Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 26, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Suns	61%	117	115	111.7	103	102.1
	26	Pelicans	39%	114	108	104.9	103	103.9

Prediction updated: Dec 27, 2025 12:42 AM

Scoring Opportunities

PHX

+20

-17

106

NOP

+19

-12

110

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHX

1.10 54.8%

NOP

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Booker #1 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	36.5	30	75%	9	5	1	0	4	2	2	7	9-11	82%	9-13	69%	1-3	33%
Collin Gillespie #12 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 27	34.9	16	57%	3	9	1	1	4	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	4-10	40%
Dillon Brooks #3 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 30	32.8	14	50%	3	1	2	0	2	3	0	3	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	1-7	14%
Mark Williams #15 · C · 7'1" 240 · 24	27.1	24	71%	13	2	2	1	3	3	4	9	6-8	75%	9-13	69%	0-0	-
Royce O'Neale #00 · PF · 6'6" 226 · 33	25.3	3	38%	2	3	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%

Ryan Dunn #0 · SF · 6'7" 216 · 23	21.2	9	56%	8	1	1	1	1	3	4	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Oso Ighodaro #11 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 23	20.6	6	100%	5	1	0	1	0	5	2	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jordan Goodwin #23 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 27	19.6	4	22%	6	2	2	0	3	2	1	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-6	0%
Jamaree Bouyea #17 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 26	11.7	3	21%	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Rasheer Fleming #20 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 21	10.5	6	50%	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-3	0%
Nigel Hayes-Davis #21 · SF · 6'7" 254 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Khaman Maluach #10 · C · 7'1" 250 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nick Richards #2 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Livers #18 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 27	INACTIVE
Koby Brea #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	INACTIVE
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Grayson Allen #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	55%	52	26	9	4	17	27	16	36	19-25	76%	36-51	71%	8-40	20%

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14 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Booker #1 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	36.5	30	75%	9	5	1	0	4	2	2	7	9-11	82%	9-13	69%	1-3	33%
Collin Gillespie #12 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 27	34.9	16	57%	3	9	1	1	4	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	4-10	40%
Dillon Brooks #3 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 30	32.8	14	50%	3	1	2	0	2	3	0	3	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	1-7	14%
Mark Williams #15 · C · 7'1" 240 · 24	27.1	24	71%	13	2	2	1	3	3	4	9	6-8	75%	9-13	69%	0-0	-
Royce O'Neale #00 · PF · 6'6" 226 · 33	25.3	3	38%	2	3	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%

Ryan Dunn #0 · SF · 6'7" 216 · 23	21.2	9	56%	8	1	1	1	1	3	4	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Oso Ighodaro #11 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 23	20.6	6	100%	5	1	0	1	0	5	2	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jordan Goodwin #23 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 27	19.6	4	22%	6	2	2	0	3	2	1	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-6	0%
Jamaree Bouyea #17 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 26	11.7	3	21%	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Rasheer Fleming #20 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 21	10.5	6	50%	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-3	0%
Nigel Hayes-Davis #21 · SF · 6'7" 254 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Khaman Maluach #10 · C · 7'1" 250 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nick Richards #2 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Livers #18 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 27	INACTIVE
Koby Brea #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	INACTIVE
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Grayson Allen #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	55%	52	26	9	4	17	27	16	36	19-25	76%	36-51	71%	8-40	20%

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26 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 26	36.5	19	56%	3	3	4	0	1	4	1	2	2-3	67%	7-13	54%	1-3	33%
Saddiq Bey #41 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	31.1	9	30%	4	1	0	0	0	0	2	2	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	0-5	0%
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	22.4	4	50%	0	1	1	0	2	5	0	0	4-6	67%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	19.6	7	32%	7	2	1	0	3	0	3	4	1-4	25%	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	16.6	9	56%	3	1	1	0	2	0	0	3	1-3	33%	4-7	57%	0-0	-

Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	30.6	19	48%	5	6	3	1	2	4	0	5	3-6	50%	5-7	71%	2-11	18%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	28.0	20	59%	8	6	0	1	2	2	4	4	10-14	71%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 28	25.5	11	69%	2	2	0	0	0	3	0	2	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	18.0	7	70%	3	0	0	0	0	3	1	2	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	8.6	3	75%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 24	3.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #9 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	50%	38	22	10	2	12	22	12	26	25-42	60%	34-63	54%	5-25	20%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	PHX	NOP
Clock	Team	Event	PHX	NOP

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

PHX

1.10 54.8%

NOP

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHX

76%

NOP

64%

Midrange

PHX

59%

NOP

28%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHX

12.0

20%

30%

NOP

7.5

20%

30%

Free Throws

PHX

76%

NOP

60%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Booker	30	75%	15.0 / 20
M. Williams	24	71%	12.0 / 17
C. Gillespie	16	57%	8.0 / 14
D. Brooks	14	50%	7.0 / 14
R. Dunn	9	56%	4.5 / 8
O. Ighodaro	6	100%	3.0 / 3
R. Fleming	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Goodwin	4	22%	2.0 / 9
R. O'Neale	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Bouyea	3	21%	1.5 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. Williamson	20	59%	10.0 / 17
T. Murphy	19	56%	9.5 / 17
J. Poole	19	48%	9.5 / 20
J. Alvarado	11	69%	5.5 / 8
S. Bey	9	30%	4.5 / 15
J. Fears	9	56%	4.5 / 8
D. Queen	7	32%	3.5 / 11
Y. Missi	7	70%	3.5 / 5
B. McGowens	4	50%	2.0 / 4
K. Matković	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 114.3 20 113.3	PHX 111.7 +6.8 NOP 104.9
Pace	23 98.2 11 101.3	PHX 102.1 NOP 103.9 +1.7
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.5 22 14.1	PHX 14.1 NOP 13.9 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	19 53.7% 27 52.7%	PHX 52.7% +5.5% NOP 47.2%
TO %	16 13.7% 11 13.2%	PHX 15.0% NOP 10.1% −4.9%
ORB %	7 28.9% 8 27.0%	PHX 38.1% +13.1% NOP 25.0%
FTrt	28 22.5 8 28.4	PHX 27.5 NOP 47.7 +20.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	23 60.1% 26 59.6%	PHX 59.1% +2.7% NOP 56.4%
STL %	2 9.7% 10 8.7%	PHX 8.7% NOP 9.7% +1.0%
BLK %	21 8.4% 7 10.1%	PHX 6.3% +2.4% NOP 3.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	27 55.3% 25 55.4%	PHX 54.8% +5.3% NOP 49.5%
Rim FG%	18 64.0% 29 61.5%	PHX 76.5% +12.1% NOP 64.4%
Mid FG%	17 43.3% 30 36.6%	PHX 58.8% +31.0% NOP 27.8%
3P %	12 36.1% 24 34.7%	PHX 20.0% NOP 20.0%
FT %	15 78.1% 14 78.4%	PHX 76.0% +16.5% NOP 59.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 26.3% 1 42.8%	PHX 37.4% NOP 51.1% +13.8%
Mid Att. %	22 28.4% 5 21.7%	PHX 18.7% −1.8% NOP 20.5%
3P Att. %	7 45.3% 27 35.5%	PHX 44.0% +15.5% NOP 28.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Game Totals	PHX	NOP
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	115	108
Rebounds	52	38
Assists	26	22
Steals	9	10
Blocks	4	2
Turnovers (Team)	17 (1)	12 (0)
Fouls	27	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (4)	12 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (2)	26 (3)
Field Goals	44-91	39-88
At-the-Rim FG	26-34	29-45
Midrange FG	10-17	5-18
2-Point FG	36-51	34-63
3-Point FG	8-40	5-25
Free Throws	19-25	25-42
Fast Break Pts	15	21
2nd Chance Pts	23	20
Points in Paint	60	66
Pts off Turnovers	12	14
Bench Points	28	60
Biggest Lead	9	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg