Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, November 28, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Spurs	34%	117	139	136.3	102	105.0
	9	Nuggets	66%	122	136	136.0	100	97.2

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+19

-8

113

DEN

+21

-16

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.24 62.1%

DEN

1.30 64.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

17 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	36.4	25	69%	10	2	1	2	0	3	3	7	10-10	100%	3-6	50%	3-9	33%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	34.1	15	38%	1	12	1	1	3	0	0	1	2-3	67%	5-13	38%	1-6	17%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 25	31.3	35	92%	3	2	1	0	0	4	1	2	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	7-9	78%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	30.9	10	45%	3	5	1	0	2	5	2	1	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-6	17%
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 30	27.7	12	67%	6	2	0	2	1	4	3	3	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-

Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	22.4	14	78%	8	2	0	0	1	2	1	7	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	15.6	4	50%	1	2	1	0	0	5	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	15.3	11	61%	0	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	12.5	7	88%	1	0	1	0	1	3	1	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	7.9	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	5.8	3	50%	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	139	62%	35	30	10	5	8	27	12	23	30-32	94%	29-52	56%	17-42	40%

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17 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	36.4	25	69%	10	2	1	2	0	3	3	7	10-10	100%	3-6	50%	3-9	33%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	34.1	15	38%	1	12	1	1	3	0	0	1	2-3	67%	5-13	38%	1-6	17%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 25	31.3	35	92%	3	2	1	0	0	4	1	2	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	7-9	78%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	30.9	10	45%	3	5	1	0	2	5	2	1	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-6	17%
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 30	27.7	12	67%	6	2	0	2	1	4	3	3	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-

Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	22.4	14	78%	8	2	0	0	1	2	1	7	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	15.6	4	50%	1	2	1	0	0	5	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	15.3	11	61%	0	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	12.5	7	88%	1	0	1	0	1	3	1	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	7.9	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	5.8	3	50%	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	139	62%	35	30	10	5	8	27	12	23	30-32	94%	29-52	56%	17-42	40%

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9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 30	37.8	28	82%	6	1	2	1	3	3	2	4	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	6-9	67%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	36.2	37	80%	4	7	0	1	2	4	1	3	6-7	86%	8-12	67%	5-8	63%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	36.0	21	81%	9	10	1	1	4	5	2	7	6-8	75%	6-9	67%	1-1	100%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 23	33.7	15	58%	6	3	1	1	1	3	3	3	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	1-5	20%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	22.8	9	45%	1	3	1	1	1	1	0	1	0-2	0%	3-4	75%	1-5	20%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	28.5	15	63%	2	1	0	0	2	2	0	2	5-5	100%	2-3	67%	2-7	29%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	19.3	3	17%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	0-2	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	13.8	4	50%	4	0	0	0	2	2	3	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	12.0	4	67%	8	1	0	0	1	1	2	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Injury Management
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	136	65%	44	27	5	5	16	22	14	30	24-30	80%	32-52	62%	16-39	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.24 62.1%

DEN

1.30 64.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

67%

DEN

76%

Midrange

SAS

46%

DEN

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

25.5

40%

61%

DEN

24.0

41%

62%

Free Throws

SAS

94%

DEN

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Vassell	35	92%	17.5 / 19
J. Champagnie	25	69%	12.5 / 18
D. Fox	15	38%	7.5 / 20
K. Johnson	14	78%	7.0 / 9
L. Kornet	12	67%	6.0 / 9
D. Harper	11	61%	5.5 / 9
H. Barnes	10	45%	5.0 / 11
K. Olynyk	7	88%	3.5 / 4
J. Sochan	4	50%	2.0 / 4
L. Waters	3	150%	1.5 / 1
C. Bryant	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	37	80%	18.5 / 23
C. Johnson	28	82%	14.0 / 17
N. Jokić	21	81%	10.5 / 13
P. Watson	15	58%	7.5 / 13
T. Hardaway	15	63%	7.5 / 12
S. Jones	9	45%	4.5 / 10
Z. Nnaji	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Valančiūnas	4	67%	2.0 / 3
B. Brown	3	17%	1.5 / 9

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 118.9 1 121.3	SAS 136.3 +0.3 DEN 136.0
Pace	13 100.5 19 99.4	SAS 105.0 +7.8 DEN 97.2
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.2 9 14.7	SAS 13.7 −1.1 DEN 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 55.9% 1 57.7%	SAS 58.0% DEN 61.5% +3.5%
TO %	4 12.5% 3 12.1%	SAS 7.7% −6.3% DEN 14.0%
ORB %	10 26.2% 24 23.6%	SAS 28.6% DEN 37.8% +9.2%
FTrt	12 27.3 4 29.4	SAS 34.0 +1.0 DEN 33.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 64.6% 9 66.5%	SAS 65.2% +8.9% DEN 56.3%
STL %	24 7.5% 30 6.8%	SAS 9.8% +4.8% DEN 5.0%
BLK %	10 10.0% 29 7.6%	SAS 9.6% DEN 9.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 58.1% 1 60.1%	SAS 62.1% DEN 64.8% +2.7%
Rim FG%	9 65.8% 12 65.1%	SAS 66.7% DEN 76.2% +9.5%
Mid FG%	5 45.1% 2 47.0%	SAS 46.4% DEN 51.6% +5.2%
3P %	15 35.9% 1 39.6%	SAS 40.5% DEN 41.0% +0.5%
FT %	12 78.7% 5 80.8%	SAS 93.8% +13.8% DEN 80.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 34.4% 19 31.1%	SAS 25.5% +2.5% DEN 23.1%
Mid Att. %	7 23.4% 21 28.1%	SAS 29.8% −4.3% DEN 34.1%
3P Att. %	15 42.2% 17 40.8%	SAS 44.7% +1.8% DEN 42.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	SAS	DEN
Possessions	102	100
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.7
Points	139	136
Rebounds	35	44
Assists	30	27
Steals	10	5
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	8 (1)	16 (1)
Fouls	27	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (7)	14 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (1)	30 (1)
Field Goals	46-94	48-91
At-the-Rim FG	16-24	16-21
Midrange FG	13-28	16-31
2-Point FG	29-52	32-52
3-Point FG	17-42	16-39
Free Throws	30-32	24-30
Fast Break Pts	16	16
2nd Chance Pts	21	22
Points in Paint	48	44
Pts off Turnovers	30	14
Bench Points	42	26
Biggest Lead	8	18

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg