Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, December 30, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Celtics	77%	124	129	126.5	102	96.2
	27	Jazz	23%	115	119	117.8	101	107.4

Prediction updated: Dec 31, 2025 01:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

BOS

+14

-7

109

UTA

+13

-13

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.19 59.7%

UTA

1.18 58.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 31	36.3	27	68%	7	6	0	7	1	1	2	5	9-9	100%	6-6	100%	2-10	20%
Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 28	35.4	18	56%	4	6	1	0	0	1	0	4	1-1	100%	7-8	88%	1-7	14%
Jaylen Brown #7 · PF · 6'6" 223 · 29	33.6	23	52%	6	10	2	0	2	1	1	5	4-6	67%	8-16	50%	1-3	33%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 26	28.7	12	86%	3	0	3	1	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 22	13.3	6	75%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%

Anfernee Simons #4 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	28.0	20	59%	5	4	1	0	1	0	1	4	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	4-10	40%
Luka Garza #52 · C · 6'10" 243 · 27	18.5	15	94%	6	0	1	1	0	3	4	2	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	2-2	100%
Hugo González #28 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	17.5	3	75%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 28	17.2	5	31%	5	0	0	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-7	14%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	11.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Boucher #99 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 33	NWT – Personal
Max Shulga #44 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Amari Williams #77 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	60%	44	27	8	9	7	17	11	33	20-23	87%	35-50	70%	13-44	30%

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5 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 31	36.3	27	68%	7	6	0	7	1	1	2	5	9-9	100%	6-6	100%	2-10	20%
Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 28	35.4	18	56%	4	6	1	0	0	1	0	4	1-1	100%	7-8	88%	1-7	14%
Jaylen Brown #7 · PF · 6'6" 223 · 29	33.6	23	52%	6	10	2	0	2	1	1	5	4-6	67%	8-16	50%	1-3	33%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 26	28.7	12	86%	3	0	3	1	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 22	13.3	6	75%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%

Anfernee Simons #4 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	28.0	20	59%	5	4	1	0	1	0	1	4	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	4-10	40%
Luka Garza #52 · C · 6'10" 243 · 27	18.5	15	94%	6	0	1	1	0	3	4	2	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	2-2	100%
Hugo González #28 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	17.5	3	75%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 28	17.2	5	31%	5	0	0	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-7	14%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	11.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Boucher #99 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 33	NWT – Personal
Max Shulga #44 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Amari Williams #77 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	60%	44	27	8	9	7	17	11	33	20-23	87%	35-50	70%	13-44	30%

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27 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SG · 6'6" 235 · 22	39.3	5	28%	5	3	0	0	2	2	2	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-6	17%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	38.5	37	69%	6	7	1	0	3	0	1	5	5-6	83%	7-12	58%	6-12	50%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · SF · 7'1" 240 · 29	38.3	22	55%	9	2	2	1	0	1	1	8	8-8	100%	4-10	40%	2-6	33%
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	33.8	26	100%	8	8	0	0	3	1	2	6	4-5	80%	8-9	89%	2-2	100%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	17.4	3	38%	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%

Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	24.2	7	70%	6	8	0	1	2	3	1	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Walter Clayton Jr. #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	20.9	7	50%	0	1	0	1	0	4	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	14.2	10	50%	3	0	1	0	2	4	2	1	2-4	50%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 21	13.4	2	25%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kyle Anderson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Tonje #17 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury Recovery
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fourth metatarsal stress reaction
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	59%	40	31	4	3	13	17	9	31	21-25	84%	25-45	56%	16-42	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	UTA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.19 59.7%

UTA

1.18 58.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

79%

UTA

63%

Midrange

BOS

65%

UTA

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

19.5

30%

44%

UTA

24.0

38%

57%

Free Throws

BOS

87%

UTA

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. White	27	68%	13.5 / 20
J. Brown	23	52%	11.5 / 22
A. Simons	20	59%	10.0 / 17
P. Pritchard	18	56%	9.0 / 16
L. Garza	15	94%	7.5 / 8
N. Queta	12	86%	6.0 / 7
J. Walsh	6	75%	3.0 / 4
S. Hauser	5	31%	2.5 / 8
H. González	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. George	37	69%	18.5 / 27
J. Nurkić	26	100%	13.0 / 13
L. Markkanen	22	55%	11.0 / 20
K. Filipowski	10	50%	5.0 / 10
I. Collier	7	70%	3.5 / 5
W. Clayton	7	50%	3.5 / 7
B. Sensabaugh	5	28%	2.5 / 9
T. Hendricks	3	38%	1.5 / 4
C. Williams	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 120.0 22 112.9	BOS 126.5 +8.6 UTA 117.8
Pace	30 95.5 2 103.4	BOS 96.2 UTA 107.4 +11.2
Avg. Poss. Time	2 15.7 27 13.8	BOS 15.0 UTA 13.4 −1.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 55.3% 20 53.6%	BOS 58.0% +1.7% UTA 56.3%
TO %	2 12.0% 23 14.4%	BOS 7.1% −4.6% UTA 11.7%
ORB %	6 29.2% 12 26.2%	BOS 26.2% +4.8% UTA 21.4%
FTrt	30 20.7 10 27.7	BOS 24.5 UTA 28.7 +4.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 58.5% 2 69.6%	BOS 56.3% UTA 75.6% +19.3%
STL %	25 7.4% 14 8.5%	BOS 7.8% +3.8% UTA 4.0%
BLK %	5 10.4% 30 7.5%	BOS 20.0% +14.0% UTA 6.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.21 and 2.21.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 56.9% 18 56.4%	BOS 59.7% +0.8% UTA 58.9%
Rim FG%	2 68.9% 17 64.5%	BOS 78.9% +16.4% UTA 62.5%
Mid FG%	12 44.2% 8 44.4%	BOS 64.5% +12.8% UTA 51.7%
3P %	8 36.7% 25 34.5%	BOS 29.5% UTA 38.1% +8.6%
FT %	7 80.7% 13 78.6%	BOS 87.0% +3.0% UTA 84.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30 24.4% 17 31.3%	BOS 20.2% +1.8% UTA 18.4%
Mid Att. %	24 28.9% 23 28.4%	BOS 33.0% −0.4% UTA 33.3%
3P Att. %	4 46.7% 21 40.3%	BOS 46.8% UTA 48.3% +1.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Game Totals	BOS	UTA
Possessions	102	101
Possession Minutes	25.4	22.6
Points	129	119
Rebounds	44	40
Assists	27	31
Steals	8	4
Blocks	9	3
Turnovers (Team)	7 (1)	13 (0)
Fouls	17	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	31 (3)
Field Goals	48-94	41-87
At-the-Rim FG	15-19	10-16
Midrange FG	20-31	15-29
2-Point FG	35-50	25-45
3-Point FG	13-44	16-42
Free Throws	20-23	21-25
Fast Break Pts	7	12
2nd Chance Pts	16	12
Points in Paint	56	46
Pts off Turnovers	23	5
Bench Points	43	26
Biggest Lead	11	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg