Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, December 28, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Pistons	55%	112	99	107.6	92	94.3
	12	Clippers	45%	110	112	120.4	93	90.8

Prediction updated: Dec 29, 2025 02:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

DET

+17

-13

LAC

+11

-10

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.03 51.6%

LAC

1.23 61.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

9 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 24	32.1	27	64%	5	9	0	0	3	4	0	5	6-7	86%	6-11	55%	3-7	43%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 22	31.4	18	69%	14	2	0	1	1	0	5	9	2-2	100%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 32	26.7	5	36%	4	0	0	1	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-6	17%
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 23	23.7	6	33%	6	1	2	1	2	3	4	2	4-6	67%	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 33	21.6	6	50%	0	1	3	0	2	2	0	0	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%

Jaden Ivey #23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	28.7	11	42%	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	2	5-6	83%	0-5	0%	2-5	40%
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 25	23.7	8	36%	4	0	0	2	1	4	2	2	0-0	-	4-10	40%	0-1	0%
Ronald Holland II #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 20	18.2	4	67%	3	2	1	1	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Javonte Green #31 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	13.0	7	88%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Caris LeVert #8 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	12.8	4	50%	1	0	1	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Paul Reed #7 · C · 6'9" 210 · 27	5.7	3	50%	2	0	1	0	0	2	1	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Daniss Jenkins #24 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 24	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chaz Lanier #20 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bobi Klintman #34 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaac Jones #13 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tolu Smith #35 · PF · 6'11" 254 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Wendell Moore Jr. #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	52%	45	18	9	6	13	20	15	30	24-28	86%	27-53	51%	7-29	24%

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9 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 24	32.1	27	64%	5	9	0	0	3	4	0	5	6-7	86%	6-11	55%	3-7	43%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 22	31.4	18	69%	14	2	0	1	1	0	5	9	2-2	100%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 32	26.7	5	36%	4	0	0	1	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-6	17%
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 23	23.7	6	33%	6	1	2	1	2	3	4	2	4-6	67%	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 33	21.6	6	50%	0	1	3	0	2	2	0	0	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%

Jaden Ivey #23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	28.7	11	42%	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	2	5-6	83%	0-5	0%	2-5	40%
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 25	23.7	8	36%	4	0	0	2	1	4	2	2	0-0	-	4-10	40%	0-1	0%
Ronald Holland II #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 20	18.2	4	67%	3	2	1	1	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Javonte Green #31 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	13.0	7	88%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Caris LeVert #8 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	12.8	4	50%	1	0	1	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Paul Reed #7 · C · 6'9" 210 · 27	5.7	3	50%	2	0	1	0	0	2	1	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Daniss Jenkins #24 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 24	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chaz Lanier #20 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bobi Klintman #34 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaac Jones #13 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tolu Smith #35 · PF · 6'11" 254 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Wendell Moore Jr. #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	52%	45	18	9	6	13	20	15	30	24-28	86%	27-53	51%	7-29	24%

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12 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	40.0	28	52%	4	7	0	0	3	3	1	3	11-11	100%	4-14	29%	3-9	33%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 34	38.6	55	83%	11	2	5	3	3	2	1	10	16-17	94%	12-16	75%	5-10	50%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	35.7	7	50%	7	2	2	1	2	3	2	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	31.4	12	75%	4	1	1	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-8	50%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 32	30.4	5	63%	1	3	2	1	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%

Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 29
Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	17.4	0	0%	3	1	1	1	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	15.9	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	4	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	12.3	2	100%	2	0	1	0	1	4	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
TyTy Washington Jr. #15 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
RayJ Dennis #7 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury Management
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 41	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	62%	35	18	12	6	10	26	8	27	28-29	97%	21-41	51%	14-34	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DET	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	DET	LAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.03 51.6%

LAC

1.23 61.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DET

65%

LAC

67%

Midrange

DET

37%

LAC

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DET

10.5

24%

36%

LAC

21.0

41%

62%

Free Throws

DET

86%

LAC

97%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Cunningham	27	64%	13.5 / 21
J. Duren	18	69%	9.0 / 13
J. Ivey	11	42%	5.5 / 13
I. Stewart	8	36%	4.0 / 11
J. Green	7	88%	3.5 / 4
A. Thompson	6	33%	3.0 / 9
T. Harris	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Robinson	5	36%	2.5 / 7
R. Holland	4	67%	2.0 / 3
C. LeVert	4	50%	2.0 / 4
P. Reed	3	50%	1.5 / 3
D. Jenkins	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	55	83%	27.5 / 33
J. Harden	28	52%	14.0 / 27
N. Batum	12	75%	6.0 / 8
B. Lopez	7	50%	3.5 / 7
K. Dunn	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Jones	3	38%	1.5 / 4
Y. Niederhäuser	2	100%	1.0 / 1
K. Sanders	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 117.4 11 116.4	DET 107.6 LAC 120.4 +12.8
Pace	20 99.3 28 97.3	DET 94.3 +3.5 LAC 90.8
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.5 5 15.0	DET 15.3 −0.6 LAC 15.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.7% 8 55.9%	DET 45.7% LAC 56.0% +10.3%
TO %	21 14.1% 17 13.9%	DET 12.1% LAC 12.0% −0.1%
ORB %	3 30.9% 23 23.7%	DET 35.7% +14.6% LAC 21.1%
FTrt	5 29.2 3 29.5	DET 34.1 LAC 38.7 +4.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 64.1% 29 58.6%	DET 52.9% +1.5% LAC 51.4%
STL %	1 10.4% 5 9.2%	DET 9.8% LAC 12.9% +3.1%
BLK %	1 13.2% 13 9.5%	DET 14.6% +3.3% LAC 11.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.07 and 3.07.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	12 57.0% 3 58.7%	DET 51.6% LAC 61.5% +9.9%
Rim FG%	16 64.7% 3 67.1%	DET 65.4% LAC 66.7% +1.3%
Mid FG%	27 40.5% 10 44.2%	DET 37.0% LAC 42.3% +5.3%
3P %	17 35.6% 7 36.8%	DET 24.1% LAC 41.2% +17.1%
FT %	27 76.3% 1 82.3%	DET 85.7% LAC 96.6% +10.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 40.1% 15 31.6%	DET 31.7% +11.7% LAC 20.0%
Mid Att. %	11 25.3% 20 27.9%	DET 32.9% −1.7% LAC 34.7%
3P Att. %	29 34.5% 19 40.4%	DET 35.4% LAC 45.3% +10.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Game Totals	DET	LAC
Possessions	92	93
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	99	112
Rebounds	45	35
Assists	18	18
Steals	9	12
Blocks	6	6
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	10 (2)
Fouls	20	26
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (2)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (3)	27 (5)
Field Goals	34-82	35-75
At-the-Rim FG	17-26	10-15
Midrange FG	10-27	11-26
2-Point FG	27-53	21-41
3-Point FG	7-29	14-34
Free Throws	24-28	28-29
Fast Break Pts	13	17
2nd Chance Pts	17	7
Points in Paint	48	26
Pts off Turnovers	14	17
Bench Points	37	5
Biggest Lead	0	26

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg