Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, December 28, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Kings	23%	109	101	100.0	101	104.3
	21	Lakers	77%	119	125	122.5	102	98.9

Prediction updated: Dec 29, 2025 02:26 AM

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+10

-19

LAL

+13

-15

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.10 54.9%

LAL

1.26 63.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	34.6	16	80%	10	2	0	0	2	4	2	8	0-1	0%	8-10	80%	0-0	-
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	33.7	22	58%	4	5	1	0	3	2	2	2	5-5	100%	7-15	47%	1-2	50%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	26.3	13	38%	5	4	2	0	6	1	2	3	0-0	-	5-12	42%	1-5	20%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	22.3	2	20%	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	19.6	5	50%	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	28.9	11	79%	6	3	1	0	4	2	1	5	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	23.7	7	70%	7	0	3	0	0	3	1	6	1-3	33%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	19.5	11	61%	2	7	2	1	2	3	0	2	5-6	83%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	19.4	11	55%	2	2	1	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-9	33%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	12.1	3	38%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Partial Meniscus Tear
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Avulsion Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	55%	39	24	11	3	19	20	10	29	13-19	68%	32-54	59%	8-29	28%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

29 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	34.6	16	80%	10	2	0	0	2	4	2	8	0-1	0%	8-10	80%	0-0	-
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	33.7	22	58%	4	5	1	0	3	2	2	2	5-5	100%	7-15	47%	1-2	50%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	26.3	13	38%	5	4	2	0	6	1	2	3	0-0	-	5-12	42%	1-5	20%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	22.3	2	20%	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	19.6	5	50%	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	28.9	11	79%	6	3	1	0	4	2	1	5	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	23.7	7	70%	7	0	3	0	0	3	1	6	1-3	33%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	19.5	11	61%	2	7	2	1	2	3	0	2	5-6	83%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	19.4	11	55%	2	2	1	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-9	33%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	12.1	3	38%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Partial Meniscus Tear
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Avulsion Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	55%	39	24	11	3	19	20	10	29	13-19	68%	32-54	59%	8-29	28%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

21 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 27	32.7	34	65%	5	7	3	1	5	3	0	5	7-8	88%	6-9	67%	5-14	36%
Deandre Ayton #5 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	30.2	11	55%	11	2	0	2	0	0	2	9	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 41	28.6	24	92%	3	5	2	0	2	0	1	2	1-1	100%	10-11	91%	1-2	50%
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	26.2	12	60%	4	1	2	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Marcus Smart #36 · SG · 6'3" 220 · 32	20.4	0	0%	3	2	1	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%

Jake LaRavia #12 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 24	25.3	11	61%	2	4	2	1	2	5	1	1	5-5	100%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Nick Smith Jr. #20 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 22	24.0	21	75%	3	1	0	0	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	5-10	50%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 27	22.3	5	63%	2	0	2	0	2	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 34	13.2	2	33%	3	2	1	0	2	1	1	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	4.6	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Adou Thiero #1 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 22	4.6	2	33%	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 21	4.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Drew Timme #17 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 25	3.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Mañon #30 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar Back; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	63%	41	25	14	4	15	19	8	33	16-18	89%	32-51	63%	15-38	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.10 54.9%

LAL

1.26 63.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

65%

LAL

73%

Midrange

SAC

55%

LAL

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

12.0

28%

41%

LAL

22.5

39%

59%

Free Throws

SAC

68%

LAL

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	22	58%	11.0 / 19
M. Raynaud	16	80%	8.0 / 10
R. Westbrook	13	38%	6.5 / 17
N. Clifford	11	79%	5.5 / 7
D. Schröder	11	61%	5.5 / 9
M. Monk	11	55%	5.5 / 10
D. Cardwell	7	70%	3.5 / 5
P. Achiuwa	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. McDermott	3	38%	1.5 / 4
K. Ellis	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Dončić	34	65%	17.0 / 26
L. James	24	92%	12.0 / 13
N. Smith	21	75%	10.5 / 14
R. Hachimura	12	60%	6.0 / 10
D. Ayton	11	55%	5.5 / 10
J. LaRavia	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Vanderbilt	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Knecht	3	75%	1.5 / 2
M. Kleber	2	33%	1.0 / 3
A. Thiero	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Smart	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 110.6 10 117.1	SAC 100.0 LAL 122.5 +22.5
Pace	17 100.0 21 99.2	SAC 104.3 +5.4 LAL 98.9
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.5 6 14.8	SAC 13.8 −0.7 LAL 14.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 52.5% 2 57.3%	SAC 53.0% LAL 61.2% +8.2%
TO %	15 13.7% 19 13.9%	SAC 17.2% LAL 14.2% −3.0%
ORB %	13 25.9% 22 23.9%	SAC 23.3% +1.7% LAL 21.6%
FTrt	19 25.6 1 32.0	SAC 22.9 +2.7 LAL 20.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 19 61.5%	SAC 60.0% +6.8% LAL 53.2%
STL %	21 8.0% 12 8.6%	SAC 10.9% LAL 13.7% +2.8%
BLK %	19 8.6% 23 8.3%	SAC 5.9% LAL 7.4% +1.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 54.7% 2 59.4%	SAC 54.9% LAL 63.1% +8.2%
Rim FG%	8 65.9% 1 72.0%	SAC 65.2% LAL 73.1% +7.9%
Mid FG%	13 43.8% 4 46.8%	SAC 54.8% +2.8% LAL 52.0%
3P %	29 34.1% 14 35.9%	SAC 27.6% LAL 39.5% +11.9%
FT %	21 77.2% 26 76.3%	SAC 68.4% LAL 88.9% +20.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 28.0% 21 30.7%	SAC 27.7% LAL 29.2% +1.5%
Mid Att. %	30 38.1% 26 30.0%	SAC 37.3% LAL 28.1% −9.3%
3P Att. %	30 33.9% 22 39.4%	SAC 34.9% LAL 42.7% +7.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.16 and 3.16.

Game Totals	SAC	LAL
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	101	125
Rebounds	39	41
Assists	24	25
Steals	11	14
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	15 (1)
Fouls	20	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (0)	8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (2)	33 (3)
Field Goals	40-83	47-89
At-the-Rim FG	15-23	19-26
Midrange FG	17-31	13-25
2-Point FG	32-54	32-51
3-Point FG	8-29	15-38
Free Throws	13-19	16-18
Fast Break Pts	11	14
2nd Chance Pts	9	7
Points in Paint	50	56
Pts off Turnovers	14	23
Bench Points	43	44
Biggest Lead	1	30

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg