Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, December 22, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Grizzlies	19%	108	103	98.1	105	102.0
	1	Thunder	81%	119	119	113.3	105	108.2

Prediction updated: Dec 23, 2025 02:32 AM

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+14

-21

OKC

+11

-13

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.06 53.1%

OKC

1.16 57.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cam Spencer #24 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 26	34.8	14	58%	5	8	1	0	4	1	1	4	3-3	100%	1-5	20%	3-6	50%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	32.5	12	35%	4	0	3	1	5	4	1	3	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	0-6	0%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	31.6	11	46%	3	1	2	1	0	2	0	3	6-8	75%	1-6	17%	1-2	50%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	25.8	11	55%	10	3	0	0	2	2	3	7	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	2-4	50%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	24.8	16	67%	8	6	0	1	0	0	3	5	4-6	67%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	24.7	9	35%	7	1	0	0	2	1	1	6	0-0	-	3-8	38%	1-5	20%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	20.7	16	114%	3	4	0	0	3	0	1	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	5-6	83%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	17.4	8	80%	1	0	0	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	12.5	6	60%	2	0	1	1	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	9.5	0	0%	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	5.8	0	0%	2	2	1	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; UCL Surgery Recovery
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Turf Toe
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	53%	46	26	8	5	21	14	10	36	17-23	74%	16-42	38%	18-41	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

18 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cam Spencer #24 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 26	34.8	14	58%	5	8	1	0	4	1	1	4	3-3	100%	1-5	20%	3-6	50%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	32.5	12	35%	4	0	3	1	5	4	1	3	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	0-6	0%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	31.6	11	46%	3	1	2	1	0	2	0	3	6-8	75%	1-6	17%	1-2	50%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	25.8	11	55%	10	3	0	0	2	2	3	7	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	2-4	50%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	24.8	16	67%	8	6	0	1	0	0	3	5	4-6	67%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	24.7	9	35%	7	1	0	0	2	1	1	6	0-0	-	3-8	38%	1-5	20%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	20.7	16	114%	3	4	0	0	3	0	1	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	5-6	83%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	17.4	8	80%	1	0	0	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	12.5	6	60%	2	0	1	1	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	9.5	0	0%	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	5.8	0	0%	2	2	1	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; UCL Surgery Recovery
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Turf Toe
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	53%	46	26	8	5	21	14	10	36	17-23	74%	16-42	38%	18-41	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	35.6	31	67%	10	8	4	1	5	3	0	10	6-6	100%	8-16	50%	3-4	75%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 25	34.3	24	55%	6	2	0	0	2	1	2	4	3-4	75%	9-14	64%	1-6	17%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 27	30.4	13	72%	4	0	3	3	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	29.1	8	50%	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 27	24.7	11	79%	3	2	0	0	2	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-6	50%

Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	25.0	11	61%	6	3	4	0	0	2	1	5	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	22.2	16	57%	9	2	2	0	3	4	3	6	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	1-3	33%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	20.1	5	42%	2	1	0	0	1	4	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	16.4	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Chris Youngblood #3 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Adductor; Soreness
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Bursitis
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Surgical Recovery
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Middle Finger; Sprain
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	58%	46	20	14	4	13	18	9	37	12-14	86%	31-55	56%	15-39	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	OKC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.06 53.1%

OKC

1.16 57.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

53%

OKC

67%

Midrange

MEM

28%

OKC

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

27.0

44%

66%

OKC

22.5

38%

58%

Free Throws

MEM

74%

OKC

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Coward	16	67%	8.0 / 12
K. Caldwell-Pope	16	114%	8.0 / 7
C. Spencer	14	58%	7.0 / 12
J. Wells	12	35%	6.0 / 17
J. Jackson	11	46%	5.5 / 12
J. Landale	11	55%	5.5 / 10
S. Aldama	9	35%	4.5 / 13
O. Prosper	8	80%	4.0 / 5
G. Jackson	6	60%	3.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	31	67%	15.5 / 23
J. Williams	24	55%	12.0 / 22
A. Mitchell	16	57%	8.0 / 14
L. Dort	13	72%	6.5 / 9
B. Carlson	11	79%	5.5 / 7
K. Williams	11	61%	5.5 / 9
C. Wallace	8	50%	4.0 / 8
I. Joe	5	42%	2.5 / 6
B. Barnhizer	0	-	0.0 / 2
C. Youngblood	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 112.4 7 117.6	MEM 98.1 OKC 113.3 +15.2
Pace	7 101.8 15 100.3	MEM 102.0 OKC 108.2 +6.2
Avg. Poss. Time	26 13.8 20 14.1	MEM 14.1 OKC 13.3 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.3% 4 56.1%	MEM 51.8% OKC 56.9% +5.1%
TO %	22 14.3% 1 11.8%	MEM 19.8% OKC 11.5% −8.3%
ORB %	19 24.7% 28 22.3%	MEM 21.3% +1.3% OKC 20.0%
FTrt	21 25.1 17 26.1	MEM 27.7 +12.8 OKC 14.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 67.4% 25 59.8%	MEM 76.5% +33.0% OKC 43.5%
STL %	11 8.7% 4 9.6%	MEM 7.6% OKC 13.3% +5.7%
BLK %	14 9.1% 2 11.0%	MEM 9.1% OKC 9.5% +0.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.8% 4 58.5%	MEM 53.1% OKC 57.8% +4.7%
Rim FG%	26 62.8% 11 65.2%	MEM 52.9% OKC 66.7% +13.8%
Mid FG%	11 44.2% 1 47.6%	MEM 28.0% OKC 46.4% +18.4%
3P %	22 35.3% 9 36.5%	MEM 43.9% +5.4% OKC 38.5%
FT %	9 79.3% 3 81.7%	MEM 73.9% OKC 85.7% +11.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 28.6% 16 31.3%	MEM 20.5% OKC 28.7% +8.2%
Mid Att. %	19 27.8% 15 26.1%	MEM 30.1% OKC 29.8% −0.3%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 13 42.6%	MEM 49.4% +7.9% OKC 41.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	OKC
Possessions	105	105
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	103	119
Rebounds	46	46
Assists	26	20
Steals	8	14
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	21 (2)	13 (0)
Fouls	14	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (2)	37 (2)
Field Goals	34-83	46-94
At-the-Rim FG	9-17	18-27
Midrange FG	7-25	13-28
2-Point FG	16-42	31-55
3-Point FG	18-41	15-39
Free Throws	17-23	12-14
Fast Break Pts	13	8
2nd Chance Pts	13	13
Points in Paint	28	56
Pts off Turnovers	15	31
Bench Points	39	32
Biggest Lead	7	18

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg