Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, December 27, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Bucks	42%	117	112	116.7	96	91.1
	16	Bulls	58%	119	103	105.1	98	103.6

Prediction updated: Dec 28, 2025 12:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

+14

-10

100

CHI

+22

-15

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.12 56.0%

CHI

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Porter Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 26	39.0	8	36%	6	9	4	0	4	3	1	5	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	35.0	20	77%	7	5	2	1	1	4	2	5	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	5-9	56%
AJ Green #20 · SF · 6'4" 190 · 26	28.0	6	33%	2	1	2	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-8	25%
Myles Turner #3 · C · 6'11" 250 · 30	27.4	13	59%	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	4	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 31	24.7	29	73%	8	1	1	1	2	2	1	7	8-10	80%	9-12	75%	1-3	33%

Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	24.2	17	50%	11	1	2	0	0	0	4	7	1-2	50%	5-13	38%	2-3	67%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 30	23.1	12	50%	2	4	0	1	1	1	0	2	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	0-2	0%
Gary Harris #11 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	22.0	3	50%	0	0	1	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 27	16.6	4	100%	6	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Amir Coffey #17 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Antetokounmpo #29 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mark Sears #19 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Neck; Surgery
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	56%	47	22	12	3	10	16	11	36	19-24	79%	27-50	54%	13-36	36%

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20 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Porter Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 26	39.0	8	36%	6	9	4	0	4	3	1	5	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	35.0	20	77%	7	5	2	1	1	4	2	5	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	5-9	56%
AJ Green #20 · SF · 6'4" 190 · 26	28.0	6	33%	2	1	2	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-8	25%
Myles Turner #3 · C · 6'11" 250 · 30	27.4	13	59%	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	4	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 31	24.7	29	73%	8	1	1	1	2	2	1	7	8-10	80%	9-12	75%	1-3	33%

Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	24.2	17	50%	11	1	2	0	0	0	4	7	1-2	50%	5-13	38%	2-3	67%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 30	23.1	12	50%	2	4	0	1	1	1	0	2	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	0-2	0%
Gary Harris #11 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	22.0	3	50%	0	0	1	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 27	16.6	4	100%	6	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Amir Coffey #17 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Antetokounmpo #29 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mark Sears #19 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Neck; Surgery
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	56%	47	22	12	3	10	16	11	36	19-24	79%	27-50	54%	13-36	36%

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16 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Coby White #0 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	28.7	16	67%	2	1	0	0	5	3	0	2	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	4-8	50%
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 23	26.1	13	59%	7	9	0	0	4	1	1	6	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 35	25.7	16	57%	7	1	1	1	2	2	2	5	0-0	-	5-10	50%	2-4	50%
Matas Buzelis #14 · PF · 6'8" 196 · 21	22.5	8	57%	3	2	1	0	3	2	1	2	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Isaac Okoro #35 · SF · 6'4" 225 · 25	19.5	10	56%	4	2	0	0	0	2	2	2	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	1-1	100%

Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 28	24.4	10	56%	10	2	0	0	0	1	4	6	0-1	0%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Kevin Huerter #13 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	23.7	7	35%	6	4	0	0	0	2	3	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Jalen Smith #25 · C · 6'8" 244 · 26	22.4	6	38%	10	1	0	1	0	2	3	7	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-6	33%
Tre Jones #30 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	22.1	6	50%	1	6	1	0	1	2	0	1	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Ayo Dosunmu #11 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 26	21.4	11	50%	2	0	2	0	0	1	0	2	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	0-3	0%
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 24	3.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dalen Terry #7 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Emanuel Miller #2 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trentyn Flowers #00 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Lachlan Olbrich #47 · C · 6'8" 236 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Noa Essengue #24 · PF · 6'8" 194 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	51%	52	28	5	2	15	18	16	36	12-16	75%	26-55	47%	13-38	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	CHI
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	CHI

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.12 56.0%

CHI

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

70%

CHI

54%

Midrange

MIL

30%

CHI

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

19.5

36%

54%

CHI

19.5

34%

51%

Free Throws

MIL

79%

CHI

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	29	73%	14.5 / 20
R. Rollins	20	77%	10.0 / 13
B. Portis	17	50%	8.5 / 17
M. Turner	13	59%	6.5 / 11
K. Kuzma	12	50%	6.0 / 12
K. Porter	8	36%	4.0 / 11
A. Green	6	33%	3.0 / 9
J. Sims	4	100%	2.0 / 2
G. Harris	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. White	16	67%	8.0 / 12
N. Vučević	16	57%	8.0 / 14
J. Giddey	13	59%	6.5 / 11
A. Dosunmu	11	50%	5.5 / 11
I. Okoro	10	56%	5.0 / 9
Z. Collins	10	56%	5.0 / 9
M. Buzelis	8	57%	4.0 / 7
K. Huerter	7	35%	3.5 / 10
J. Smith	6	38%	3.0 / 8
T. Jones	6	50%	3.0 / 6
P. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	24 112.3 25 112.2	MIL 116.7 +11.6 CHI 105.1
Pace	24 98.1 3 103.3	MIL 91.1 CHI 103.6 +12.5
Avg. Poss. Time	7 14.8 28 13.6	MIL 15.8 CHI 13.9 −1.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 56.5% 14 54.7%	MIL 54.1% +5.2% CHI 48.9%
TO %	24 14.7% 20 14.1%	MIL 11.1% −1.9% CHI 13.0%
ORB %	30 21.1% 27 23.1%	MIL 23.4% CHI 30.8% +7.4%
FTrt	29 22.3 22 24.6	MIL 27.9 +10.7 CHI 17.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 63.3% 7 67.2%	MIL 55.0% CHI 71.8% +16.8%
STL %	23 7.5% 26 7.4%	MIL 12.5% +7.4% CHI 5.1%
BLK %	25 8.2% 15 9.0%	MIL 5.5% +1.5% CHI 4.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.5% 17 56.5%	MIL 56.0% +5.5% CHI 50.5%
Rim FG%	4 67.1% 30 61.4%	MIL 70.0% +15.9% CHI 54.1%
Mid FG%	20 42.6% 15 43.7%	MIL 30.0% CHI 33.3% +3.3%
3P %	2 38.7% 19 35.6%	MIL 36.1% +1.9% CHI 34.2%
FT %	30 73.0% 18 77.6%	MIL 79.2% +4.2% CHI 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 28.2% 3 38.2%	MIL 34.9% CHI 39.8% +4.9%
Mid Att. %	16 26.1% 1 17.5%	MIL 23.3% CHI 19.4% −3.9%
3P Att. %	5 45.7% 8 44.3%	MIL 41.9% +1.0% CHI 40.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Game Totals	MIL	CHI
Possessions	96	98
Possession Minutes	25.3	22.7
Points	112	103
Rebounds	47	52
Assists	22	28
Steals	12	5
Blocks	3	2
Turnovers (Team)	10 (2)	15 (0)
Fouls	16	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	16 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (1)	36 (1)
Field Goals	40-86	39-93
At-the-Rim FG	21-30	20-37
Midrange FG	6-20	6-18
2-Point FG	27-50	26-55
3-Point FG	13-36	13-38
Free Throws	19-24	12-16
Fast Break Pts	10	21
2nd Chance Pts	13	13
Points in Paint	46	48
Pts off Turnovers	16	16
Bench Points	36	40
Biggest Lead	15	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg