Final Win Prob. pScore
1345%114
108
1255%115
117
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
104.9103111.1
ORL logo Magic
114.710295.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.108
117
Q4 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound108
117
Q4 - 0:02.1MagicMagic turnover (shot clock violation)108
117
Q4 - 0:24.4MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound108
117
Q4 - 0:26.5HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot108
117
Q4 - 0:33.8MagicJalen Suggs makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
117
Q4 - 0:33.8MagicJalen Suggs makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
116
Q4 - 0:33.8HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)108
115
Q4 - 0:33.8MagicJalen Suggs defensive rebound108
115
Q4 - 0:37.6HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot108
115
Q4 - 0:43.4MagicPaolo Banchero turnover (bad pass) (Norman Powell steals)108
115
Q4 - 0:53.6HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point driving layup108
115
Q4 - 0:54.5MagicJalen Suggs turnover (lost ball) (Andrew Wiggins steals)106
115
Q4 - 1:00MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound106
115
Q4 - 1:02HeatNorman Powell misses three point jump shot106
115
Q4 - 1:05Heat 60 second timeout106
115
Q4 - 1:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound106
115
Q4 - 1:09MagicBam Adebayo blocks Anthony Black's two point cutting layup106
115
Q4 - 1:11HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Wendell Carter Jr. draws the foul)106
115
Q4 - 1:11MagicWendell Carter Jr. offensive rebound106
115
Q4 - 1:11MagicDesmond Bane misses two point driving layup106
115
Q4 - 1:32HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running layup106
115
Q4 - 1:42HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound104
115
Q4 - 1:44MagicPaolo Banchero misses three point pullup jump shot104
115
Q4 - 2:01MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound104
115
Q4 - 2:03HeatTyler Herro misses two point turnaround jump shot104
115
Q4 - 2:11MagicPaolo Banchero makes two point jump shot104
115
Q4 - 2:36HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point driving floating jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)104
113
Q4 - 2:53MagicJalen Suggs makes two point layup102
113
Q4 - 3:17HeatNorman Powell makes two point pullup jump shot102
111
Q4 - 3:27MagicDesmond Bane makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
111
Q4 - 3:27MagicDesmond Bane makes regular free throw 1 of 2100
110
Q4 - 3:27HeatDavion Mitchell shooting foul (Desmond Bane draws the foul)100
109
Q4 - 3:45HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving reverse layup100
109
Q4 - 4:10MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point driving layup (Desmond Bane assists)98
109
Q4 - 4:20Magic lineup change (Anthony Black, Jalen Suggs, Paolo Banchero, Wendell Carter Jr., Desmond Bane)98
107
Q4 - 4:20Magic 60 second timeout98
107
Q4 - 4:29HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)98
107
Q4 - 4:46MagicDesmond Bane makes two point driving floating bank jump shot95
107
Q4 - 5:13HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)95
105
Q4 - 5:28MagicGoga Bitadze makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tristan da Silva assists)93
105
Q4 - 5:50Tristan da Silva defensive goaltending violation93
103
Q4 - 5:50HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point running layup (Norman Powell assists)93
103
Q4 - 5:54HeatNorman Powell defensive rebound91
103
Q4 - 5:56MagicAnthony Black misses two point driving layup91
103
Q4 - 6:12Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell)91
103
Q4 - 6:12Stoppage (Out of bounds)91
103
Q4 - 6:12MagicMagic defensive rebound91
103
Q4 - 6:13HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot91
103
Q4 - 6:18HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound91
103
Q4 - 6:20MagicDesmond Bane misses two point pullup jump shot91
103
Q4 - 6:36MagicTristan da Silva defensive rebound91
103
Q4 - 6:38HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot91
103
Q4 - 6:47HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound91
103
Q4 - 6:49MagicAnthony Black misses two point pullup jump shot91
103
Q4 - 7:15HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Davion Mitchell assists)91
103
Q4 - 7:21HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound89
103
Q4 - 7:22MagicTristan da Silva misses three point jump shot89
103
Q4 - 7:37MagicTristan da Silva defensive rebound89
103
Q4 - 7:39HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup89
103
Q4 - 7:56MagicDesmond Bane makes two point driving layup (Tyus Jones assists)89
103
Q4 - 8:07Magic lineup change (Goga Bitadze, Anthony Black, Tristan da Silva, Desmond Bane, Tyus Jones)89
101
Q4 - 8:07Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell)89
101
Q4 - 8:07Magic 60 second timeout89
101
Q4 - 8:07HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point cutting layup (Andrew Wiggins assists)89
101
Q4 - 8:17HeatNorman Powell defensive rebound87
101
Q4 - 8:19MagicDesmond Bane misses three point pullup jump shot87
101
Q4 - 8:35MagicDesmond Bane defensive rebound87
101
Q4 - 8:37HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot87
101
Q4 - 8:55MagicTristan da Silva makes three point running jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)87
101
Q4 - 9:02MagicTyus Jones defensive rebound87
98
Q4 - 9:04HeatGoga Bitadze blocks Davion Mitchell's two point driving layup87
98
Q4 - 9:11MagicTristan da Silva turnover (offensive foul)87
98
Q4 - 9:11MagicTristan da Silva offensive foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)87
98
Q4 - 9:31HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot87
98
Q4 - 9:54Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell)85
98
Q4 - 9:54Heat 60 second timeout85
98
Q4 - 9:55MagicDesmond Bane makes three point jump shot (Goga Bitadze assists)85
98
Q4 - 10:13MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound85
95
Q4 - 10:14HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot85
95
Q4 - 10:28MagicDesmond Bane makes regular free throw 1 of 185
95
Q4 - 10:28HeatNorman Powell shooting foul (Desmond Bane draws the foul)85
94
Q4 - 10:28MagicDesmond Bane makes two point driving floating jump shot85
94
Q4 - 10:36MagicTristan da Silva defensive rebound85
92
Q4 - 10:39HeatNorman Powell misses three point running jump shot85
92
Q4 - 10:42HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound85
92
Q4 - 10:44MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point turnaround jump shot85
92
Q4 - 10:55MagicTristan da Silva defensive rebound85
92
Q4 - 10:59HeatDavion Mitchell misses three point running jump shot85
92
Q4 - 11:05MagicPaolo Banchero turnover (bad pass) (Dru Smith steals)85
92
Q4 - 11:20HeatDru Smith makes two point driving layup85
92
Q4 - 11:41MagicDesmond Bane makes three point jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)83
92
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.83
89
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound83
89
Q3 - 0:00.5MagicGoga Bitadze makes two point tip layup83
89
Q3 - 0:01.0MagicGoga Bitadze offensive rebound83
87
Q3 - 0:01.3MagicDesmond Bane misses two point driving reverse layup83
87
Q3 - 0:18.7HeatKel'el Ware makes two point dunk (Norman Powell assists)83
87
Q3 - 0:33.3MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 2 of 281
87
Q3 - 0:33.3MagicPaolo Banchero misses regular free throw 1 of 281
86
Q3 - 0:33.3HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)81
86
Q3 - 0:45.1MagicDesmond Bane defensive rebound81
86
Q3 - 0:48.9HeatNorman Powell misses three point jump shot81
86
Q3 - 1:00HeatNorman Powell defensive rebound81
86
Q3 - 1:02MagicDru Smith blocks Desmond Bane's two point driving floating jump shot81
86
Q3 - 1:10Stoppage (Out of bounds)81
86
Q3 - 1:10MagicMagic defensive rebound81
86
Q3 - 1:10HeatNorman Powell misses three point jump shot81
86
Q3 - 1:14HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound81
86
Q3 - 1:14HeatNorman Powell misses three point jump shot81
86
Q3 - 1:18HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound81
86
Q3 - 1:21HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot81
86
Q3 - 1:34MagicDesmond Bane makes three point pullup jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)81
86
Q3 - 1:58HeatNorman Powell makes two point driving floating jump shot81
83
Q3 - 2:04HeatDru Smith defensive rebound79
83
Q3 - 2:07MagicGoga Bitadze misses two point turnaround hook shot79
83
Q3 - 2:20Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell)79
83
Q3 - 2:20HeatDru Smith personal foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)79
83
Q3 - 2:36HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 279
83
Q3 - 2:36Magic lineup change (Goga Bitadze, Paolo Banchero, Tristan da Silva, Desmond Bane, Tyus Jones)78
83
Q3 - 2:36Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Dru Smith, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell)78
83
Q3 - 2:36HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 278
83
Q3 - 2:36MagicPaolo Banchero shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)77
83
Q3 - 2:41MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes three point running jump shot (Tristan da Silva assists)77
83
Q3 - 2:51MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound77
80
Q3 - 2:52HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot77
80
Q3 - 3:07HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound77
80
Q3 - 3:08MagicTristan da Silva misses two point driving hook shot77
80
Q3 - 3:25HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Dru Smith assists)77
80
Q3 - 3:39MagicJalen Suggs turnover (discontinue dribble)75
80
Q3 - 3:50HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point pullup jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)75
80
Q3 - 4:12Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Paolo Banchero, Tristan da Silva, Wendell Carter Jr., Desmond Bane)73
80
Q3 - 4:12Heat 60 second timeout73
80
Q3 - 4:12MagicDesmond Bane makes three point pullup jump shot (Wendell Carter Jr. assists)73
80
Q3 - 4:22MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound73
77
Q3 - 4:24HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot73
77
Q3 - 4:35Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Jonathan Isaac, Tristan da Silva, Wendell Carter Jr., Desmond Bane)73
77
Q3 - 4:35Stoppage (Out of bounds)73
77
Q3 - 4:39HeatDru Smith defensive rebound73
77
Q3 - 4:40MagicTristan da Silva misses three point jump shot73
77
Q3 - 4:58HeatTyler Herro makes two point running layup (Bam Adebayo assists)73
77
Q3 - 5:03HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound71
77
Q3 - 5:06MagicJalen Suggs misses three point pullup jump shot71
77
Q3 - 5:18MagicJalen Suggs defensive rebound71
77
Q3 - 5:20HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot71
77
Q3 - 5:23Stoppage (Out of bounds)71
77
Q3 - 5:23HeatHeat offensive rebound71
77
Q3 - 5:23HeatWendell Carter Jr. blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving layup71
77
Q3 - 5:32MagicAnthony Black makes two point dunk (Jalen Suggs assists)71
77
Q3 - 5:41MagicTristan da Silva defensive rebound71
75
Q3 - 5:43HeatTyler Herro misses two point running pullup jump shot71
75
Q3 - 5:50MagicAnthony Black turnover (lost ball) (Dru Smith steals)71
75
Q3 - 5:58HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Anthony Black draws the foul)71
75
Q3 - 6:00Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)71
75
Q3 - 6:00Stoppage (Out of bounds)71
75
Q3 - 6:09MagicJonathan Isaac defensive rebound71
75
Q3 - 6:09HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot71
75
Q3 - 6:28MagicJalen Suggs makes two point driving layup (Anthony Black assists)71
75
Q3 - 6:47HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 271
73
Q3 - 6:47HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 270
73
Q3 - 6:47MagicAnthony Black personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)69
73
Q3 - 6:56Magic lineup change (Anthony Black, Jalen Suggs, Jonathan Isaac, Tristan da Silva, Wendell Carter Jr.)69
73
Q3 - 6:56Magic 60 second timeout69
73
Q3 - 6:56MagicJonathan Isaac personal foul (Loose ball) (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)69
73
Q3 - 6:57HeatHeat defensive rebound69
73
Q3 - 6:59MagicAnthony Black misses three point jump shot69
73
Q3 - 7:00MagicDesmond Bane offensive rebound69
73
Q3 - 7:01MagicBam Adebayo blocks Desmond Bane's two point driving floating jump shot69
73
Q3 - 7:10HeatNorman Powell turnover (lost ball) (Wendell Carter Jr. steals)69
73
Q3 - 7:22MagicDesmond Bane makes two point driving finger roll layup69
73
Q3 - 7:32HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Anthony Black steals)69
71
Q3 - 7:32Stoppage (Other)69
71
Q3 - 7:35HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound69
71
Q3 - 7:35MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses two point jump shot69
71
Q3 - 7:49Magic lineup change (Anthony Black, Jalen Suggs, Jonathan Isaac, Wendell Carter Jr., Desmond Bane)69
71
Q3 - 7:49Stoppage (Out of bounds)69
71
Q3 - 7:50MagicMagic defensive rebound69
71
Q3 - 7:50HeatNorman Powell misses three point pullup jump shot69
71
Q3 - 8:03MagicDesmond Bane makes two point running layup (Anthony Black assists)69
71
Q3 - 8:08MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound69
69
Q3 - 8:08HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point driving layup69
69
Q3 - 8:21MagicJalen Suggs makes three point jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)69
69
Q3 - 8:44HeatNorman Powell makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)69
66
Q3 - 8:53HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 366
66
Q3 - 8:53HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound65
66
Q3 - 8:53HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 3 of 365
66
Q3 - 8:53HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 365
66
Q3 - 8:53Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)64
66
Q3 - 8:53MagicDesmond Bane shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)64
66
Q3 - 9:18MagicPaolo Banchero makes three point jump shot (Anthony Black assists)64
66
Q3 - 9:32HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 164
63
Q3 - 9:32MagicWendell Carter Jr. shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)63
63
Q3 - 9:32HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup63
63
Q3 - 9:41MagicAnthony Black personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)61
63
Q3 - 9:42MagicDesmond Bane turnover (bad pass) (Norman Powell steals)61
63
Q3 - 9:53HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)61
63
Q3 - 10:03MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jalen Suggs assists)61
63
Q3 - 10:20HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup61
60
Q3 - 10:28HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound59
60
Q3 - 10:30MagicJalen Suggs misses three point pullup jump shot59
60
Q3 - 10:53MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound59
60
Q3 - 10:53HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot59
60
Q3 - 11:01MagicJalen Suggs makes two point pullup bank jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)59
60
Q3 - 11:22HeatNorman Powell makes two point driving finger roll layup (Tyler Herro assists)59
58
Q3 - 11:38MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 2 of 257
58
Q3 - 11:38MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 1 of 257
57
Q3 - 11:38HeatAndrew Wiggins shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)57
56
Q3 - 11:47MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound57
56
Q3 - 11:49HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot57
56
Q3 - 12:00Magic lineup change (Anthony Black, Jalen Suggs, Paolo Banchero, Wendell Carter Jr., Desmond Bane)57
56
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.57
56
Q2 - 0:04.0Magic lineup change (Anthony Black, Jalen Suggs, Jonathan Isaac, Tristan da Silva, Wendell Carter Jr.)57
56
Q2 - 0:04.0Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell)57
56
Q2 - 0:04.1Stoppage (Out of bounds)57
56
Q2 - 0:04.1HeatHeat defensive rebound57
56
Q2 - 0:05.9MagicPaolo Banchero misses three point jump shot57
56
Q2 - 0:26.8HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving layup57
56
Q2 - 0:34.9MagicPaolo Banchero makes three point jump shot (Wendell Carter Jr. assists)55
56
Q2 - 0:43.9HeatDavion Mitchell personal foul (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)55
53
Q2 - 0:56.4HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving reverse dunk (Davion Mitchell assists)55
53
Q2 - 1:11HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound53
53
Q2 - 1:13MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses three point jump shot53
53
Q2 - 1:27HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 253
53
Q2 - 1:27Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell)52
53
Q2 - 1:27HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 252
53
Q2 - 1:27MagicAnthony Black personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)51
53
Q2 - 1:39MagicJalen Suggs turnover (offensive foul)51
53
Q2 - 1:39MagicJalen Suggs offensive foul (Off the ball) (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)51
53
Q2 - 1:45HeatNorman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 251
53
Q2 - 1:45HeatNorman Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 250
53
Q2 - 1:45MagicJalen Suggs shooting foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)50
53
Q2 - 1:47Stoppage (Out of bounds)50
53
Q2 - 1:54HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound50
53
Q2 - 1:56MagicPaolo Banchero misses three point running pullup jump shot50
53
Q2 - 2:01MagicJalen Suggs defensive rebound50
53
Q2 - 2:03HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot50
53
Q2 - 2:21MagicAnthony Black makes two point driving layup (Paolo Banchero assists)50
53
Q2 - 2:28MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound50
51
Q2 - 2:30HeatNorman Powell misses three point jump shot50
51
Q2 - 2:42MagicAnthony Black makes two point driving layup50
51
Q2 - 2:54HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 250
49
Q2 - 2:54HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 249
49
Q2 - 2:54MagicTristan da Silva shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)49
49
Q2 - 3:03HeatNorman Powell defensive rebound49
49
Q2 - 3:05MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot49
49
Q2 - 3:19HeatDavion Mitchell makes three point pullup jump shot49
49
Q2 - 3:25MagicPaolo Banchero makes two point driving finger roll layup46
49
Q2 - 3:38HeatAndrew Wiggins turnover (offensive goaltending)46
47
Q2 - 3:55MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point jump shot (Anthony Black assists)46
47
Q2 - 4:11MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound46
45
Q2 - 4:13HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup46
45
Q2 - 4:21Magic lineup change (Anthony Black, Jalen Suggs, Paolo Banchero, Tristan da Silva, Wendell Carter Jr.)46
45
Q2 - 4:21Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell)46
45
Q2 - 4:21Heat 60 second timeout46
45
Q2 - 4:30MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point floating jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)46
45
Q2 - 4:40MagicAnthony Black defensive rebound46
43
Q2 - 4:43HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point running jump shot46
43
Q2 - 4:50HeatPelle Larsson defensive rebound46
43
Q2 - 4:50MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot46
43
Q2 - 4:53MagicWendell Carter Jr. offensive rebound46
43
Q2 - 4:55MagicAnthony Black misses two point driving layup46
43
Q2 - 5:09HeatDavion Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 246
43
Q2 - 5:09HeatDavion Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 245
43
Q2 - 5:09MagicDesmond Bane shooting foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)44
43
Q2 - 5:21Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)44
43
Q2 - 5:26MagicJalen Suggs makes three point jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)44
43
Q2 - 5:46HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point stepback jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)44
40
Q2 - 6:07MagicDesmond Bane makes three point jump shot (Anthony Black assists)41
40
Q2 - 6:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot41
37
Q2 - 6:38HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound39
37
Q2 - 6:39MagicAnthony Black misses three point running jump shot39
37
Q2 - 6:45MagicDesmond Bane defensive rebound39
37
Q2 - 6:47HeatAnthony Black blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving floating jump shot39
37
Q2 - 6:55Stoppage (Out of bounds)39
37
Q2 - 7:03MagicDesmond Bane makes two point driving layup39
37
Q2 - 7:14MagicJonathan Isaac defensive rebound39
35
Q2 - 7:16HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot39
35
Q2 - 7:32Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell)39
35
Q2 - 7:32Heat 60 second timeout39
35
Q2 - 7:32MagicDesmond Bane makes two point driving layup39
35
Q2 - 7:45MagicAnthony Black defensive rebound39
33
Q2 - 7:47HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point pullup jump shot39
33
Q2 - 7:59MagicJalen Suggs makes two point pullup jump shot39
33
Q2 - 8:16HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Simone Fontecchio assists)39
31
Q2 - 8:31MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point alley-oop dunk (Anthony Black assists)37
31
Q2 - 8:44Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Simone Fontecchio, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell)37
29
Q2 - 8:44HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)37
29
Q2 - 8:49MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound37
29
Q2 - 8:52HeatSimone Fontecchio misses three point running jump shot37
29
Q2 - 8:57HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound37
29
Q2 - 8:58MagicAnthony Black misses two point driving layup37
29
Q2 - 9:12Magic lineup change (Anthony Black, Jalen Suggs, Jonathan Isaac, Wendell Carter Jr., Desmond Bane)37
29
Q2 - 9:12HeatSimone Fontecchio turnover (traveling)37
29
Q2 - 9:18MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 1 of 137
29
Q2 - 9:18Magic lineup change (Anthony Black, Jalen Suggs, Paolo Banchero, Wendell Carter Jr., Desmond Bane)37
28
Q2 - 9:18HeatNorman Powell shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)37
28
Q2 - 9:18MagicPaolo Banchero makes two point driving layup (Desmond Bane assists)37
28
Q2 - 9:30MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound37
26
Q2 - 9:33HeatSimone Fontecchio misses two point driving floating jump shot37
26
Q2 - 9:44MagicDesmond Bane personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)37
26
Q2 - 9:44HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound37
26
Q2 - 9:48HeatSimone Fontecchio misses three point running jump shot37
26
Q2 - 9:53HeatNorman Powell defensive rebound37
26
Q2 - 9:55MagicDesmond Bane misses two point driving layup37
26
Q2 - 10:14HeatNorman Powell makes three point jump shot (Simone Fontecchio assists)37
26
Q2 - 10:27MagicTristan da Silva makes regular free throw 1 of 134
26
Q2 - 10:27HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Tristan da Silva draws the foul)34
25
Q2 - 10:27MagicTristan da Silva makes two point running layup34
25
Q2 - 10:30HeatPelle Larsson turnover (lost ball) (Desmond Bane steals)34
23
Q2 - 10:37MagicDesmond Bane makes three point jump shot (Jalen Suggs assists)34
23
Q2 - 10:42Stoppage (Out of bounds)34
20
Q2 - 10:42MagicMagic offensive rebound34
20
Q2 - 10:43MagicKel'el Ware blocks Tristan da Silva's two point driving layup34
20
Q2 - 11:04HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup (Pelle Larsson assists)34
20
Q2 - 11:22MagicJalen Suggs makes three point jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)32
20
Q2 - 11:47HeatPelle Larsson makes two point tip layup32
17
Q2 - 11:47HeatPelle Larsson offensive rebound30
17
Q2 - 11:49HeatNorman Powell misses two point driving layup30
17
Q2 - 11:58Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)30
17
Q2 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Simone Fontecchio, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)30
17
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.30
17
Q1 - 0:00.0MagicMagic offensive rebound30
17
Q1 - 0:00.0MagicDesmond Bane misses three point jump shot30
17
Q1 - 0:05.4HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Jalen Suggs steals)30
17
Q1 - 0:25.2Magic lineup change (Goga Bitadze, Jalen Suggs, Paolo Banchero, Tristan da Silva, Desmond Bane)30
17
Q1 - 0:25.2Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell, Simone Fontecchio, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)30
17
Q1 - 0:25.2MagicPaolo Banchero turnover (offensive foul)30
17
Q1 - 0:25.2MagicPaolo Banchero offensive foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)30
17
Q1 - 0:30.0MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound30
17
Q1 - 0:32.3HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot30
17
Q1 - 0:56.6MagicGoga Bitadze turnover (out of bounds lost ball)30
17
Q1 - 1:10MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound30
17
Q1 - 1:11HeatPaolo Banchero blocks Norman Powell's two point stepback jump shot30
17
Q1 - 1:21MagicTristan da Silva makes two point turnaround hook shot30
17
Q1 - 1:29Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)30
15
Q1 - 1:32Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)30
15
Q1 - 1:36Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)30
15
Q1 - 1:42HeatKel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 230
15
Q1 - 1:42HeatKel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 229
15
Q1 - 1:42MagicGoga Bitadze shooting foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)28
15
Q1 - 1:42HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound28
15
Q1 - 1:43HeatSimone Fontecchio misses two point driving hook shot28
15
Q1 - 1:50MagicTristan da Silva turnover (out of bounds bad pass)28
15
Q1 - 2:00MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound28
15
Q1 - 2:01HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot28
15
Q1 - 2:02HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound28
15
Q1 - 2:03HeatGoga Bitadze blocks Pelle Larsson's two point driving layup28
15
Q1 - 2:21MagicGoga Bitadze turnover (offensive foul)28
15
Q1 - 2:21MagicGoga Bitadze offensive foul (Off the ball) (Norman Powell draws the foul)28
15
Q1 - 2:29MagicDesmond Bane defensive rebound28
15
Q1 - 2:31HeatNorman Powell misses three point jump shot28
15
Q1 - 2:38MagicPaolo Banchero personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)28
15
Q1 - 2:47Magic lineup change (Goga Bitadze, Paolo Banchero, Tristan da Silva, Desmond Bane, Tyus Jones)28
15
Q1 - 2:47Heat 60 second timeout28
15
Q1 - 2:47Stoppage (Out of bounds)28
15
Q1 - 2:47HeatHeat offensive rebound28
15
Q1 - 2:48HeatSimone Fontecchio misses three point running jump shot28
15
Q1 - 2:52HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound28
15
Q1 - 2:54MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point driving layup28
15
Q1 - 3:12HeatNorman Powell makes two point driving layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)28
15
Q1 - 3:25MagicGoga Bitadze makes regular free throw 1 of 126
15
Q1 - 3:25Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Simone Fontecchio, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)26
14
Q1 - 3:25HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Goga Bitadze draws the foul)26
14
Q1 - 3:25MagicGoga Bitadze makes two point turnaround hook shot (Tyus Jones assists)26
14
Q1 - 3:35MagicTyus Jones offensive rebound26
12
Q1 - 3:37MagicTyus Jones misses three point jump shot26
12
Q1 - 3:56MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound26
12
Q1 - 3:58HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup26
12
Q1 - 4:08Magic lineup change (Goga Bitadze, Anthony Black, Paolo Banchero, Tristan da Silva, Tyus Jones)26
12
Q1 - 4:08Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)26
12
Q1 - 4:08Stoppage (Out of bounds)26
12
Q1 - 4:08HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound26
12
Q1 - 4:08MagicTristan da Silva misses two point running finger roll layup26
12
Q1 - 4:13MagicTristan da Silva defensive rebound26
12
Q1 - 4:16HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point pullup jump shot26
12
Q1 - 4:29Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell)26
12
Q1 - 4:29MagicTristan da Silva turnover (out of bounds bad pass)26
12
Q1 - 4:38HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)26
12
Q1 - 4:55MagicTristan da Silva makes three point jump shot (Anthony Black assists)24
12
Q1 - 5:19HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running dunk (Davion Mitchell assists)24
9
Q1 - 5:24MagicAnthony Black turnover (lost ball) (Davion Mitchell steals)22
9
Q1 - 5:33MagicTristan da Silva defensive rebound22
9
Q1 - 5:35HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot22
9
Q1 - 5:40MagicTyus Jones turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)22
9
Q1 - 5:54HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot22
9
Q1 - 6:03Magic lineup change (Anthony Black, Jonathan Isaac, Tristan da Silva, Wendell Carter Jr., Tyus Jones)20
9
Q1 - 6:03MagicWendell Carter Jr. personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)20
9
Q1 - 6:19MagicDesmond Bane makes two point driving floating jump shot (Wendell Carter Jr. assists)20
9
Q1 - 6:28HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Anthony Black draws the foul)20
7
Q1 - 6:33MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound20
7
Q1 - 6:36HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot20
7
Q1 - 6:47Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell)20
7
Q1 - 6:47Jump ball. Tyler Herro vs. Anthony Black (Andrew Wiggins gains possession)20
7
Q1 - 6:56HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound20
7
Q1 - 6:58MagicBam Adebayo blocks Anthony Black's two point running reverse layup20
7
Q1 - 7:05MagicJonathan Isaac defensive rebound20
7
Q1 - 7:06HeatBam Adebayo misses three point pullup jump shot20
7
Q1 - 7:08Stoppage (Out of bounds)20
7
Q1 - 7:09Magic lineup change (Anthony Black, Jonathan Isaac, Wendell Carter Jr., Desmond Bane, Tyus Jones)20
7
Q1 - 7:09Stoppage (Out of bounds)20
7
Q1 - 7:33MagicAnthony Black makes two point putback dunk20
7
Q1 - 7:33MagicAnthony Black offensive rebound20
5
Q1 - 7:34MagicAnthony Black misses two point running layup20
5
Q1 - 7:39MagicDesmond Bane defensive rebound20
5
Q1 - 7:41HeatJonathan Isaac blocks Andrew Wiggins's two point driving layup20
5
Q1 - 7:49MagicJalen Suggs makes regular free throw 2 of 220
5
Q1 - 7:49Magic lineup change (Anthony Black, Jalen Suggs, Jonathan Isaac, Wendell Carter Jr., Desmond Bane)20
4
Q1 - 7:49MagicJalen Suggs misses regular free throw 1 of 220
4
Q1 - 7:49HeatNorman Powell shooting foul (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)20
4
Q1 - 7:50HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Suggs steals)20
4
Q1 - 7:56HeatNorman Powell defensive rebound20
4
Q1 - 7:57MagicDesmond Bane misses three point pullup jump shot20
4
Q1 - 8:10HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving layup20
4
Q1 - 8:19MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 2 of 218
4
Q1 - 8:19MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 1 of 218
3
Q1 - 8:19HeatAndrew Wiggins shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)18
2
Q1 - 8:25MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound18
2
Q1 - 8:27HeatNorman Powell misses two point pullup jump shot18
2
Q1 - 8:32HeatNorman Powell defensive rebound18
2
Q1 - 8:34MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point driving floating jump shot18
2
Q1 - 8:36MagicPaolo Banchero offensive rebound18
2
Q1 - 8:38MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot18
2
Q1 - 8:51HeatNorman Powell makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)18
2
Q1 - 9:05MagicAnthony Black makes two point driving layup (Jalen Suggs assists)15
2
Q1 - 9:16HeatTyler Herro makes two point running layup (Davion Mitchell assists)15
0
Q1 - 9:19HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound13
0
Q1 - 9:20MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point driving floating jump shot13
0
Q1 - 9:36Magic 60 second timeout13
0
Q1 - 9:36HeatTyler Herro makes two point running pullup jump shot13
0
Q1 - 9:41HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound11
0
Q1 - 9:43MagicAnthony Black misses two point stepback jump shot11
0
Q1 - 10:08HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 111
0
Q1 - 10:08MagicDesmond Bane shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)10
0
Q1 - 10:08HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup (Andrew Wiggins assists)10
0
Q1 - 10:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound8
0
Q1 - 10:22MagicAndrew Wiggins blocks Paolo Banchero's two point cutting layup8
0
Q1 - 10:36HeatNorman Powell makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)8
0
Q1 - 10:47HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound5
0
Q1 - 10:49MagicDesmond Bane misses two point turnaround jump shot5
0
Q1 - 11:09HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point running jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)5
0
Q1 - 11:14MagicJalen Suggs turnover (bad pass) (Norman Powell steals)2
0
Q1 - 11:31HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point stepback jump shot2
0
Q1 - 11:42HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:44MagicJalen Suggs misses two point pullup jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Wendell Carter Jr. (Jalen Suggs gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Magic lineup change (Anthony Black, Jalen Suggs, Paolo Banchero, Wendell Carter Jr., Desmond Bane)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 51.9%
ORL
1.23 61.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
23
33
70%
ORL
20
33
61%
Midrange
MIA
11
27
41%
ORL
9
22
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
33
24%
36%
ORL
15
22.5
32
47%
70%
Free Throws
MIA
16
19
84%
ORL
14
16
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Powell2153%10.5 / 20
T. Herro2050%10.0 / 20
B. Adebayo1959%9.5 / 16
A. Wiggins1968%9.5 / 14
D. Mitchell1161%5.5 / 9
J. Jaquez1042%5.0 / 12
K. Ware4100%2.0 / 2
P. Larsson250%1.0 / 2
D. Smith2100%1.0 / 1
S. Fontecchio0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Bane3774%18.5 / 25
J. Suggs2067%10.0 / 15
P. Banchero1856%9.0 / 16
W. Carter1488%7.0 / 8
T. da Silva1161%5.5 / 9
A. Black1033%5.0 / 15
G. Bitadze788%3.5 / 4
T. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
95
+11
-8
106
ORL
86
+9
-16
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 51.9%
ORL
1.23 61.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
21
113.6
18
114.3
MIA 104.9
ORL 114.7 +9.9
Pace
1
105.0
14
100.8
MIA 111.1 +16.1
ORL 95.1
Avg. Poss. Time
30
12.9
14
14.3
MIA 13.0 −2.2
ORL 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
20
53.7%
25
52.8%
MIA 49.5%
ORL 59.2% +9.7%
TO %
4
13.1%
15
13.5%
MIA 7.3% −8.0%
ORL 15.3%
ORB %
21
24.3%
10
27.0%
MIA 14.9%
ORL 17.9% +3.0%
FTrt
19
25.9
2
31.1
MIA 20.4 +2.0
ORL 18.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
9
65.8%
13
63.5%
MIA 59.5%
ORL 68.2% +8.7%
STL %
10
8.6%
16
8.1%
MIA 7.8% +2.9%
ORL 4.9%
BLK %
27
8.0%
12
9.4%
MIA 10.9% +0.9%
ORL 10.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
19
56.2%
21
55.9%
MIA 51.9%
ORL 61.6% +9.7%
Rim FG%
27
61.1%
24
62.8%
MIA 69.7% +9.1%
ORL 60.6%
Mid FG%
22
41.8%
24
41.2%
MIA 40.7%
ORL 40.9% +0.2%
3P %
6
37.0%
29
33.9%
MIA 24.2%
ORL 46.9% +22.7%
FT %
14
78.6%
13
79.1%
MIA 84.2%
ORL 87.5% +3.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
7
34.0%
4
37.4%
MIA 35.5%
ORL 37.9% +2.4%
Mid Att. %
17
27.3%
14
26.1%
MIA 29.0%
ORL 25.3% −3.7%
3P Att. %
23
38.7%
25
36.5%
MIA 35.5%
ORL 36.8% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions103102
Possession Minutes22.225.8
Points108117
Rebounds3947
Assists2530
Steals85
Blocks66
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)16 (1)
Fouls1619
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)40 (3)
Field Goals42-9344-87
At-the-Rim FG23-3320-33
Midrange FG11-279-22
2-Point FG34-6029-55
3-Point FG8-3315-32
Free Throws16-1914-16
Fast Break Pts1914
2nd Chance Pts710
Points in Paint6052
Pts off Turnovers168
Bench Points1818
Biggest Lead1614

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#45 · PG · 6'0" 202 · 27
37.2
11
61%
2
9
1
0
2
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 28
35.5
19
59%
8
2
1
3
0
1
1
7
5-6
83%
7-11
64%
0-3
0%
#22 · PF · 6'6" 197 · 31
35.4
19
68%
2
2
1
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-8
63%
3-6
50%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 26
34.5
20
50%
7
3
0
0
1
2
0
7
6-7
86%
7-11
64%
0-6
0%
#24 · SF · 6'3" 215 · 33
34.0
21
53%
7
2
3
0
1
3
0
7
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
4-12
33%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 25
24.4
10
42%
3
3
0
0
1
3
2
1
0-0
-
5-11
45%
0-1
0%
#7 · C · 7'0" 230 · 22
12.4
4
100%
6
0
0
1
0
2
3
3
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25
10.5
2
50%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#12 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 28
8.1
2
100%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#0 · SF · 6'7" 209 · 30
7.9
0
0%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-3
0%
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#16 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#17 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#15 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#25 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 20
DNP – Coach's Decision
#50 · C · 7'0" 250 · 25
INACTIVE
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32
Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
52%
39
25
8
6
8
16
7
32
16-19
84%
34-60
57%
8-33
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.