Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 5, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Spurs	35%	116	117	113.6	103	101.1
	7	Cavaliers	65%	121	130	126.2	103	104.9

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+16

-14

105

CLE

+12

-14

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.10 55.2%

CLE

1.30 65.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

17 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	34.6	11	69%	4	1	3	0	0	0	1	3	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	32.8	25	60%	5	9	1	0	4	2	0	5	5-6	83%	7-12	58%	2-7	29%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 25	29.9	28	78%	3	3	0	1	2	4	1	2	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	7-13	54%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	28.6	7	50%	4	3	1	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	10.4	4	100%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-

Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	24.9	10	56%	5	1	1	0	1	3	5	0	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	24.8	14	54%	7	0	1	2	2	3	1	6	4-6	67%	5-8	63%	0-2	0%
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	23.3	3	12%	4	6	0	0	2	2	1	3	1-4	25%	1-6	17%	0-5	0%
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	9.9	9	90%	0	4	1	0	0	2	0	0	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	9.1	2	25%	3	0	0	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	6.0	3	75%	2	0	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	5.8	1	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	55%	38	28	9	3	14	22	11	27	18-26	69%	27-50	54%	15-43	35%

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17 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	34.6	11	69%	4	1	3	0	0	0	1	3	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	32.8	25	60%	5	9	1	0	4	2	0	5	5-6	83%	7-12	58%	2-7	29%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 25	29.9	28	78%	3	3	0	1	2	4	1	2	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	7-13	54%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	28.6	7	50%	4	3	1	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	10.4	4	100%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-

Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	24.9	10	56%	5	1	1	0	1	3	5	0	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	24.8	14	54%	7	0	1	2	2	3	1	6	4-6	67%	5-8	63%	0-2	0%
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	23.3	3	12%	4	6	0	0	2	2	1	3	1-4	25%	1-6	17%	0-5	0%
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	9.9	9	90%	0	4	1	0	0	2	0	0	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	9.1	2	25%	3	0	0	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	6.0	3	75%	2	0	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	5.8	1	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	55%	38	28	9	3	14	22	11	27	18-26	69%	27-50	54%	15-43	35%

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7 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	32.9	24	80%	6	2	0	2	2	3	2	4	0-1	0%	9-11	82%	2-4	50%
Evan Mobley #4 · C · 6'11" 215 · 24	32.3	17	61%	10	5	0	2	2	2	1	9	3-4	75%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Donovan Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'2" 215 · 29	31.8	28	64%	2	8	3	0	5	1	1	1	9-11	82%	8-12	67%	1-5	20%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · PF · 6'7" 221 · 28	20.6	11	61%	3	0	1	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 25	18.4	13	54%	2	2	0	0	0	2	2	0	2-4	50%	4-7	57%	1-3	33%

Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	29.2	12	100%	8	5	1	0	0	2	1	7	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	23.9	11	79%	7	1	2	0	0	3	1	6	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 28	22.4	2	50%	6	5	3	0	2	1	0	6	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	15.7	8	67%	3	2	0	0	1	2	1	2	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 24	10.5	2	33%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Chris Livingston #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	2.4	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Injury Management
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 3rd Finger; Strain
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Sprain
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	65%	48	32	10	4	14	22	9	39	22-29	76%	42-60	70%	8-26	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	CLE
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	CLE

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.10 55.2%

CLE

1.30 65.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

52%

CLE

70%

Midrange

SAS

57%

CLE

71%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

22.5

35%

52%

CLE

12.0

31%

46%

Free Throws

SAS

69%

CLE

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Vassell	28	78%	14.0 / 18
D. Fox	25	60%	12.5 / 21
K. Johnson	14	54%	7.0 / 13
J. Champagnie	11	69%	5.5 / 8
J. Sochan	10	56%	5.0 / 9
D. Jones Garcia	9	90%	4.5 / 5
H. Barnes	7	50%	3.5 / 7
B. Biyombo	4	100%	2.0 / 2
D. Harper	3	12%	1.5 / 13
L. Waters	3	75%	1.5 / 2
C. Bryant	2	25%	1.0 / 4
K. Olynyk	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell	28	64%	14.0 / 22
J. Tyson	24	80%	12.0 / 15
E. Mobley	17	61%	8.5 / 14
N. Tomlin	13	54%	6.5 / 12
D. Wade	12	100%	6.0 / 6
D. Hunter	11	61%	5.5 / 9
C. Porter	11	79%	5.5 / 7
T. Bryant	8	67%	4.0 / 6
L. Ball	2	50%	1.0 / 2
L. Travers	2	33%	1.0 / 3
C. Livingston	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 118.9 6 118.3	SAS 113.6 CLE 126.2 +12.6
Pace	13 100.5 12 100.6	SAS 101.1 CLE 104.9 +3.8
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.2 21 14.1	SAS 14.2 CLE 13.7 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 55.9% 5 56.1%	SAS 53.2% CLE 62.8% +9.6%
TO %	4 12.5% 10 13.2%	SAS 11.8% −1.4% CLE 13.2%
ORB %	10 26.2% 9 26.9%	SAS 22.0% CLE 25.0% +3.0%
FTrt	12 27.3 15 26.5	SAS 28.0 CLE 33.7 +5.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 64.6% 11 65.3%	SAS 66.7% +2.7% CLE 64.0%
STL %	24 7.5% 15 8.4%	SAS 8.7% CLE 9.7% +1.0%
BLK %	10 10.0% 11 9.8%	SAS 5.0% CLE 8.0% +3.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 58.1% 5 58.2%	SAS 55.2% CLE 65.0% +9.8%
Rim FG%	9 65.8% 7 66.1%	SAS 51.7% CLE 69.6% +17.9%
Mid FG%	5 45.1% 3 46.8%	SAS 57.1% CLE 71.4% +14.3%
3P %	15 35.9% 13 36.0%	SAS 34.9% +4.1% CLE 30.8%
FT %	12 78.7% 19 77.6%	SAS 69.2% CLE 75.9% +6.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 34.4% 14 31.7%	SAS 31.2% CLE 53.5% +22.3%
Mid Att. %	7 23.4% 8 24.1%	SAS 22.6% CLE 16.3% −6.3%
3P Att. %	15 42.2% 9 44.2%	SAS 46.2% +16.0% CLE 30.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	CLE
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.6
Points	117	130
Rebounds	38	48
Assists	28	32
Steals	9	10
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls	22	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (5)	9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (2)	39 (2)
Field Goals	42-93	50-86
At-the-Rim FG	15-29	32-46
Midrange FG	12-21	10-14
2-Point FG	27-50	42-60
3-Point FG	15-43	8-26
Free Throws	18-26	22-29
Fast Break Pts	6	24
2nd Chance Pts	18	16
Points in Paint	44	80
Pts off Turnovers	11	19
Bench Points	42	37
Biggest Lead	10	20

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg