Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, December 28, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Warriors	65%	115	127	113.4	112	95.7
	17	Raptors	35%	110	141	125.9	112	107.7

Prediction updated: Dec 28, 2025 08:26 PM

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+18

-20

110

TOR

+22

-14

120

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.14 57.2%

TOR

1.18 58.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

2 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	41.1	39	59%	3	4	1	1	4	2	2	1	11-11	100%	8-19	42%	4-11	36%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	37.7	19	50%	6	5	0	0	3	2	3	3	7-7	100%	6-12	50%	0-4	0%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	33.3	21	66%	4	7	1	0	3	2	0	4	1-3	33%	4-6	67%	4-8	50%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	29.0	3	25%	6	1	2	1	2	2	2	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	18.1	8	100%	2	2	0	1	2	4	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	2-2	100%

Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	35.1	10	56%	7	1	5	1	2	4	2	5	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	1-5	20%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	27.9	13	72%	3	2	0	0	1	2	1	2	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	16.9	7	58%	7	0	0	2	0	0	3	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	14.3	3	75%	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	11.6	4	67%	1	2	0	3	2	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	127	57%	42	25	9	9	20	20	14	28	25-28	89%	27-52	52%	16-44	36%

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2 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	41.1	39	59%	3	4	1	1	4	2	2	1	11-11	100%	8-19	42%	4-11	36%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	37.7	19	50%	6	5	0	0	3	2	3	3	7-7	100%	6-12	50%	0-4	0%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	33.3	21	66%	4	7	1	0	3	2	0	4	1-3	33%	4-6	67%	4-8	50%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	29.0	3	25%	6	1	2	1	2	2	2	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	18.1	8	100%	2	2	0	1	2	4	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	2-2	100%

Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	35.1	10	56%	7	1	5	1	2	4	2	5	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	1-5	20%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	27.9	13	72%	3	2	0	0	1	2	1	2	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	16.9	7	58%	7	0	0	2	0	0	3	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	14.3	3	75%	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	11.6	4	67%	1	2	0	3	2	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	127	57%	42	25	9	9	20	20	14	28	25-28	89%	27-52	52%	16-44	36%

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17 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scottie Barnes #4 · C · 6'8" 237 · 24	42.5	23	68%	25	10	3	1	3	4	9	16	1-1	100%	11-16	69%	0-1	0%
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 28	39.5	26	50%	4	6	1	0	2	1	2	2	2-2	100%	12-18	67%	0-8	0%
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 27	38.0	27	71%	4	7	1	0	5	1	0	4	8-8	100%	2-5	40%	5-10	50%
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 26	23.8	12	43%	7	4	0	0	0	4	0	7	0-2	0%	3-8	38%	2-5	40%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 26	19.9	10	71%	4	1	0	0	0	5	3	1	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%

Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	33.3	18	82%	2	3	1	0	0	3	1	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	4-7	57%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 23	29.0	8	50%	0	8	1	0	4	4	0	0	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	21.8	13	59%	6	0	2	1	0	2	2	4	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-4	25%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	14.9	4	50%	2	1	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 40	0.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alijah Martin #55 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chucky Hepburn #24 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lower; strain
Collin Murray-Boyles #12 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	141	59%	55	40	10	2	14	26	18	37	16-18	89%	43-68	63%	13-42	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	TOR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.14 57.2%

TOR

1.18 58.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

61%

TOR

68%

Midrange

GSW

38%

TOR

57%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

24.0

36%

55%

TOR

19.5

31%

46%

Free Throws

GSW

89%

TOR

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	39	59%	19.5 / 33
D. Green	21	66%	10.5 / 16
J. Butler	19	50%	9.5 / 19
B. Podziemski	13	72%	6.5 / 9
W. Richard	10	56%	5.0 / 9
Q. Post	8	100%	4.0 / 4
A. Horford	7	58%	3.5 / 6
G. Payton	4	67%	2.0 / 3
M. Moody	3	25%	1.5 / 6
B. Hield	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
I. Quickley	27	71%	13.5 / 19
B. Ingram	26	50%	13.0 / 26
S. Barnes	23	68%	11.5 / 17
J. Walter	18	82%	9.0 / 11
S. Mamukelashvili	13	59%	6.5 / 11
R. Barrett	12	43%	6.0 / 14
O. Agbaji	10	71%	5.0 / 7
J. Shead	8	50%	4.0 / 8
G. Dick	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.0 15 115.1	GSW 113.4 TOR 125.9 +12.5
Pace	18 99.9 22 99.1	GSW 95.7 TOR 107.7 +11.9
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.7 19 14.1	GSW 15.0 TOR 13.4 −1.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 16 54.6%	GSW 53.1% TOR 56.8% +3.7%
TO %	28 14.9% 7 12.9%	GSW 16.2% TOR 11.3% −4.9%
ORB %	14 25.8% 16 25.5%	GSW 27.5% TOR 39.1% +11.6%
FTrt	24 23.8 16 26.5	GSW 29.2 +12.8 TOR 16.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.6% 3 69.2%	GSW 58.1% TOR 71.4% +13.3%
STL %	3 9.6% 8 8.8%	GSW 8.0% TOR 8.9% +0.9%
BLK %	27 8.0% 12 9.6%	GSW 13.2% +9.4% TOR 3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.1% 16 56.6%	GSW 57.2% TOR 58.8% +1.6%
Rim FG%	5 66.7% 6 66.5%	GSW 61.3% TOR 68.4% +7.1%
Mid FG%	22 42.1% 16 43.7%	GSW 38.1% TOR 56.7% +18.6%
3P %	20 35.6% 21 35.4%	GSW 36.4% +5.4% TOR 31.0%
FT %	6 80.7% 22 76.9%	GSW 89.3% +0.4% TOR 88.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.5% 10 32.9%	GSW 32.3% TOR 34.5% +2.3%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 27 30.7%	GSW 21.9% −5.4% TOR 27.3%
3P Att. %	1 49.7% 25 36.3%	GSW 45.8% +7.7% TOR 38.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	TOR
Possessions	112	112
Possession Minutes	28.1	25.0
Points	127	141
Rebounds	42	55
Assists	25	40
Steals	9	10
Blocks	9	2
Turnovers (Team)	20 (1)	14 (1)
Fouls	20	26
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (4)	18 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (5)	37 (1)
Field Goals	43-96	56-110
At-the-Rim FG	19-31	26-38
Midrange FG	8-21	17-30
2-Point FG	27-52	43-68
3-Point FG	16-44	13-42
Free Throws	25-28	16-18
Fast Break Pts	10	19
2nd Chance Pts	19	29
Points in Paint	40	70
Pts off Turnovers	19	35
Bench Points	37	43
Biggest Lead	13	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg