Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, December 23, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Lakers	42%	110	108	112.5	96	95.2
	12	Suns	58%	113	132	140.4	94	94.8

Prediction updated: Dec 24, 2025 01:34 AM

Scoring Opportunities

LAL

+17

-17

PHX

+13

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.14 56.8%

PHX

1.40 70.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

17 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Marcus Smart #36 · SG · 6'3" 220 · 32	29.9	14	64%	3	6	0	0	1	3	2	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	4-8	50%
Jake LaRavia #12 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 24	28.9	12	60%	5	1	2	2	2	2	3	2	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Nick Smith Jr. #20 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 22	28.2	12	55%	1	1	0	0	2	5	0	1	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Deandre Ayton #5 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	27.4	12	75%	10	1	3	0	2	2	3	7	0-1	0%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 41	25.8	23	64%	2	6	0	0	0	0	0	2	6-11	55%	4-9	44%	3-5	60%

Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 28	21.7	17	65%	2	2	0	0	3	4	0	2	4-5	80%	5-6	83%	1-5	20%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 27	19.9	5	63%	5	1	0	0	2	0	3	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	14.4	3	30%	3	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Adou Thiero #1 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 22	13.9	6	43%	2	2	1	0	1	2	1	1	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 21	9.8	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 34	8.8	2	50%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Chris Mañon #30 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24	5.8	0	0%	1	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	5.4	2	100%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Drew Timme #17 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Left Leg; Contusion
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar Back; Strain
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	57%	38	22	7	4	17	22	14	24	18-29	62%	27-49	55%	12-32	38%

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17 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Marcus Smart #36 · SG · 6'3" 220 · 32	29.9	14	64%	3	6	0	0	1	3	2	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	4-8	50%
Jake LaRavia #12 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 24	28.9	12	60%	5	1	2	2	2	2	3	2	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Nick Smith Jr. #20 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 22	28.2	12	55%	1	1	0	0	2	5	0	1	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Deandre Ayton #5 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	27.4	12	75%	10	1	3	0	2	2	3	7	0-1	0%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 41	25.8	23	64%	2	6	0	0	0	0	0	2	6-11	55%	4-9	44%	3-5	60%

Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 28	21.7	17	65%	2	2	0	0	3	4	0	2	4-5	80%	5-6	83%	1-5	20%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 27	19.9	5	63%	5	1	0	0	2	0	3	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	14.4	3	30%	3	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Adou Thiero #1 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 22	13.9	6	43%	2	2	1	0	1	2	1	1	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 21	9.8	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 34	8.8	2	50%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Chris Mañon #30 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24	5.8	0	0%	1	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	5.4	2	100%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Drew Timme #17 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Left Leg; Contusion
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar Back; Strain
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	57%	38	22	7	4	17	22	14	24	18-29	62%	27-49	55%	12-32	38%

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12 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Collin Gillespie #12 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 26	28.1	16	80%	4	8	3	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-8	50%
Devin Booker #1 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	27.3	21	66%	2	11	2	0	4	3	0	2	7-8	88%	7-12	58%	0-2	0%
Dillon Brooks #3 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 30	23.8	25	78%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	7-9	78%	3-6	50%
Royce O'Neale #00 · PF · 6'6" 226 · 33	22.9	12	120%	3	3	1	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-5	80%
Mark Williams #15 · C · 7'1" 240 · 24	21.4	18	113%	9	2	0	2	0	1	3	6	4-4	100%	7-8	88%	0-0	-

Ryan Dunn #0 · SF · 6'7" 216 · 23	28.4	4	33%	7	2	1	1	2	5	2	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Jamaree Bouyea #17 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 26	24.2	14	70%	4	2	0	1	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	7-7	100%	0-3	0%
Jordan Goodwin #23 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 27	21.7	8	50%	1	3	2	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	2-6	33%
Oso Ighodaro #11 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 23	20.8	5	83%	3	3	0	1	0	3	1	2	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Rasheer Fleming #20 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 21	9.8	7	88%	2	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Nigel Hayes-Davis #21 · SF · 6'7" 254 · 31	5.8	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Khaman Maluach #10 · C · 7'1" 250 · 19	5.8	2	33%	1	0	0	1	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Nick Richards #2 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Koby Brea #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Livers #18 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Grayson Allen #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury management
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	70%	38	35	10	6	13	24	12	26	18-20	90%	36-51	71%	14-34	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	PHX
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	PHX

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.14 56.8%

PHX

1.40 70.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAL

67%

PHX

81%

Midrange

LAL

44%

PHX

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAL

18.0

38%

56%

PHX

21.0

41%

62%

Free Throws

LAL

62%

PHX

90%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	23	64%	11.5 / 18
A. Reaves	17	65%	8.5 / 13
M. Smart	14	64%	7.0 / 11
J. LaRavia	12	60%	6.0 / 10
N. Smith	12	55%	6.0 / 11
D. Ayton	12	75%	6.0 / 8
A. Thiero	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Vanderbilt	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Knecht	3	30%	1.5 / 5
M. Kleber	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Hayes	2	100%	1.0 / 1
B. James	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Brooks	25	78%	12.5 / 16
D. Booker	21	66%	10.5 / 16
M. Williams	18	113%	9.0 / 8
C. Gillespie	16	80%	8.0 / 10
J. Bouyea	14	70%	7.0 / 10
R. O'Neale	12	120%	6.0 / 5
J. Goodwin	8	50%	4.0 / 8
R. Fleming	7	88%	3.5 / 4
O. Ighodaro	5	83%	2.5 / 3
R. Dunn	4	33%	2.0 / 6
K. Maluach	2	33%	1.0 / 3
N. Hayes-Davis	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 117.1 18 114.3	LAL 112.5 PHX 140.4 +27.9
Pace	21 99.2 23 98.2	LAL 95.2 +0.4 PHX 94.8
Avg. Poss. Time	6 14.8 12 14.5	LAL 15.1 −0.1 PHX 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 57.3% 19 53.7%	LAL 55.6% PHX 67.1% +11.5%
TO %	19 13.9% 16 13.7%	LAL 15.3% PHX 13.0% −2.3%
ORB %	22 23.9% 7 28.9%	LAL 35.0% +1.7% PHX 33.3%
FTrt	1 32.0 28 22.5	LAL 35.8 +12.3 PHX 23.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 61.5% 23 60.1%	LAL 56.4% PHX 70.0% +13.6%
STL %	12 8.6% 2 9.7%	LAL 7.3% PHX 10.6% +3.3%
BLK %	23 8.3% 21 8.4%	LAL 7.8% PHX 12.2% +4.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 59.4% 27 55.3%	LAL 56.8% PHX 70.2% +13.4%
Rim FG%	1 72.0% 18 64.0%	LAL 66.7% PHX 81.3% +14.6%
Mid FG%	4 46.8% 17 43.3%	LAL 44.0% PHX 52.6% +8.6%
3P %	14 35.9% 12 36.1%	LAL 37.5% PHX 41.2% +3.7%
FT %	26 76.3% 15 78.1%	LAL 62.1% PHX 90.0% +27.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 30.7% 29 26.3%	LAL 29.6% PHX 37.6% +8.0%
Mid Att. %	26 30.0% 22 28.4%	LAL 30.9% PHX 22.4% −8.5%
3P Att. %	22 39.4% 7 45.3%	LAL 39.5% PHX 40.0% +0.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.16 and 3.16.

Game Totals	LAL	PHX
Possessions	96	94
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	108	132
Rebounds	38	38
Assists	22	35
Steals	7	10
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls	22	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (3)	12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (1)	26 (4)
Field Goals	39-81	50-85
At-the-Rim FG	16-24	26-32
Midrange FG	11-25	10-19
2-Point FG	27-49	36-51
3-Point FG	12-32	14-34
Free Throws	18-29	18-20
Fast Break Pts	5	13
2nd Chance Pts	23	21
Points in Paint	46	62
Pts off Turnovers	14	24
Bench Points	35	40
Biggest Lead	5	32

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg