Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Nuggets	64%	119	126	126.0	100	95.9
	21	Magic	36%	114	127	127.0	100	104.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	38.0	34	61%	21	12	1	0	4	1	7	14	12-13	92%	11-22	50%	0-0	-
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	36.6	24	52%	5	3	0	0	2	3	0	5	4-4	100%	7-15	47%	2-6	33%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 23	34.5	15	83%	5	0	2	0	1	1	1	4	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	1-3	33%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	34.5	14	78%	6	3	0	3	2	2	4	2	3-5	60%	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	32.8	20	63%	4	2	0	0	0	3	0	4	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	4-12	33%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	26.6	2	33%	3	4	2	0	1	4	2	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	16.9	13	93%	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	1-2	50%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	10.1	0	0%	1	1	0	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	10.0	4	67%	4	1	0	0	3	4	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Cameron Johnson #23 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	62%	49	27	5	3	16	23	15	34	27-30	90%	33-57	58%	11-29	38%

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10 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	38.0	34	61%	21	12	1	0	4	1	7	14	12-13	92%	11-22	50%	0-0	-
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	36.6	24	52%	5	3	0	0	2	3	0	5	4-4	100%	7-15	47%	2-6	33%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 23	34.5	15	83%	5	0	2	0	1	1	1	4	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	1-3	33%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	34.5	14	78%	6	3	0	3	2	2	4	2	3-5	60%	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	32.8	20	63%	4	2	0	0	0	3	0	4	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	4-12	33%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	26.6	2	33%	3	4	2	0	1	4	2	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	16.9	13	93%	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	1-2	50%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	10.1	0	0%	1	1	0	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	10.0	4	67%	4	1	0	0	3	4	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Cameron Johnson #23 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	62%	49	27	5	3	16	23	15	34	27-30	90%	33-57	58%	11-29	38%

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21 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28	38.1	24	71%	1	6	0	0	1	4	0	1	10-10	100%	7-11	64%	0-2	0%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 27	37.8	18	56%	7	4	0	0	0	6	3	4	1-2	50%	7-12	58%	1-4	25%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 23	36.0	12	40%	6	6	0	0	3	4	0	6	0-4	0%	6-11	55%	0-2	0%
Anthony Black #0 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	30.1	38	73%	6	5	2	0	1	4	3	3	3-6	50%	7-13	54%	7-11	64%
Tyus Jones #2 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	22.7	0	0%	1	6	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	30.4	17	71%	5	0	1	0	0	4	0	5	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	2-4	50%
Jase Richardson #11 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 20	17.4	4	40%	3	1	1	0	1	2	1	2	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Noah Penda #93 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 21	10.3	2	100%	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	10.1	5	63%	1	2	4	0	0	0	1	0	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 27	5.1	7	70%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Orlando Robinson #7 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Contusion
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left High Ankle; Sprain
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	60%	35	32	8	0	6	25	9	26	25-37	68%	36-60	60%	10-29	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	ORL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.25 62.4%

ORL

1.20 59.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

17

25

68%

ORL

26

36

72%

Midrange

DEN

16

32

50%

ORL

10

24

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

11

16.5

29

38%

57%

ORL

10

15.0

29

34%

52%

Free Throws

DEN

27

30

90%

ORL

25

37

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	34	61%	17.0 / 28
J. Murray	24	52%	12.0 / 23
T. Hardaway	20	63%	10.0 / 16
P. Watson	15	83%	7.5 / 9
S. Jones	14	78%	7.0 / 9
J. Strawther	13	93%	6.5 / 7
J. Valančiūnas	4	67%	2.0 / 3
B. Brown	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Pickett	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Black	38	73%	19.0 / 26
D. Bane	24	71%	12.0 / 17
W. Carter	18	56%	9.0 / 16
T. da Silva	17	71%	8.5 / 12
P. Banchero	12	40%	6.0 / 15
J. Cain	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Isaac	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Richardson	4	40%	2.0 / 5
N. Penda	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Howard	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 121.3 17 114.3	DEN 126.0 ORL 127.0 +1.0
Pace	19 99.4 14 100.5	DEN 95.9 ORL 104.4 +8.5
Avg. Poss. Time	9 14.7 17 14.2	DEN 15.0 ORL 13.8 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.7% 26 53.0%	DEN 57.6% +0.3% ORL 57.3%
TO %	3 12.1% 12 13.5%	DEN 13.9% ORL 5.4% −8.5%
ORB %	24 23.6% 18 25.0%	DEN 36.6% +15.7% ORL 20.9%
FTrt	4 29.4 2 31.1	DEN 34.9 ORL 41.6 +6.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 66.5% 12 64.7%	DEN 61.4% ORL 69.6% +8.2%
STL %	30 6.8% 16 8.4%	DEN 5.0% ORL 8.0% +3.0%
BLK %	29 7.6% 17 8.8%	DEN 5.0% +5.0% ORL 0.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 60.1% 19 56.3%	DEN 62.4% +2.5% ORL 59.9%
Rim FG%	12 65.1% 24 63.0%	DEN 68.0% ORL 72.2% +4.2%
Mid FG%	2 47.0% 24 41.5%	DEN 50.0% +8.3% ORL 41.7%
3P %	1 39.6% 27 34.3%	DEN 37.9% +3.4% ORL 34.5%
FT %	5 80.8% 8 80.1%	DEN 90.0% +22.4% ORL 67.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 31.1% 4 35.7%	DEN 29.1% ORL 40.4% +11.4%
Mid Att. %	21 28.1% 12 25.7%	DEN 37.2% ORL 27.0% −10.2%
3P Att. %	17 40.8% 24 38.6%	DEN 33.7% +1.1% ORL 32.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	DEN	ORL
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	25.0	23.0
Points	126	127
Rebounds	49	35
Assists	27	32
Steals	5	8
Blocks	3	0
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	6 (0)
Fouls	23	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (2)	9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (3)	26 (0)
Field Goals	44-86	46-89
At-the-Rim FG	17-25	26-36
Midrange FG	16-32	10-24
2-Point FG	33-57	36-60
3-Point FG	11-29	10-29
Free Throws	27-30	25-37
Fast Break Pts	12	13
2nd Chance Pts	19	10
Points in Paint	62	64
Pts off Turnovers	4	27
Bench Points	19	35
Biggest Lead	17	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg