Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Spurs	41%	117	113	116.5	97	106.7
	5	Knicks	59%	120	124	129.2	96	88.0

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21	34.9	15	42%	7	12	0	1	2	4	4	3	4-5	80%	4-12	33%	1-3	33%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	33.3	12	40%	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	5	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	2-7	29%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	31.7	16	50%	2	9	1	0	5	3	0	2	4-6	67%	3-7	43%	2-6	33%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	23.5	11	55%	3	2	1	1	0	0	2	1	3-3	100%	4-5	80%	0-4	0%
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 30	22.8	14	78%	6	1	0	0	0	0	5	1	0-0	-	7-9	78%	0-0	-

Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	28.4	21	75%	7	0	0	0	0	3	3	4	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	5-7	71%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	25.0	3	30%	2	1	1	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	24.9	18	47%	6	1	1	2	1	0	0	6	2-4	50%	5-11	45%	2-6	33%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	15.6	3	50%	4	0	0	0	0	0	3	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	INACTIVE
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	INACTIVE
Kyle Mangas #20 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	50%	42	29	4	5	8	13	18	24	17-22	77%	27-60	45%	14-39	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

6 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21	34.9	15	42%	7	12	0	1	2	4	4	3	4-5	80%	4-12	33%	1-3	33%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	33.3	12	40%	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	5	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	2-7	29%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	31.7	16	50%	2	9	1	0	5	3	0	2	4-6	67%	3-7	43%	2-6	33%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	23.5	11	55%	3	2	1	1	0	0	2	1	3-3	100%	4-5	80%	0-4	0%
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 30	22.8	14	78%	6	1	0	0	0	0	5	1	0-0	-	7-9	78%	0-0	-

Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	28.4	21	75%	7	0	0	0	0	3	3	4	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	5-7	71%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	25.0	3	30%	2	1	1	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	24.9	18	47%	6	1	1	2	1	0	0	6	2-4	50%	5-11	45%	2-6	33%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	15.6	3	50%	4	0	0	0	0	0	3	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	INACTIVE
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	INACTIVE
Kyle Mangas #20 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	50%	42	29	4	5	8	13	18	24	17-22	77%	27-60	45%	14-39	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

5 New York Knicks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Brunson #11 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 29	41.0	25	45%	4	8	0	1	4	3	1	3	2-4	50%	10-22	45%	1-5	20%
OG Anunoby #8 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 28	40.0	28	74%	9	3	0	1	0	4	4	5	3-5	60%	5-7	71%	5-10	50%
Mikal Bridges #25 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 29	32.6	11	42%	5	5	0	0	1	0	1	4	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	1-5	20%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 30	29.7	16	62%	11	1	2	0	2	3	4	7	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
Josh Hart #3 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 31	29.3	11	79%	8	3	2	1	1	4	1	7	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-3	33%

Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 34	26.7	15	50%	2	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	3-8	38%	3-7	43%
Tyler Kolek #13 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 25	20.4	14	70%	5	5	0	0	1	2	0	5	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	2-5	40%
Mitchell Robinson #23 · C · 7'0" 240 · 28	18.4	4	33%	15	2	1	2	1	3	10	5	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Ariel Hukporti #55 · C · 7'0" 246 · 24	1.9	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Jemison III #50 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mohamed Diawara #51 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin McCullar Jr. #9 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pacôme Dadiet #4 · SG · 6'9" 210 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tosan Evbuomwan #20 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Landry Shamet #44 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
Miles McBride #2 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	55%	59	27	7	6	10	20	23	36	11-15	73%	34-65	52%	15-40	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	NYK
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	NYK

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.01 50.4%

NYK

1.10 54.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

21

36

58%

NYK

18

32

56%

Midrange

SAS

6

24

25%

NYK

16

33

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

14

21.0

39

36%

54%

NYK

15

22.5

40

38%

56%

Free Throws

SAS

17

22

77%

NYK

11

15

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Harper	21	75%	10.5 / 14
V. Wembanyama	18	47%	9.0 / 19
D. Fox	16	50%	8.0 / 16
S. Castle	15	42%	7.5 / 18
L. Kornet	14	78%	7.0 / 9
D. Vassell	12	40%	6.0 / 15
H. Barnes	11	55%	5.5 / 10
J. Champagnie	3	30%	1.5 / 5
K. Johnson	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Knicks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
O. Anunoby	28	74%	14.0 / 19
J. Brunson	25	45%	12.5 / 28
K. Towns	16	62%	8.0 / 13
J. Clarkson	15	50%	7.5 / 15
T. Kolek	14	70%	7.0 / 10
M. Bridges	11	42%	5.5 / 13
J. Hart	11	79%	5.5 / 7
M. Robinson	4	33%	2.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 118.9 4 118.7	SAS 116.5 NYK 129.2 +12.7
Pace	13 100.5 25 97.7	SAS 106.7 +18.6 NYK 88.0
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.2 4 15.0	SAS 13.5 −2.9 NYK 16.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 55.9% 9 55.7%	SAS 48.5% NYK 53.8% +5.3%
TO %	4 12.5% 9 13.1%	SAS 6.9% −2.1% NYK 9.0%
ORB %	10 26.2% 5 29.3%	SAS 33.3% NYK 48.9% +15.6%
FTrt	12 27.3 25 23.8	SAS 22.2 +7.9 NYK 14.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 64.6% 15 64.3%	SAS 70.7% +15.6% NYK 55.1%
STL %	24 7.5% 18 8.3%	SAS 4.1% NYK 7.3% +3.2%
BLK %	10 10.0% 22 8.3%	SAS 7.7% NYK 10.0% +2.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 58.1% 7 57.6%	SAS 50.4% NYK 54.9% +4.5%
Rim FG%	9 65.8% 14 64.8%	SAS 58.3% +2.0% NYK 56.3%
Mid FG%	5 45.1% 7 44.6%	SAS 25.0% NYK 48.5% +23.5%
3P %	15 35.9% 4 37.3%	SAS 35.9% NYK 37.5% +1.6%
FT %	12 78.7% 10 79.2%	SAS 77.3% +4.0% NYK 73.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 34.4% 18 31.2%	SAS 36.4% +5.9% NYK 30.5%
Mid Att. %	7 23.4% 14 26.1%	SAS 24.2% −7.2% NYK 31.4%
3P Att. %	15 42.2% 12 42.8%	SAS 39.4% +1.3% NYK 38.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	NYK
Possessions	97	96
Possession Minutes	21.8	26.2
Points	113	124
Rebounds	42	59
Assists	29	27
Steals	4	7
Blocks	5	6
Turnovers (Team)	8 (0)	10 (1)
Fouls	13	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (5)	23 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (7)	36 (3)
Field Goals	41-99	49-105
At-the-Rim FG	21-36	18-32
Midrange FG	6-24	16-33
2-Point FG	27-60	34-65
3-Point FG	14-39	15-40
Free Throws	17-22	11-15
Fast Break Pts	10	13
2nd Chance Pts	28	32
Points in Paint	44	56
Pts off Turnovers	19	10
Bench Points	45	33
Biggest Lead	11	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg