Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, January 1, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Celtics	82%	120	120	127.7	94	87.6
	28	Kings	18%	108	106	111.6	95	102.5

Prediction updated: Jan 2, 2026 03:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

BOS

+15

-12

SAC

+10

-9

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.24 61.9%

SAC

1.12 55.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylen Brown #7 · PF · 6'6" 223 · 29	34.8	29	52%	10	4	0	0	5	6	1	9	6-7	86%	10-16	63%	1-9	11%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 32	34.5	16	53%	5	7	2	2	1	0	0	5	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	2-7	29%
Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 28	30.7	16	57%	3	6	1	1	2	2	2	1	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	2-8	25%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 26	22.6	13	81%	5	0	1	3	1	0	0	5	3-5	60%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 22	5.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-

Anfernee Simons #4 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	30.3	14	54%	2	4	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-6	17%	4-7	57%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 28	29.4	15	107%	5	1	1	0	0	0	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	5-7	71%
Luka Garza #52 · C · 6'10" 243 · 27	25.4	11	92%	3	2	2	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-1	100%
Hugo González #28 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	18.5	3	75%	6	1	1	0	0	2	1	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	8.7	3	150%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Boucher #99 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Amari Williams #77 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Max Shulga #44 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	62%	40	25	8	6	12	12	5	35	15-18	83%	27-46	59%	17-41	41%

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3 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylen Brown #7 · PF · 6'6" 223 · 29	34.8	29	52%	10	4	0	0	5	6	1	9	6-7	86%	10-16	63%	1-9	11%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 32	34.5	16	53%	5	7	2	2	1	0	0	5	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	2-7	29%
Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 28	30.7	16	57%	3	6	1	1	2	2	2	1	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	2-8	25%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 26	22.6	13	81%	5	0	1	3	1	0	0	5	3-5	60%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 22	5.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-

Anfernee Simons #4 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	30.3	14	54%	2	4	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-6	17%	4-7	57%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 28	29.4	15	107%	5	1	1	0	0	0	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	5-7	71%
Luka Garza #52 · C · 6'10" 243 · 27	25.4	11	92%	3	2	2	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-1	100%
Hugo González #28 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	18.5	3	75%	6	1	1	0	0	2	1	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	8.7	3	150%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Boucher #99 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Amari Williams #77 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Max Shulga #44 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	62%	40	25	8	6	12	12	5	35	15-18	83%	27-46	59%	17-41	41%

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28 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	37.8	7	27%	6	4	0	1	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	2-9	22%	1-4	25%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	34.7	12	67%	8	1	0	0	0	2	2	6	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 36	34.5	25	66%	5	6	1	0	0	2	1	4	6-6	100%	8-13	62%	1-3	33%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	26.6	10	42%	3	6	0	0	3	5	1	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-9	22%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	21.7	14	70%	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%

Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	27.9	18	82%	3	7	0	0	2	1	0	3	1-1	100%	4-4	100%	3-8	38%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	27.0	16	73%	1	1	1	0	1	3	0	1	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	3-6	50%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	16.5	0	0%	2	1	3	0	1	2	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	7.0	4	100%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	6.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Partial meniscus tear
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	56%	32	29	7	2	9	17	8	24	14-15	93%	28-49	57%	12-36	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.24 61.9%

SAC

1.12 55.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

77%

SAC

100%

Midrange

BOS

52%

SAC

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

25.5

41%

62%

SAC

18.0

33%

50%

Free Throws

BOS

83%

SAC

93%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Brown	29	52%	14.5 / 28
D. White	16	53%	8.0 / 15
P. Pritchard	16	57%	8.0 / 14
S. Hauser	15	107%	7.5 / 7
A. Simons	14	54%	7.0 / 13
N. Queta	13	81%	6.5 / 8
L. Garza	11	92%	5.5 / 6
H. González	3	75%	1.5 / 2
B. Scheierman	3	150%	1.5 / 1
J. Walsh	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	25	66%	12.5 / 19
D. Schröder	18	82%	9.0 / 11
K. Ellis	16	73%	8.0 / 11
P. Achiuwa	14	70%	7.0 / 10
M. Raynaud	12	67%	6.0 / 9
R. Westbrook	10	42%	5.0 / 12
K. Murray	7	27%	3.5 / 13
D. Eubanks	4	100%	2.0 / 2
N. Clifford	0	-	0.0 / 2
M. Monk	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 120.0 26 110.6	BOS 127.7 +16.1 SAC 111.6
Pace	30 95.5 17 100.0	BOS 87.6 SAC 102.5 +14.9
Avg. Poss. Time	2 15.7 14 14.5	BOS 16.4 SAC 14.1 −2.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 55.3% 29 52.5%	BOS 60.3% +6.2% SAC 54.1%
TO %	2 12.0% 15 13.7%	BOS 12.0% SAC 8.9% −3.1%
ORB %	6 29.2% 13 25.9%	BOS 17.2% SAC 18.6% +1.4%
FTrt	30 20.7 19 25.6	BOS 20.7 +3.1 SAC 17.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 58.5% 20 61.5%	BOS 56.8% SAC 72.5% +15.7%
STL %	25 7.4% 21 8.0%	BOS 8.5% +1.1% SAC 7.4%
BLK %	5 10.4% 19 8.6%	BOS 12.2% +7.9% SAC 4.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.21 and 2.21.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 56.9% 29 54.7%	BOS 61.9% +6.1% SAC 55.8%
Rim FG%	2 68.9% 8 65.9%	BOS 76.9% SAC 100.0% +23.1%
Mid FG%	12 44.2% 13 43.8%	BOS 51.5% +4.0% SAC 47.5%
3P %	8 36.7% 29 34.1%	BOS 41.5% +8.2% SAC 33.3%
FT %	7 80.7% 21 77.2%	BOS 83.3% SAC 93.3% +10.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30 24.4% 28 28.0%	BOS 14.9% +4.4% SAC 10.6%
Mid Att. %	24 28.9% 30 38.1%	BOS 37.9% −9.1% SAC 47.1%
3P Att. %	4 46.7% 30 33.9%	BOS 47.1% +4.8% SAC 42.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	BOS	SAC
Possessions	94	95
Possession Minutes	25.8	22.3
Points	120	106
Rebounds	40	32
Assists	25	29
Steals	8	7
Blocks	6	2
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	9 (0)
Fouls	12	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (10)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (1)	24 (4)
Field Goals	44-87	40-85
At-the-Rim FG	10-13	9-9
Midrange FG	17-33	19-40
2-Point FG	27-46	28-49
3-Point FG	17-41	12-36
Free Throws	15-18	14-15
Fast Break Pts	9	11
2nd Chance Pts	8	13
Points in Paint	50	40
Pts off Turnovers	9	11
Bench Points	46	38
Biggest Lead	14	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg