Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, January 1, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	76ers	60%	116	123	121.8	101	97.4
	21	Mavericks	40%	112	108	104.9	103	106.8

Prediction updated: Jan 2, 2026 01:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

PHI

-11

DAL

+17

-13

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.26 62.8%

DAL

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

6 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	42.4	34	68%	8	10	2	2	3	0	0	8	2-2	100%	10-14	71%	4-10	40%
VJ Edgecombe #77 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	39.5	23	77%	5	2	4	1	0	1	2	3	2-3	67%	6-8	75%	3-6	50%
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 32	35.4	22	55%	4	6	0	1	2	1	0	4	4-5	80%	9-15	60%	0-3	0%
Paul George #8 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 36	33.1	14	54%	7	2	1	0	5	3	1	6	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	0-3	0%
Dominick Barlow #25 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 23	18.4	5	63%	1	0	1	0	0	6	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%

Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 26	38.5	19	106%	7	2	1	3	0	3	0	7	0-0	-	2-2	100%	5-7	71%
Jared McCain #20 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	14.0	2	20%	3	0	1	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	7.3	2	50%	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 32	6.8	2	50%	4	0	0	0	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jabari Walker #33 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	4.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Justin Edwards #11 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johni Broome #22 · PF · 6'9" 244 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
MarJon Beauchamp #16 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trendon Watford #12 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	63%	43	22	10	7	11	19	6	37	14-16	88%	35-54	65%	13-36	36%

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6 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	42.4	34	68%	8	10	2	2	3	0	0	8	2-2	100%	10-14	71%	4-10	40%
VJ Edgecombe #77 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	39.5	23	77%	5	2	4	1	0	1	2	3	2-3	67%	6-8	75%	3-6	50%
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 32	35.4	22	55%	4	6	0	1	2	1	0	4	4-5	80%	9-15	60%	0-3	0%
Paul George #8 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 36	33.1	14	54%	7	2	1	0	5	3	1	6	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	0-3	0%
Dominick Barlow #25 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 23	18.4	5	63%	1	0	1	0	0	6	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%

Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 26	38.5	19	106%	7	2	1	3	0	3	0	7	0-0	-	2-2	100%	5-7	71%
Jared McCain #20 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	14.0	2	20%	3	0	1	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	7.3	2	50%	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 32	6.8	2	50%	4	0	0	0	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jabari Walker #33 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	4.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Justin Edwards #11 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johni Broome #22 · PF · 6'9" 244 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
MarJon Beauchamp #16 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trendon Watford #12 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	63%	43	22	10	7	11	19	6	37	14-16	88%	35-54	65%	13-36	36%

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21 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Davis #3 · C · 6'10" 253 · 33	36.9	13	46%	8	2	1	0	3	3	3	5	1-2	50%	6-12	50%	0-1	0%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	36.7	12	38%	7	7	1	0	2	2	1	6	2-2	100%	5-13	38%	0-2	0%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	34.5	11	69%	5	1	2	1	0	1	0	5	4-5	80%	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	29.1	18	64%	1	2	0	0	2	2	0	1	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	2-7	29%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	21.7	9	64%	2	3	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%

Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	23.6	14	41%	7	5	1	0	2	0	1	6	4-4	100%	5-12	42%	0-3	0%
Naji Marshall #13 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 28	22.4	9	64%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	13.1	9	50%	2	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-5	20%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	11.1	8	67%	5	0	2	0	0	2	1	4	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 23	7.1	5	50%	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	3.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Miles Kelly #14 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
D'Angelo Russell #5 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	51%	39	23	8	1	13	12	7	32	18-20	90%	36-66	55%	6-28	21%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	DAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.26 62.8%

DAL

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHI

70%

DAL

62%

Midrange

PHI

57%

DAL

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHI

19.5

36%

54%

DAL

9.0

21%

32%

Free Throws

PHI

88%

DAL

90%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Maxey	34	68%	17.0 / 25
V. Edgecombe	23	77%	11.5 / 15
J. Embiid	22	55%	11.0 / 20
Q. Grimes	19	106%	9.5 / 9
P. George	14	54%	7.0 / 13
D. Barlow	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. McCain	2	20%	1.0 / 5
A. Bona	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Drummond	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Walker	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Christie	18	64%	9.0 / 14
B. Williams	14	41%	7.0 / 17
A. Davis	13	46%	6.5 / 14
C. Flagg	12	38%	6.0 / 16
P. Washington	11	69%	5.5 / 8
R. Nembhard	9	64%	4.5 / 7
N. Marshall	9	64%	4.5 / 7
K. Thompson	9	50%	4.5 / 9
D. Gafford	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Hardy	5	50%	2.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 114.4 27 110.4	PHI 121.8 +16.9 DAL 104.9
Pace	16 100.3 6 102.5	PHI 97.4 DAL 106.8 +9.4
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.6 24 14.0	PHI 14.8 DAL 13.5 −1.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 53.0% 28 52.7%	PHI 60.6% +12.7% DAL 47.9%
TO %	6 12.8% 13 13.5%	PHI 11.0% −0.2% DAL 11.2%
ORB %	11 26.2% 26 23.2%	PHI 15.8% DAL 15.9% +0.1%
FTrt	11 27.5 6 28.7	PHI 17.8 DAL 21.3 +3.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 58.9% 22 60.4%	PHI 45.8% DAL 54.8% +9.0%
STL %	7 9.0% 27 7.3%	PHI 9.9% +2.1% DAL 7.8%
BLK %	3 10.9% 16 9.0%	PHI 10.6% +8.7% DAL 1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	21 55.9% 28 55.2%	PHI 62.8% +12.3% DAL 50.5%
Rim FG%	27 62.1% 22 63.2%	PHI 69.7% +7.9% DAL 61.8%
Mid FG%	23 41.8% 18 43.1%	PHI 57.1% +10.2% DAL 46.9%
3P %	23 34.9% 26 34.4%	PHI 36.1% +14.7% DAL 21.4%
FT %	4 80.9% 28 75.5%	PHI 87.5% DAL 90.0% +2.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 35.0% 12 32.8%	PHI 36.7% +0.5% DAL 36.2%
Mid Att. %	13 25.9% 28 31.7%	PHI 23.3% −10.7% DAL 34.0%
3P Att. %	23 39.1% 26 35.5%	PHI 40.0% +10.2% DAL 29.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	PHI	DAL
Possessions	101	103
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	123	108
Rebounds	43	39
Assists	22	23
Steals	10	8
Blocks	7	1
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	13 (0)
Fouls	19	12
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (2)	7 (10)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (0)	32 (3)
Field Goals	48-90	42-94
At-the-Rim FG	23-33	21-34
Midrange FG	12-21	15-32
2-Point FG	35-54	36-66
3-Point FG	13-36	6-28
Free Throws	14-16	18-20
Fast Break Pts	16	16
2nd Chance Pts	10	14
Points in Paint	58	64
Pts off Turnovers	19	11
Bench Points	25	45
Biggest Lead	15	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg