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	LAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.10 54.9%

LAC

1.08 54.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

42%

LAC

62%

Midrange

MEM

48%

LAC

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

25.5

43%

64%

LAC

18.0

32%

47%

Free Throws

MEM

77%

LAC

90%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jackson	24	80%	12.0 / 15
V. Williams	16	47%	8.0 / 17
J. Wells	13	59%	6.5 / 11
S. Aldama	13	72%	6.5 / 9
K. Caldwell-Pope	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Landale	12	46%	6.0 / 13
C. Spencer	10	56%	5.0 / 9
C. Coward	7	35%	3.5 / 10
Z. Edey	5	50%	2.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	39	72%	19.5 / 27
J. Harden	23	55%	11.5 / 21
K. Dunn	11	55%	5.5 / 10
J. Collins	10	38%	5.0 / 13
I. Zubac	9	41%	4.5 / 11
K. Brown	5	36%	2.5 / 7
C. Paul	5	63%	2.5 / 4
K. Sanders	3	38%	1.5 / 4
N. Batum	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 112.4 11 116.4	MEM 113.1 +5.1 LAC 108.1
Pace	7 101.8 28 97.3	MEM 97.3 LAC 100.8 +3.5
Avg. Poss. Time	26 13.8 5 15.0	MEM 14.8 LAC 14.3 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.3% 8 55.9%	MEM 54.0% +4.6% LAC 49.4%
TO %	22 14.3% 17 13.9%	MEM 13.3% LAC 11.7% −1.6%
ORB %	19 24.7% 23 23.7%	MEM 32.6% +15.2% LAC 17.4%
FTrt	21 25.1 3 29.5	MEM 25.0 +1.4 LAC 23.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 67.4% 29 58.6%	MEM 64.1% +14.1% LAC 50.0%
STL %	11 8.7% 5 9.2%	MEM 5.1% LAC 13.1% +8.0%
BLK %	14 9.1% 13 9.5%	MEM 11.8% +1.4% LAC 10.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.8% 3 58.7%	MEM 54.9% +0.9% LAC 54.0%
Rim FG%	26 62.8% 3 67.1%	MEM 42.1% LAC 61.9% +19.8%
Mid FG%	11 44.2% 10 44.2%	MEM 48.3% +5.0% LAC 43.3%
3P %	22 35.3% 7 36.8%	MEM 42.5% +10.9% LAC 31.6%
FT %	9 79.3% 1 82.3%	MEM 77.3% LAC 90.5% +13.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 28.6% 15 31.6%	MEM 21.6% LAC 23.6% +2.0%
Mid Att. %	19 27.8% 20 27.9%	MEM 33.0% −0.8% LAC 33.7%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 19 40.4%	MEM 45.5% +2.8% LAC 42.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	LAC
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	112	107
Rebounds	53	39
Assists	25	19
Steals	5	13
Blocks	6	5
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls	19	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (4)	8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (1)	31 (2)
Field Goals	39-88	38-89
At-the-Rim FG	8-19	13-21
Midrange FG	14-29	13-30
2-Point FG	22-48	26-51
3-Point FG	17-40	12-38
Free Throws	17-22	19-21
Fast Break Pts	5	22
2nd Chance Pts	18	16
Points in Paint	42	38
Pts off Turnovers	11	19
Bench Points	47	15
Biggest Lead	9	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg