Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, December 6, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Warriors	35%	113	99	104.2	95	91.3
	4	Cavaliers	65%	118	94	98.9	95	99.0

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+17

-13

CLE

+30

-12

113

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

0.99 49.5%

CLE

0.83 41.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

19 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	31.9	12	43%	9	3	0	3	2	4	1	8	0-0	-	3-8	38%	2-6	33%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	29.5	19	73%	4	7	1	0	1	3	1	3	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	3-4	75%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	26.4	13	72%	7	3	0	1	1	2	1	6	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	3-6	50%
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	21.5	4	18%	7	3	0	1	1	2	1	6	2-2	100%	1-7	14%	0-3	0%
Will Richard #3 · SF · 6'3" 206 · 23	20.6	4	40%	3	0	1	0	1	1	1	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%

Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	26.7	6	33%	3	1	3	0	3	4	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-4	0%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	26.5	14	58%	3	3	0	1	2	0	1	2	6-8	75%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	21.1	10	56%	3	2	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-3	67%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	19.7	9	64%	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	2	4-5	80%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	16.1	8	57%	5	1	1	1	0	1	2	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	INACTIVE
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Toe; Soreness
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Midfoot; Sprain
Alex Toohey #22 · PF · 6'8" 223 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quadriceps; Contusion
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	50%	46	25	8	8	13	19	8	38	20-23	87%	20-51	39%	13-35	37%

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19 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	31.9	12	43%	9	3	0	3	2	4	1	8	0-0	-	3-8	38%	2-6	33%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	29.5	19	73%	4	7	1	0	1	3	1	3	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	3-4	75%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	26.4	13	72%	7	3	0	1	1	2	1	6	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	3-6	50%
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	21.5	4	18%	7	3	0	1	1	2	1	6	2-2	100%	1-7	14%	0-3	0%
Will Richard #3 · SF · 6'3" 206 · 23	20.6	4	40%	3	0	1	0	1	1	1	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%

Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	26.7	6	33%	3	1	3	0	3	4	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-4	0%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	26.5	14	58%	3	3	0	1	2	0	1	2	6-8	75%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	21.1	10	56%	3	2	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-3	67%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	19.7	9	64%	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	2	4-5	80%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	16.1	8	57%	5	1	1	1	0	1	2	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	INACTIVE
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Toe; Soreness
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Midfoot; Sprain
Alex Toohey #22 · PF · 6'8" 223 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quadriceps; Contusion
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	50%	46	25	8	8	13	19	8	38	20-23	87%	20-51	39%	13-35	37%

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4 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 29	37.2	29	56%	4	3	0	1	2	2	2	2	0-0	-	4-12	33%	7-14	50%
Evan Mobley #4 · C · 6'11" 215 · 24	35.1	18	45%	10	1	1	1	1	1	2	8	2-2	100%	8-14	57%	0-5	0%
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	34.1	11	46%	11	3	0	0	1	5	4	7	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-4	25%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · PF · 6'7" 221 · 28	33.3	6	30%	3	3	1	0	2	4	1	2	2-3	67%	2-5	40%	0-4	0%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	32.0	17	50%	5	4	2	0	3	0	1	4	4-5	80%	5-9	56%	1-6	17%

Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	19.4	3	30%	4	0	1	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	16.1	6	30%	12	1	2	1	3	0	6	6	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	15.2	0	0%	4	0	0	1	0	3	3	1	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	12.4	2	20%	6	0	0	0	0	2	1	5	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 24	5.3	2	33%	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Chris Livingston #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 28	DND – Rest \| Left Knee Injury Management
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 3rd Finger; Strain
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Sprain
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	42%	61	15	7	4	12	18	24	37	10-12	83%	27-65	42%	10-42	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	CLE
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	CLE

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

0.99 49.5%

CLE

0.83 41.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

56%

CLE

42%

Midrange

GSW

11%

CLE

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

19.5

37%

56%

CLE

15.0

24%

36%

Free Throws

GSW

87%

CLE

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Spencer	19	73%	9.5 / 13
G. Santos	14	58%	7.0 / 12
B. Hield	13	72%	6.5 / 9
Q. Post	12	43%	6.0 / 14
B. Podziemski	10	56%	5.0 / 9
M. Moody	9	64%	4.5 / 7
T. Jackson-Davis	8	57%	4.0 / 7
G. Payton	6	33%	3.0 / 9
J. Kuminga	4	18%	2.0 / 11
W. Richard	4	40%	2.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell	29	56%	14.5 / 26
E. Mobley	18	45%	9.0 / 20
D. Garland	17	50%	8.5 / 17
J. Tyson	11	46%	5.5 / 12
D. Hunter	6	30%	3.0 / 10
N. Tomlin	6	30%	3.0 / 10
D. Wade	3	30%	1.5 / 5
T. Bryant	2	20%	1.0 / 5
L. Travers	2	33%	1.0 / 3
C. Porter	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.0 6 118.3	GSW 104.2 +5.3 CLE 98.9
Pace	18 99.9 12 100.6	GSW 91.3 CLE 99.0 +7.7
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.7 21 14.1	GSW 15.8 CLE 14.5 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 5 56.1%	GSW 45.9% +6.6% CLE 39.3%
TO %	28 14.9% 10 13.2%	GSW 12.7% CLE 9.7% −3.0%
ORB %	14 25.8% 9 26.9%	GSW 17.8% CLE 38.7% +20.9%
FTrt	24 23.8 15 26.5	GSW 26.7 +15.5 CLE 11.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.6% 11 65.3%	GSW 75.8% +35.3% CLE 40.5%
STL %	3 9.6% 15 8.4%	GSW 8.4% +1.0% CLE 7.4%
BLK %	27 8.0% 11 9.8%	GSW 12.3% +4.5% CLE 7.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.1% 5 58.2%	GSW 49.5% +7.9% CLE 41.6%
Rim FG%	5 66.7% 7 66.1%	GSW 56.3% +14.2% CLE 42.1%
Mid FG%	22 42.1% 3 46.8%	GSW 10.5% CLE 40.7% +30.2%
3P %	20 35.6% 13 36.0%	GSW 37.1% +13.3% CLE 23.8%
FT %	6 80.7% 19 77.6%	GSW 87.0% +3.7% CLE 83.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.5% 14 31.7%	GSW 37.2% +1.7% CLE 35.5%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 8 24.1%	GSW 22.1% −3.1% CLE 25.2%
3P Att. %	1 49.7% 9 44.2%	GSW 40.7% +1.4% CLE 39.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	CLE
Possessions	95	95
Possession Minutes	25.0	23.0
Points	99	94
Rebounds	46	61
Assists	25	15
Steals	8	7
Blocks	8	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	12 (0)
Fouls	19	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (9)	24 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (4)	37 (1)
Field Goals	33-86	37-107
At-the-Rim FG	18-32	16-38
Midrange FG	2-19	11-27
2-Point FG	20-51	27-65
3-Point FG	13-35	10-42
Free Throws	20-23	10-12
Fast Break Pts	10	8
2nd Chance Pts	14	23
Points in Paint	38	48
Pts off Turnovers	15	18
Bench Points	47	13
Biggest Lead	14	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg