Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, December 7, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Nuggets	79%	123	115	118.6	97	105.0
	28	Hornets	21%	113	106	109.3	97	90.2

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

-10

CHA

+15

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.22 61.2%

CHA

1.09 54.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

7 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 30	38.6	8	44%	4	3	0	0	0	4	1	3	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	35.5	34	65%	3	5	1	0	0	1	0	3	4-4	100%	12-16	75%	2-9	22%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	34.8	28	82%	9	11	1	0	4	2	0	9	2-3	67%	7-8	88%	4-8	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	30.4	10	45%	8	1	0	1	4	0	1	7	1-5	20%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Spencer Jones #21 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 24	24.6	8	80%	2	1	2	0	1	5	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	26.9	14	78%	1	2	2	0	0	1	0	1	6-6	100%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	19.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	16.1	5	83%	4	3	1	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	13.2	8	44%	4	3	1	1	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Injury Management
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	61%	35	29	8	2	10	19	5	30	16-22	73%	30-48	63%	13-35	37%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

7 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 30	38.6	8	44%	4	3	0	0	0	4	1	3	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	35.5	34	65%	3	5	1	0	0	1	0	3	4-4	100%	12-16	75%	2-9	22%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	34.8	28	82%	9	11	1	0	4	2	0	9	2-3	67%	7-8	88%	4-8	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	30.4	10	45%	8	1	0	1	4	0	1	7	1-5	20%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Spencer Jones #21 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 24	24.6	8	80%	2	1	2	0	1	5	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	26.9	14	78%	1	2	2	0	0	1	0	1	6-6	100%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	19.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	16.1	5	83%	4	3	1	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	13.2	8	44%	4	3	1	1	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Injury Management
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	61%	35	29	8	2	10	19	5	30	16-22	73%	30-48	63%	13-35	37%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

28 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 28	36.9	24	55%	9	8	1	0	3	1	2	7	4-6	67%	10-13	77%	0-6	0%
Kon Knueppel #7 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	33.5	14	50%	4	4	1	0	2	3	1	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	2-10	20%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	29.5	17	43%	5	5	1	1	5	2	3	2	3-3	100%	1-9	11%	4-10	40%
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	29.3	16	53%	5	1	1	0	0	0	1	4	2-4	50%	4-6	67%	2-8	25%
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24	24.5	6	75%	6	0	0	2	1	6	0	6	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Sion James #4 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 23	25.9	7	50%	2	1	1	0	1	3	1	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Mason Plumlee #22 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	21.9	4	67%	6	2	1	0	1	4	1	5	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Liam McNeeley #33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20	19.6	13	108%	4	2	1	0	0	1	0	4	1-2	50%	0-0	-	4-5	80%
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	15.8	5	83%	6	1	0	0	0	2	1	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Drew Peterson #9 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Sexton #8 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Quadriceps; Strain
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
Pat Connaughton #21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Bone Bruise
Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	55%	47	24	7	3	13	22	10	37	16-21	76%	24-39	62%	14-46	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	CHA
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	CHA

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.22 61.2%

CHA

1.09 54.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

61%

CHA

71%

Midrange

DEN

64%

CHA

55%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

19.5

37%

56%

CHA

21.0

30%

46%

Free Throws

DEN

73%

CHA

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	34	65%	17.0 / 26
N. Jokić	28	82%	14.0 / 17
T. Hardaway	14	78%	7.0 / 9
P. Watson	10	45%	5.0 / 11
C. Johnson	8	44%	4.0 / 9
S. Jones	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Valančiūnas	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. Pickett	5	83%	2.5 / 3
B. Brown	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Bridges	24	55%	12.0 / 22
B. Miller	17	43%	8.5 / 20
K. Simpson	16	53%	8.0 / 15
K. Knueppel	14	50%	7.0 / 14
L. McNeeley	13	108%	6.5 / 6
S. James	7	50%	3.5 / 7
R. Kalkbrenner	6	75%	3.0 / 4
T. Salaün	5	83%	2.5 / 3
M. Plumlee	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 121.3 5 118.6	DEN 118.6 +9.3 CHA 109.3
Pace	19 99.4 27 97.5	DEN 105.0 +14.8 CHA 90.2
Avg. Poss. Time	9 14.7 3 15.2	DEN 13.7 −2.3 CHA 16.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.7% 12 55.2%	DEN 59.6% +6.7% CHA 52.9%
TO %	3 12.1% 27 14.8%	DEN 9.7% −3.2% CHA 12.9%
ORB %	24 23.6% 4 30.5%	DEN 11.9% CHA 25.0% +13.1%
FTrt	4 29.4 23 24.4	DEN 26.5 +1.8 CHA 24.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 66.5% 14 64.3%	DEN 67.4% +4.2% CHA 63.2%
STL %	30 6.8% 29 7.2%	DEN 8.2% +1.0% CHA 7.2%
BLK %	29 7.6% 20 8.6%	DEN 5.1% CHA 6.3% +1.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 60.1% 10 57.3%	DEN 61.2% +6.6% CHA 54.6%
Rim FG%	12 65.1% 23 63.1%	DEN 60.9% CHA 70.6% +9.7%
Mid FG%	2 47.0% 25 41.4%	DEN 64.0% +9.5% CHA 54.5%
3P %	1 39.6% 3 37.8%	DEN 37.1% +6.7% CHA 30.4%
FT %	5 80.8% 2 81.8%	DEN 72.7% CHA 76.2% +3.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 31.1% 25 29.3%	DEN 27.7% +7.7% CHA 20.0%
Mid Att. %	21 28.1% 6 22.0%	DEN 30.1% CHA 25.9% −4.2%
3P Att. %	17 40.8% 2 48.7%	DEN 42.2% CHA 54.1% +11.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	DEN	CHA
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	22.2	25.8
Points	115	106
Rebounds	35	47
Assists	29	24
Steals	8	7
Blocks	2	3
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls	19	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (2)	10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (5)	37 (1)
Field Goals	43-83	38-85
At-the-Rim FG	14-23	12-17
Midrange FG	16-25	12-22
2-Point FG	30-48	24-39
3-Point FG	13-35	14-46
Free Throws	16-22	16-21
Fast Break Pts	11	10
2nd Chance Pts	12	11
Points in Paint	46	46
Pts off Turnovers	15	13
Bench Points	27	29
Biggest Lead	14	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg