Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, January 1, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Jazz	14%	107	101	103.1	98	106.5
	9	Clippers	86%	121	118	120.4	98	90.7

Prediction updated: Jan 2, 2026 03:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+12

-18

LAC

+19

-12

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.11 55.5%

LAC

1.13 56.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	37.0	16	73%	6	10	0	1	5	3	0	6	3-5	60%	5-6	83%	1-3	33%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SG · 6'6" 235 · 22	31.6	20	59%	3	3	2	0	5	1	0	3	6-8	75%	7-10	70%	0-5	0%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	28.4	4	15%	6	1	0	1	4	5	1	5	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-5	0%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	23.6	5	28%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-5	20%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	16.6	5	125%	2	0	1	0	2	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%

Kyle Anderson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	31.7	22	85%	8	1	2	2	2	3	3	5	6-7	86%	8-10	80%	0-0	-
Walter Clayton Jr. #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	30.2	9	56%	2	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 21	26.1	18	75%	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	4-5	80%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	14.8	2	25%	6	1	1	0	0	2	2	4	0-1	0%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 19	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left First MTP; Sprain
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	DND – Rest
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Tonje #17 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury Recovery
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fourth Metatarsal Stress Reaction
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	56%	35	20	7	5	18	21	7	28	23-30	77%	30-51	59%	6-27	22%

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30 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	37.0	16	73%	6	10	0	1	5	3	0	6	3-5	60%	5-6	83%	1-3	33%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SG · 6'6" 235 · 22	31.6	20	59%	3	3	2	0	5	1	0	3	6-8	75%	7-10	70%	0-5	0%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	28.4	4	15%	6	1	0	1	4	5	1	5	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-5	0%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	23.6	5	28%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-5	20%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	16.6	5	125%	2	0	1	0	2	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%

Kyle Anderson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	31.7	22	85%	8	1	2	2	2	3	3	5	6-7	86%	8-10	80%	0-0	-
Walter Clayton Jr. #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	30.2	9	56%	2	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 21	26.1	18	75%	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	4-5	80%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	14.8	2	25%	6	1	1	0	0	2	2	4	0-1	0%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 19	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left First MTP; Sprain
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	DND – Rest
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Tonje #17 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury Recovery
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fourth Metatarsal Stress Reaction
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	56%	35	20	7	5	18	21	7	28	23-30	77%	30-51	59%	6-27	22%

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9 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 35	39.2	45	68%	7	3	2	2	3	2	0	7	7-9	78%	10-13	77%	6-16	38%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	28.9	20	53%	3	7	0	0	1	1	1	2	9-11	82%	4-8	50%	1-6	17%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 32	24.4	2	25%	2	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	19.9	8	80%	11	0	2	1	1	4	3	8	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	19.9	3	13%	2	1	1	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-12	8%

Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	27.7	14	100%	2	1	1	0	0	2	1	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	4-6	67%
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	27.0	6	43%	10	1	0	2	1	4	6	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	24.4	10	71%	4	3	1	0	2	3	1	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 29	24.1	10	71%	6	1	0	1	2	3	2	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	1.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
TyTy Washington Jr. #15 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury Management
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 41	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	57%	47	20	8	7	12	22	16	31	22-26	85%	24-38	63%	16-51	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	LAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.11 55.5%

LAC

1.13 56.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

72%

LAC

63%

Midrange

UTA

41%

LAC

64%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

9.0

22%

33%

LAC

24.0

31%

47%

Free Throws

UTA

77%

LAC

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Anderson	22	85%	11.0 / 13
B. Sensabaugh	20	59%	10.0 / 17
C. Williams	18	75%	9.0 / 12
I. Collier	16	73%	8.0 / 11
W. Clayton	9	56%	4.5 / 8
S. Mykhailiuk	5	28%	2.5 / 9
T. Hendricks	5	125%	2.5 / 2
K. Filipowski	4	15%	2.0 / 13
O. Tshiebwe	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	45	68%	22.5 / 33
J. Harden	20	53%	10.0 / 19
N. Batum	14	100%	7.0 / 7
K. Sanders	10	71%	5.0 / 7
D. Jones	10	71%	5.0 / 7
J. Collins	8	80%	4.0 / 5
Y. Niederhäuser	6	43%	3.0 / 7
B. Lopez	3	13%	1.5 / 12
K. Dunn	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 112.9 11 116.4	UTA 103.1 LAC 120.4 +17.3
Pace	2 103.4 28 97.3	UTA 106.5 +15.8 LAC 90.7
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 5 15.0	UTA 13.5 −2.4 LAC 15.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.6% 8 55.9%	UTA 50.0% LAC 53.9% +3.9%
TO %	23 14.4% 17 13.9%	UTA 16.5% LAC 11.5% −5.0%
ORB %	12 26.2% 23 23.7%	UTA 18.4% LAC 36.4% +18.0%
FTrt	10 27.7 3 29.5	UTA 38.5 +9.3 LAC 29.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 69.6% 29 58.6%	UTA 55.6% +5.6% LAC 50.0%
STL %	14 8.5% 5 9.2%	UTA 7.1% LAC 8.2% +1.1%
BLK %	30 7.5% 13 9.5%	UTA 13.2% LAC 13.7% +0.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.4% 3 58.7%	UTA 55.5% LAC 56.7% +1.2%
Rim FG%	17 64.5% 3 67.1%	UTA 72.4% +9.9% LAC 62.5%
Mid FG%	8 44.4% 10 44.2%	UTA 40.9% LAC 64.3% +23.4%
3P %	25 34.5% 7 36.8%	UTA 22.2% LAC 31.4% +9.2%
FT %	13 78.6% 1 82.3%	UTA 76.7% LAC 84.6% +7.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.3% 15 31.6%	UTA 37.2% +10.2% LAC 27.0%
Mid Att. %	23 28.4% 20 27.9%	UTA 28.2% LAC 15.7% −12.5%
3P Att. %	21 40.3% 19 40.4%	UTA 34.6% LAC 57.3% +22.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	UTA	LAC
Possessions	98	98
Possession Minutes	22.1	25.9
Points	101	118
Rebounds	35	47
Assists	20	20
Steals	7	8
Blocks	5	7
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	12 (1)
Fouls	21	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (5)	16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (4)	31 (3)
Field Goals	36-78	40-89
At-the-Rim FG	21-29	15-24
Midrange FG	9-22	9-14
2-Point FG	30-51	24-38
3-Point FG	6-27	16-51
Free Throws	23-30	22-26
Fast Break Pts	12	11
2nd Chance Pts	13	19
Points in Paint	58	38
Pts off Turnovers	12	35
Bench Points	51	40
Biggest Lead	4	21

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg