Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, December 6, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Rockets	68%	114	109	114.7	95	88.6
	21	Mavericks	32%	108	122	129.8	94	101.3

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+20

-18

DAL

+10

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.14 56.8%

DAL

1.33 66.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23	40.9	22	58%	8	3	1	1	1	2	1	7	0-0	-	8-12	67%	2-7	29%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 23	33.1	7	27%	6	6	3	1	6	4	4	2	3-4	75%	2-8	25%	0-3	0%
Kevin Durant #7 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 37	31.3	27	64%	1	3	0	0	1	1	0	1	4-4	100%	10-17	59%	1-3	33%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	29.9	8	57%	8	1	0	2	2	3	5	3	0-1	0%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	23.3	7	88%	6	0	2	1	2	1	4	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%

Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	26.8	19	79%	2	0	1	1	2	1	0	2	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	3-6	50%
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	20.2	12	75%	2	3	0	0	3	5	1	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	17.3	5	63%	3	3	1	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	8.7	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	6.4	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Oblique; Strain
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Tendinopathy
Kevon Harris #00 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 28
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	57%	37	22	8	6	18	20	16	21	11-13	85%	34-58	59%	10-29	34%

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5 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23	40.9	22	58%	8	3	1	1	1	2	1	7	0-0	-	8-12	67%	2-7	29%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 23	33.1	7	27%	6	6	3	1	6	4	4	2	3-4	75%	2-8	25%	0-3	0%
Kevin Durant #7 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 37	31.3	27	64%	1	3	0	0	1	1	0	1	4-4	100%	10-17	59%	1-3	33%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	29.9	8	57%	8	1	0	2	2	3	5	3	0-1	0%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	23.3	7	88%	6	0	2	1	2	1	4	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%

Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	26.8	19	79%	2	0	1	1	2	1	0	2	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	3-6	50%
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	20.2	12	75%	2	3	0	0	3	5	1	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	17.3	5	63%	3	3	1	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	8.7	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	6.4	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Oblique; Strain
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Tendinopathy
Kevon Harris #00 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 28
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	57%	37	22	8	6	18	20	16	21	11-13	85%	34-58	59%	10-29	34%

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21 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	36.5	14	54%	7	1	5	1	2	2	1	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-7	29%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	35.7	19	56%	5	3	2	2	0	0	1	4	4-4	100%	6-13	46%	1-2	50%
Anthony Davis #3 · C · 6'10" 253 · 33	30.3	29	76%	8	2	2	1	0	3	2	6	1-2	50%	14-18	78%	0-1	0%
Naji Marshall #13 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 28	28.2	15	83%	2	2	1	0	1	1	1	1	2-2	100%	5-5	100%	1-3	33%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	23.3	11	79%	1	7	1	0	2	2	1	0	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-1	100%

Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	23.1	20	71%	1	5	2	0	0	2	0	1	3-5	60%	7-10	70%	1-2	50%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	22.7	6	100%	2	0	0	0	2	2	0	2	3-3	100%	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	17.7	4	100%	3	0	0	0	2	2	1	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
D'Angelo Russell #5 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	12.9	4	50%	1	2	0	0	3	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 23	6.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23	1.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Miles Kelly #14 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Injury Management
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Injury Management
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	66%	31	22	13	4	12	14	7	24	17-20	85%	42-63	67%	7-19	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	DAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.14 56.8%

DAL

1.33 66.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

64%

DAL

79%

Midrange

HOU

56%

DAL

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

15.0

34%

52%

DAL

10.5

37%

55%

Free Throws

HOU

85%

DAL

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Durant	27	64%	13.5 / 21
J. Smith	22	58%	11.0 / 19
A. Holiday	19	79%	9.5 / 12
R. Sheppard	12	75%	6.0 / 8
C. Capela	8	57%	4.0 / 7
A. Thompson	7	27%	3.5 / 13
J. Okogie	7	88%	3.5 / 4
J. Tate	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Green	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Davison	0	-	0.0 / 1
I. Crawford	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Davis	29	76%	14.5 / 19
B. Williams	20	71%	10.0 / 14
C. Flagg	19	56%	9.5 / 17
N. Marshall	15	83%	7.5 / 9
P. Washington	14	54%	7.0 / 13
R. Nembhard	11	79%	5.5 / 7
M. Christie	6	100%	3.0 / 3
D. Powell	4	100%	2.0 / 2
D. Russell	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Hardy	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 117.5 27 110.4	HOU 114.7 DAL 129.8 +15.1
Pace	29 96.9 6 102.5	HOU 88.6 DAL 101.3 +12.6
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.8 24 14.0	HOU 16.2 DAL 14.2 −2.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 54.2% 28 52.7%	HOU 56.3% DAL 64.0% +7.7%
TO %	25 14.7% 13 13.5%	HOU 17.7% DAL 12.5% −5.2%
ORB %	1 34.8% 26 23.2%	HOU 40.0% +15.0% DAL 25.0%
FTrt	18 26.0 6 28.7	HOU 14.9 DAL 24.4 +9.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 59.1% 22 60.4%	HOU 50.0% +5.1% DAL 44.9%
STL %	9 8.7% 27 7.3%	HOU 8.4% DAL 13.8% +5.4%
BLK %	4 10.9% 16 9.0%	HOU 9.5% +2.6% DAL 6.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.81 and 2.81.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 56.1% 28 55.2%	HOU 56.8% DAL 66.3% +9.5%
Rim FG%	13 64.8% 22 63.2%	HOU 63.6% DAL 78.8% +15.2%
Mid FG%	9 44.3% 18 43.1%	HOU 55.6% +2.3% DAL 53.3%
3P %	10 36.4% 26 34.4%	HOU 34.5% DAL 36.8% +2.3%
FT %	25 76.3% 28 75.5%	HOU 84.6% DAL 85.0% +0.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 30.7% 12 32.8%	HOU 25.3% DAL 40.2% +15.0%
Mid Att. %	29 34.2% 28 31.7%	HOU 41.4% DAL 36.6% −4.8%
3P Att. %	28 35.0% 26 35.5%	HOU 33.3% +10.2% DAL 23.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	HOU	DAL
Possessions	95	94
Possession Minutes	25.7	22.3
Points	109	122
Rebounds	37	31
Assists	22	22
Steals	8	13
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	18 (2)	12 (1)
Fouls	20	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (4)	7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	21 (2)	24 (1)
Field Goals	44-87	49-82
At-the-Rim FG	14-22	26-33
Midrange FG	20-36	16-30
2-Point FG	34-58	42-63
3-Point FG	10-29	7-19
Free Throws	11-13	17-20
Fast Break Pts	8	28
2nd Chance Pts	17	14
Points in Paint	58	74
Pts off Turnovers	14	34
Bench Points	38	34
Biggest Lead	4	22

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg