Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, December 30, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Kings	25%	107	90	95.7	94	99.5
	11	Clippers	75%	116	131	137.9	95	90.0

Prediction updated: Dec 31, 2025 03:56 AM

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+15

-18

LAC

+17

-3

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.98 48.9%

LAC

1.20 60.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	35.1	12	67%	12	0	0	2	0	4	4	8	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Keegan Murray #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	29.6	11	39%	2	1	0	1	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	1-4	25%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 36	27.6	8	40%	7	3	1	1	2	1	0	7	4-5	80%	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	18.9	12	55%	3	4	0	0	3	3	1	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	2-4	50%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	17.2	0	0%	3	2	0	1	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-0	-

Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	28.9	18	69%	1	2	0	1	2	4	1	0	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	3-5	60%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	24.7	11	50%	3	4	0	0	3	3	1	2	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	1-2	50%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	19.4	2	20%	2	2	0	1	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	11.1	3	75%	2	0	0	0	5	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	7.3	3	75%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	7.3	4	40%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Partial Meniscus Tear
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	49%	39	18	1	8	18	20	11	28	13-14	93%	25-56	45%	9-27	33%

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28 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	35.1	12	67%	12	0	0	2	0	4	4	8	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Keegan Murray #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	29.6	11	39%	2	1	0	1	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	1-4	25%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 36	27.6	8	40%	7	3	1	1	2	1	0	7	4-5	80%	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	18.9	12	55%	3	4	0	0	3	3	1	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	2-4	50%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	17.2	0	0%	3	2	0	1	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-0	-

Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	28.9	18	69%	1	2	0	1	2	4	1	0	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	3-5	60%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	24.7	11	50%	3	4	0	0	3	3	1	2	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	1-2	50%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	19.4	2	20%	2	2	0	1	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	11.1	3	75%	2	0	0	0	5	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	7.3	3	75%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	7.3	4	40%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Partial Meniscus Tear
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	49%	39	18	1	8	18	20	11	28	13-14	93%	25-56	45%	9-27	33%

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11 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 35	32.7	33	75%	5	5	3	1	1	1	1	4	6-7	86%	6-10	60%	5-9	56%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	30.0	21	55%	3	5	1	0	0	0	0	3	8-10	80%	5-8	63%	1-6	17%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	22.9	8	40%	6	3	1	1	1	1	1	5	2-2	100%	0-5	0%	2-4	50%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	21.9	16	80%	5	1	1	3	0	1	3	2	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	2-4	50%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 32	20.9	10	71%	6	1	2	0	0	3	2	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-4	50%

Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	26.0	7	39%	6	4	2	0	0	2	1	5	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	25.1	16	73%	6	2	0	1	1	1	2	4	4-6	67%	6-7	86%	0-1	0%
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 29	19.8	8	80%	1	3	2	1	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	18.8	3	50%	1	2	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	7.3	6	75%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	7.3	3	38%	1	2	0	0	0	2	1	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	7.3	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
TyTy Washington Jr. #15 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury Management
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 41	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	60%	42	29	13	9	3	14	11	31	25-32	78%	32-52	62%	14-38	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	LAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.98 48.9%

LAC

1.20 60.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

48%

LAC

77%

Midrange

SAC

39%

LAC

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

13.5

33%

50%

LAC

21.0

37%

55%

Free Throws

SAC

93%

LAC

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Clifford	18	69%	9.0 / 13
M. Raynaud	12	67%	6.0 / 9
R. Westbrook	12	55%	6.0 / 11
K. Murray	11	39%	5.5 / 14
D. Schröder	11	50%	5.5 / 11
D. DeRozan	8	40%	4.0 / 10
D. Eubanks	6	75%	3.0 / 4
D. Carter	4	40%	2.0 / 5
M. Monk	3	75%	1.5 / 2
D. McDermott	3	75%	1.5 / 2
K. Ellis	2	20%	1.0 / 5
P. Achiuwa	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	33	75%	16.5 / 22
J. Harden	21	55%	10.5 / 19
J. Collins	16	80%	8.0 / 10
Y. Niederhäuser	16	73%	8.0 / 11
K. Dunn	10	71%	5.0 / 7
B. Lopez	8	40%	4.0 / 10
D. Jones	8	80%	4.0 / 5
K. Sanders	7	39%	3.5 / 9
J. Miller	6	75%	3.0 / 4
N. Batum	3	50%	1.5 / 3
K. Brown	3	38%	1.5 / 4
C. Christie	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 110.6 11 116.4	SAC 95.7 LAC 137.9 +42.2
Pace	17 100.0 28 97.3	SAC 99.5 +9.4 LAC 90.0
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.5 5 15.0	SAC 14.5 −1.5 LAC 16.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 52.5% 8 55.9%	SAC 46.4% LAC 58.9% +12.5%
TO %	15 13.7% 17 13.9%	SAC 17.6% LAC 3.7% −13.9%
ORB %	13 25.9% 23 23.7%	SAC 26.2% LAC 28.2% +2.0%
FTrt	19 25.6 3 29.5	SAC 16.9 LAC 35.6 +18.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 29 58.6%	SAC 52.9% LAC 63.0% +10.1%
STL %	21 8.0% 5 9.2%	SAC 1.1% LAC 13.7% +12.6%
BLK %	19 8.6% 13 9.5%	SAC 15.4% LAC 16.1% +0.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 54.7% 3 58.7%	SAC 48.9% LAC 60.1% +11.2%
Rim FG%	8 65.9% 3 67.1%	SAC 48.5% LAC 77.4% +28.9%
Mid FG%	13 43.8% 10 44.2%	SAC 39.1% +1.0% LAC 38.1%
3P %	29 34.1% 7 36.8%	SAC 33.3% LAC 36.8% +3.5%
FT %	21 77.2% 1 82.3%	SAC 92.9% +14.8% LAC 78.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 28.0% 15 31.6%	SAC 39.8% +5.3% LAC 34.4%
Mid Att. %	30 38.1% 20 27.9%	SAC 27.7% LAC 23.3% −4.4%
3P Att. %	30 33.9% 19 40.4%	SAC 32.5% LAC 42.2% +9.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	SAC	LAC
Possessions	94	95
Possession Minutes	22.7	25.3
Points	90	131
Rebounds	39	42
Assists	18	29
Steals	1	13
Blocks	8	9
Turnovers (Team)	18 (1)	3 (1)
Fouls	20	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (4)	11 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (1)	31 (3)
Field Goals	34-83	46-90
At-the-Rim FG	16-33	24-31
Midrange FG	9-23	8-21
2-Point FG	25-56	32-52
3-Point FG	9-27	14-38
Free Throws	13-14	25-32
Fast Break Pts	10	13
2nd Chance Pts	10	13
Points in Paint	46	58
Pts off Turnovers	4	28
Bench Points	47	43
Biggest Lead	0	43

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg