Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, December 1, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Mavericks	23%	112	131	128.4	102	98.9
	9	Nuggets	77%	122	121	119.8	101	104.3

Scoring Opportunities

DAL

-8

103

DEN

+14

-7

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.28 64.2%

DEN

1.12 56.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	34.9	28	100%	3	10	0	0	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	8-9	89%	4-5	80%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	33.4	24	60%	8	2	2	1	2	1	0	8	3-4	75%	9-16	56%	1-3	33%
Naji Marshall #13 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 28	32.6	9	64%	7	6	0	0	3	3	2	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Anthony Davis #3 · C · 6'10" 253 · 33	32.4	32	64%	13	4	1	2	0	2	4	9	4-5	80%	11-19	58%	2-4	50%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	29.3	9	90%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-4	75%

Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	23.5	15	68%	5	1	0	0	1	0	0	5	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	3-5	60%
D'Angelo Russell #5 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	18.1	8	50%	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	15.6	4	100%	2	4	0	0	0	4	0	2	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	13.2	2	20%	1	4	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	7.1	0	0%	2	1	1	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Miles Kelly #14 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23	INACTIVE
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Injury Management
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Injury Management
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	64%	43	35	4	4	8	19	7	36	9-14	64%	37-64	58%	16-31	52%

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25 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	34.9	28	100%	3	10	0	0	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	8-9	89%	4-5	80%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	33.4	24	60%	8	2	2	1	2	1	0	8	3-4	75%	9-16	56%	1-3	33%
Naji Marshall #13 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 28	32.6	9	64%	7	6	0	0	3	3	2	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Anthony Davis #3 · C · 6'10" 253 · 33	32.4	32	64%	13	4	1	2	0	2	4	9	4-5	80%	11-19	58%	2-4	50%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	29.3	9	90%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-4	75%

Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	23.5	15	68%	5	1	0	0	1	0	0	5	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	3-5	60%
D'Angelo Russell #5 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	18.1	8	50%	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	15.6	4	100%	2	4	0	0	0	4	0	2	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	13.2	2	20%	1	4	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	7.1	0	0%	2	1	1	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Miles Kelly #14 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23	INACTIVE
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Injury Management
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Injury Management
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	64%	43	35	4	4	8	19	7	36	9-14	64%	37-64	58%	16-31	52%

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9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	38.9	28	88%	5	0	0	0	1	2	4	1	2-2	100%	7-9	78%	4-6	67%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	37.0	29	54%	20	13	1	2	2	2	4	16	6-7	86%	7-14	50%	3-10	30%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 30	36.3	10	45%	1	2	2	0	1	2	0	1	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 23	34.5	15	54%	5	3	0	3	0	0	0	5	0-0	-	6-10	60%	1-4	25%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	26.5	10	56%	4	9	1	0	3	1	1	3	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	2-3	67%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	30.5	13	54%	1	6	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	5-6	83%	1-6	17%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	19.7	7	39%	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	3	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	11.0	8	57%	7	2	0	0	0	0	2	5	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	5.6	1	50%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Injury Management
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	56%	47	37	5	5	7	11	12	35	15-18	83%	35-62	56%	12-37	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.28 64.2%

DEN

1.12 56.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

66%

DEN

60%

Midrange

DAL

51%

DEN

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

24.0

52%

77%

DEN

18.0

32%

49%

Free Throws

DAL

64%

DEN

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Davis	32	64%	16.0 / 25
R. Nembhard	28	100%	14.0 / 14
C. Flagg	24	60%	12.0 / 20
K. Thompson	15	68%	7.5 / 11
N. Marshall	9	64%	4.5 / 7
M. Christie	9	90%	4.5 / 5
D. Russell	8	50%	4.0 / 8
D. Powell	4	100%	2.0 / 2
B. Williams	2	20%	1.0 / 5
C. Martin	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	29	54%	14.5 / 27
S. Jones	28	88%	14.0 / 16
P. Watson	15	54%	7.5 / 14
T. Hardaway	13	54%	6.5 / 12
C. Johnson	10	45%	5.0 / 11
J. Murray	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Valančiūnas	8	57%	4.0 / 7
B. Brown	7	39%	3.5 / 9
Z. Nnaji	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 110.4 1 121.3	DAL 128.4 +8.6 DEN 119.8
Pace	6 102.5 19 99.4	DAL 98.9 DEN 104.3 +5.4
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.0 9 14.7	DAL 14.6 DEN 13.8 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 52.7% 1 57.7%	DAL 64.2% +10.7% DEN 53.5%
TO %	13 13.5% 3 12.1%	DAL 7.3% DEN 7.0% −0.3%
ORB %	26 23.2% 24 23.6%	DAL 16.7% DEN 25.0% +8.3%
FTrt	6 28.7 4 29.4	DAL 14.7 DEN 18.2 +3.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 60.4% 9 66.5%	DAL 66.0% DEN 78.7% +12.7%
STL %	27 7.3% 30 6.8%	DAL 3.9% DEN 5.0% +1.1%
BLK %	16 9.0% 29 7.6%	DAL 6.5% DEN 7.8% +1.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 55.2% 1 60.1%	DAL 64.2% +8.2% DEN 56.0%
Rim FG%	22 63.2% 12 65.1%	DAL 65.5% +5.5% DEN 60.0%
Mid FG%	18 43.1% 2 47.0%	DAL 51.4% +1.4% DEN 50.0%
3P %	26 34.4% 1 39.6%	DAL 51.6% +19.2% DEN 32.4%
FT %	28 75.5% 5 80.8%	DAL 64.3% DEN 83.3% +19.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 32.8% 19 31.1%	DAL 30.5% DEN 40.4% +9.9%
Mid Att. %	28 31.7% 21 28.1%	DAL 36.8% DEN 22.2% −14.6%
3P Att. %	26 35.5% 17 40.8%	DAL 32.6% DEN 37.4% +4.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	DAL	DEN
Possessions	102	101
Possession Minutes	24.8	23.2
Points	131	121
Rebounds	43	47
Assists	35	37
Steals	4	5
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	8 (0)	7 (1)
Fouls	19	11
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (2)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (2)	35 (2)
Field Goals	53-95	47-99
At-the-Rim FG	19-29	24-40
Midrange FG	18-35	11-22
2-Point FG	37-64	35-62
3-Point FG	16-31	12-37
Free Throws	9-14	15-18
Fast Break Pts	18	11
2nd Chance Pts	6	12
Points in Paint	54	60
Pts off Turnovers	13	13
Bench Points	29	29
Biggest Lead	12	17

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg