Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, January 1, 2026

3:00 AM			Win Prob.	pScore
	14	Celtics			0
	21	Kings			0

MATCHUP

Last Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	119.5 115.9	BOS SAC
Pace	96.6 98.9	BOS SAC
Avg. Poss. Time	15.5 14.4	BOS SAC
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	56.1% 54.8%	BOS SAC
TO %	11.7% 12.6%	BOS SAC
ORB %	25.6% 25.4%	BOS SAC
FTrt	21.2 23.5	BOS SAC
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	62.8% 61.5%	BOS SAC
STL %	7.4% 7.6%	BOS SAC
BLK %	10.5% 8.8%	BOS SAC

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Last Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	57.8% 56.8%	BOS SAC
Rim FG%	67.3% 67.6%	BOS SAC
Mid FG%	43.9% 46.0%	BOS SAC
3P %	36.8% 35.7%	BOS SAC
FT %	79.9% 80.6%	BOS SAC
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26.2% 26.8%	BOS SAC
Mid Att. %	20.2% 34.1%	BOS SAC
3P Att. %	53.6% 39.1%	BOS SAC

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.17 and 3.17.

BOXSCORE

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14 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylen Brown G-F · 6'6" 223 · 29	28.6					1								5-9	56%
Derrick White G · 6'4" 190 · 32	28.6					1								2-3	58%
Payton Pritchard G · 6'1" 195 · 28	24.6					1								2-3	61%
Anfernee Simons G · 6'3" 200 · 27	23.7					1								3-5	51%
Neemias Queta C · 7'0" 248 · 26	20.2					1								3-5	63%
Sam Hauser F · 6'7" 217 · 28	19.2					0								1-1	62%
Baylor Scheierman G · 6'6" 205 · 25	13.2					0								1-1	53%
Jordan Walsh G · 6'6" 205 · 22	11.0					0								1-1	56%
Chris Boucher F · 6'9" 200 · 33	10.7					0								1-2	61%
Josh Minott F · 6'8" 205 · 23	9.1					0								1-2	57%
Max Shulga G · 6'5" 210 · 24	7.7					0								1-1	53%
Ron Harper Jr. G-F · 6'4" 233 · 26	7.3					0								1-1	54%
Hugo González G · 6'6" 200 · 20	6.9					0								1-1	54%
Wendell Moore Jr. G · 6'5" 215 · 24	6.8					0								1-1	55%
Amari Williams F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24	6.0					0								1-1	57%
RJ Luis Jr. F · 6'7" 215 · 23	4.8					0								1-1	55%
Xavier Tillman F · 6'7" 245 · 27	4.3					0								0-1	55%
Luka Garza C · 6'10" 243 · 27	3.0					0								1-1	60%
Kendall Brown G · 6'7" 205 · 23	0.9					0								0-0	53%
Jalen Bridges F · 6'8" 225 · 25	0.8					0								0-0	56%
Jayson Tatum F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%

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14 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylen Brown G-F · 6'6" 223 · 29	28.6					1								5-9	56%
Derrick White G · 6'4" 190 · 32	28.6					1								2-3	58%
Payton Pritchard G · 6'1" 195 · 28	24.6					1								2-3	61%
Anfernee Simons G · 6'3" 200 · 27	23.7					1								3-5	51%
Neemias Queta C · 7'0" 248 · 26	20.2					1								3-5	63%
Sam Hauser F · 6'7" 217 · 28	19.2					0								1-1	62%
Baylor Scheierman G · 6'6" 205 · 25	13.2					0								1-1	53%
Jordan Walsh G · 6'6" 205 · 22	11.0					0								1-1	56%
Chris Boucher F · 6'9" 200 · 33	10.7					0								1-2	61%
Josh Minott F · 6'8" 205 · 23	9.1					0								1-2	57%
Max Shulga G · 6'5" 210 · 24	7.7					0								1-1	53%
Ron Harper Jr. G-F · 6'4" 233 · 26	7.3					0								1-1	54%
Hugo González G · 6'6" 200 · 20	6.9					0								1-1	54%
Wendell Moore Jr. G · 6'5" 215 · 24	6.8					0								1-1	55%
Amari Williams F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24	6.0					0								1-1	57%
RJ Luis Jr. F · 6'7" 215 · 23	4.8					0								1-1	55%
Xavier Tillman F · 6'7" 245 · 27	4.3					0								0-1	55%
Luka Garza C · 6'10" 243 · 27	3.0					0								1-1	60%
Kendall Brown G · 6'7" 205 · 23	0.9					0								0-0	53%
Jalen Bridges F · 6'8" 225 · 25	0.8					0								0-0	56%
Jayson Tatum F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%

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21 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray F · 6'8" 225 · 25	27.7					1								2-3	56%
Domantas Sabonis F-C · 6'10" 240 · 30	27.5					1								5-8	62%
Zach LaVine G · 6'5" 200 · 31	24.4					1								3-6	56%
Malik Monk G · 6'3" 200 · 28	22.1					1								3-5	55%
DeMar DeRozan G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36	22.0					1								4-8	52%
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 32	21.4					1								2-4	49%
Keon Ellis G · 6'4" 175 · 26	21.1					1								1-1	61%
Nique Clifford G · 6'5" 175 · 24	9.7					0								1-2	54%
Devin Carter G · 6'2" 195 · 24	8.6					0								1-1	51%
Isaac Jones F · 6'9" 245 · 25	5.7					0								1-1	58%
Maxime Raynaud C · 7'1" 250 · 23	5.6					0								1-1	59%
Drew Eubanks F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29	5.5					0								1-1	60%
Daeqwon Plowden G-F · 6'6" 216 · 27	5.0					0								0-1	55%
Terence Davis G · 6'4" 201 · 29	4.9					0								0-1	52%
Dylan Cardwell C · 6'11" 255 · 24	4.6					0								1-1	57%
Dario Šarić F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32	1.5					0								0-0	55%
Isaiah Stevens G · 6'0" 185 · 25	1.2					0								0-0	50%
Doug McDermott F · 6'6" 225 · 34	0.9					0								0-0	50%
Dexter Dennis G · 6'5" 210 · 27
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

MATCHUP

Last Season Avg

Last Season Avg

BOXSCORE