Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 26, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Raptors	70%	117	117	112.5	104	107.8
	29	Wizards	30%	110	138	134.0	103	99.5

Prediction updated: Dec 27, 2025 12:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

TOR

+12

-11

105

WAS

+12

-13

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.11 55.7%

WAS

1.37 68.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

16 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 28	33.2	29	60%	6	2	0	2	1	0	1	5	8-10	80%	9-13	69%	1-7	14%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 27	32.7	13	72%	11	2	2	1	1	4	4	7	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 27	32.6	25	69%	4	5	2	1	1	3	1	3	9-9	100%	2-9	22%	4-4	100%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 24	29.0	14	47%	4	7	0	0	3	0	2	2	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	0-2	0%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	25.6	8	44%	3	0	2	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-3	0%

Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 23	19.2	6	38%	0	4	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-7	29%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	18.5	5	42%	4	3	1	1	0	2	0	4	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	18.0	15	94%	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	3-3	100%	3-3	100%	2-4	50%
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	10.8	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	9.6	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 25	7.0	2	50%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 40	3.8	0	0%	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Collin Murray-Boyles #12 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Chucky Hepburn #24 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alijah Martin #55 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lower back - strain
RJ Barrett #9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	56%	33	26	10	5	11	16	8	25	25-27	93%	28-55	51%	12-36	33%

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16 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 28	33.2	29	60%	6	2	0	2	1	0	1	5	8-10	80%	9-13	69%	1-7	14%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 27	32.7	13	72%	11	2	2	1	1	4	4	7	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 27	32.6	25	69%	4	5	2	1	1	3	1	3	9-9	100%	2-9	22%	4-4	100%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 24	29.0	14	47%	4	7	0	0	3	0	2	2	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	0-2	0%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	25.6	8	44%	3	0	2	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-3	0%

Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 23	19.2	6	38%	0	4	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-7	29%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	18.5	5	42%	4	3	1	1	0	2	0	4	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	18.0	15	94%	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	3-3	100%	3-3	100%	2-4	50%
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	10.8	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	9.6	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 25	7.0	2	50%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 40	3.8	0	0%	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Collin Murray-Boyles #12 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Chucky Hepburn #24 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alijah Martin #55 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lower back - strain
RJ Barrett #9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	56%	33	26	10	5	11	16	8	25	25-27	93%	28-55	51%	12-36	33%

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29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	30.8	21	66%	3	4	0	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	3-8	38%
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 22	28.5	23	82%	6	3	0	1	3	5	1	5	2-3	67%	6-8	75%	3-5	60%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 21	26.0	21	66%	8	1	3	1	2	3	2	6	4-5	80%	7-10	70%	1-4	25%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	23.9	15	83%	3	2	1	3	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	6-8	75%	1-1	100%
Khris Middleton #22 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 34	19.3	6	43%	5	2	1	0	1	1	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-2	0%

Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	22.2	8	100%	7	2	1	1	0	2	1	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-2	100%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	22.0	15	83%	4	4	0	0	0	2	1	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	4-7	57%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	21.6	6	75%	5	2	0	1	0	3	0	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	19.6	12	60%	1	3	0	0	2	1	0	1	4-4	100%	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	16.0	8	50%	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 23	2.6	3	150%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	2.5	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	2.5	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	138	68%	46	26	8	7	13	23	6	40	15-18	83%	39-58	67%	15-33	45%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	WAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.11 55.7%

WAS

1.37 68.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

76%

WAS

75%

Midrange

TOR

39%

WAS

62%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

18.0

33%

50%

WAS

22.5

45%

68%

Free Throws

TOR

93%

WAS

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Ingram	29	60%	14.5 / 24
I. Quickley	25	69%	12.5 / 18
J. Walter	15	94%	7.5 / 8
S. Barnes	14	47%	7.0 / 15
S. Mamukelashvili	13	72%	6.5 / 9
O. Agbaji	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. Shead	6	38%	3.0 / 8
G. Dick	5	42%	2.5 / 6
A. Lawson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Battle	0	-	0.0 / 3
G. Temple	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. George	23	82%	11.5 / 14
C. McCollum	21	66%	10.5 / 16
B. Coulibaly	21	66%	10.5 / 16
A. Sarr	15	83%	7.5 / 9
B. Carrington	15	83%	7.5 / 9
T. Johnson	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Champagnie	8	100%	4.0 / 4
W. Riley	8	50%	4.0 / 8
K. Middleton	6	43%	3.0 / 7
M. Bagley	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Branham	3	150%	1.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	15 115.1 29 109.7	TOR 112.5 WAS 134.0 +21.5
Pace	22 99.1 5 102.5	TOR 107.8 +8.3 WAS 99.5
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.1 23 14.0	TOR 13.4 −1.1 WAS 14.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	16 54.6% 21 53.5%	TOR 50.5% WAS 67.6% +17.1%
TO %	7 12.9% 26 14.7%	TOR 9.7% −2.7% WAS 12.4%
ORB %	16 25.5% 21 24.0%	TOR 16.7% WAS 19.4% +2.7%
FTrt	16 26.5 26 23.5	TOR 29.7 +9.9 WAS 19.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 69.2% 24 59.9%	TOR 65.0% +16.9% WAS 48.1%
STL %	8 8.8% 22 7.8%	TOR 9.6% +1.8% WAS 7.8%
BLK %	12 9.6% 9 10.0%	TOR 8.6% WAS 12.7% +4.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.6% 26 55.4%	TOR 55.7% WAS 68.3% +12.6%
Rim FG%	6 66.5% 15 64.7%	TOR 76.5% +1.5% WAS 75.0%
Mid FG%	16 43.7% 26 41.3%	TOR 39.5% WAS 61.8% +22.3%
3P %	21 35.4% 16 35.9%	TOR 33.3% WAS 45.5% +12.2%
FT %	22 76.9% 23 76.6%	TOR 92.6% +9.3% WAS 83.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 32.9% 22 30.6%	TOR 18.7% WAS 26.4% +7.7%
Mid Att. %	27 30.7% 25 29.1%	TOR 41.8% WAS 37.4% −4.4%
3P Att. %	25 36.3% 20 40.3%	TOR 39.6% +3.3% WAS 36.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	TOR	WAS
Possessions	104	103
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	117	138
Rebounds	33	46
Assists	26	26
Steals	10	8
Blocks	5	7
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls	16	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (4)	6 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (1)	40 (0)
Field Goals	40-91	54-91
At-the-Rim FG	13-17	18-24
Midrange FG	15-38	21-34
2-Point FG	28-55	39-58
3-Point FG	12-36	15-33
Free Throws	25-27	15-18
Fast Break Pts	10	21
2nd Chance Pts	10	11
Points in Paint	44	62
Pts off Turnovers	11	15
Bench Points	28	52
Biggest Lead	3	21

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg