Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, December 28, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	76ers	14%	104	104	104.0	100	97.0
	1	Thunder	86%	118	129	127.7	101	104.3

Prediction updated: Dec 28, 2025 08:26 PM

Scoring Opportunities

PHI

+17

-23

OKC

+15

-13

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.11 55.3%

OKC

1.26 63.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	36.4	28	67%	2	5	4	0	5	2	0	2	6-7	86%	8-11	73%	2-7	29%
VJ Edgecombe #77 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	33.9	10	28%	2	5	0	0	2	4	2	0	2-4	50%	1-9	11%	2-7	29%
Paul George #8 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 36	29.2	12	55%	4	3	1	0	3	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-4	0%	4-7	57%
Dominick Barlow #25 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 23	25.4	2	25%	4	2	0	0	2	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 32	17.6	4	50%	4	0	0	0	4	4	2	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	28.4	11	79%	8	1	0	4	2	3	6	2	5-6	83%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Jared McCain #20 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	23.3	10	83%	4	1	0	0	3	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 26	22.4	13	54%	2	3	0	0	1	4	0	2	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	3-9	33%
Justin Edwards #11 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	19.8	12	67%	5	1	0	1	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	4-7	57%
Jabari Walker #33 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	3.5	2	100%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johni Broome #22 · PF · 6'9" 244 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
MarJon Beauchamp #16 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trendon Watford #12 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain; Right Knee Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	55%	38	21	5	5	23	22	13	25	17-21	81%	18-40	45%	17-43	40%

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14 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	36.4	28	67%	2	5	4	0	5	2	0	2	6-7	86%	8-11	73%	2-7	29%
VJ Edgecombe #77 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	33.9	10	28%	2	5	0	0	2	4	2	0	2-4	50%	1-9	11%	2-7	29%
Paul George #8 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 36	29.2	12	55%	4	3	1	0	3	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-4	0%	4-7	57%
Dominick Barlow #25 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 23	25.4	2	25%	4	2	0	0	2	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 32	17.6	4	50%	4	0	0	0	4	4	2	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	28.4	11	79%	8	1	0	4	2	3	6	2	5-6	83%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Jared McCain #20 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	23.3	10	83%	4	1	0	0	3	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 26	22.4	13	54%	2	3	0	0	1	4	0	2	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	3-9	33%
Justin Edwards #11 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	19.8	12	67%	5	1	0	1	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	4-7	57%
Jabari Walker #33 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	3.5	2	100%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johni Broome #22 · PF · 6'9" 244 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
MarJon Beauchamp #16 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trendon Watford #12 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain; Right Knee Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	55%	38	21	5	5	23	22	13	25	17-21	81%	18-40	45%	17-43	40%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 25	32.1	14	54%	4	6	2	0	2	2	1	3	6-7	86%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 24	29.4	29	76%	9	1	0	4	6	4	3	6	3-4	75%	10-13	77%	2-4	50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	29.0	27	79%	2	5	2	0	1	0	0	2	7-9	78%	10-11	91%	0-2	0%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 27	23.0	3	75%	1	0	1	1	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	19.6	5	42%	3	3	1	1	2	4	0	3	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-

Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	25.6	9	56%	4	4	2	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	23.0	15	83%	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	3	1-2	50%	4-4	100%	2-4	50%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	20.1	13	65%	1	3	2	0	0	4	0	1	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	15.6	7	70%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	7.1	3	50%	4	2	0	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 27	5.5	4	67%	2	0	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	5.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Chris Youngblood #3 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	4.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Bursitis
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Surgical Recovery
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	63%	35	27	12	6	13	18	9	26	19-25	76%	40-59	68%	10-28	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	OKC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.11 55.3%

OKC

1.26 63.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHI

68%

OKC

77%

Midrange

PHI

17%

OKC

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHI

25.5

40%

59%

OKC

15.0

36%

54%

Free Throws

PHI

81%

OKC

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Maxey	28	67%	14.0 / 21
Q. Grimes	13	54%	6.5 / 12
P. George	12	55%	6.0 / 11
J. Edwards	12	67%	6.0 / 9
A. Bona	11	79%	5.5 / 7
V. Edgecombe	10	28%	5.0 / 18
J. McCain	10	83%	5.0 / 6
A. Drummond	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Barlow	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Walker	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Holmgren	29	76%	14.5 / 19
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	27	79%	13.5 / 17
A. Wiggins	15	83%	7.5 / 9
J. Williams	14	54%	7.0 / 13
A. Mitchell	13	65%	6.5 / 10
C. Wallace	9	56%	4.5 / 8
A. Caruso	7	70%	3.5 / 5
I. Hartenstein	5	42%	2.5 / 6
B. Carlson	4	67%	2.0 / 3
L. Dort	3	75%	1.5 / 2
K. Williams	3	50%	1.5 / 3
I. Joe	0	-	0.0 / 1
C. Youngblood	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 114.4 7 117.6	PHI 104.0 OKC 127.7 +23.7
Pace	16 100.3 15 100.3	PHI 97.0 OKC 104.3 +7.3
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.6 20 14.1	PHI 14.8 OKC 13.8 −1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 53.0% 4 56.1%	PHI 52.4% OKC 63.2% +10.8%
TO %	6 12.8% 1 11.8%	PHI 20.0% OKC 12.5% −7.5%
ORB %	11 26.2% 28 22.3%	PHI 33.3% +6.8% OKC 26.5%
FTrt	11 27.5 17 26.1	PHI 25.3 OKC 28.7 +3.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 58.9% 25 59.8%	PHI 60.0% +6.0% OKC 54.0%
STL %	7 9.0% 4 9.6%	PHI 5.0% OKC 11.9% +6.9%
BLK %	3 10.9% 2 11.0%	PHI 8.5% OKC 15.0% +6.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	21 55.9% 4 58.5%	PHI 55.3% OKC 63.2% +7.9%
Rim FG%	27 62.1% 11 65.2%	PHI 68.2% OKC 76.9% +8.7%
Mid FG%	23 41.8% 1 47.6%	PHI 16.7% OKC 50.0% +33.3%
3P %	23 34.9% 9 36.5%	PHI 39.5% +3.8% OKC 35.7%
FT %	4 80.9% 3 81.7%	PHI 81.0% +5.0% OKC 76.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 35.0% 16 31.3%	PHI 26.5% OKC 44.8% +18.3%
Mid Att. %	13 25.9% 15 26.1%	PHI 21.7% −1.3% OKC 23.0%
3P Att. %	23 39.1% 13 42.6%	PHI 51.8% +19.6% OKC 32.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	PHI	OKC
Possessions	100	101
Possession Minutes	24.8	23.3
Points	104	129
Rebounds	38	35
Assists	21	27
Steals	5	12
Blocks	5	6
Turnovers (Team)	23 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls	22	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (4)	9 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (2)	26 (8)
Field Goals	35-83	50-87
At-the-Rim FG	15-22	30-39
Midrange FG	3-18	10-20
2-Point FG	18-40	40-59
3-Point FG	17-43	10-28
Free Throws	17-21	19-25
Fast Break Pts	10	13
2nd Chance Pts	19	14
Points in Paint	34	72
Pts off Turnovers	14	31
Bench Points	48	51
Biggest Lead	2	27

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg