Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, December 31, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Wizards	23%	111	114	116.3	98	99.7
	15	Bucks	77%	120	113	114.1	99	97.3

Prediction updated: Jan 1, 2026 12:32 AM

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+16

-10

104

MIL

+18

-15

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.10 54.8%

MIL

1.11 55.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	32.4	18	56%	4	4	0	0	1	0	1	3	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	3-6	50%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	28.4	20	56%	11	2	0	4	2	2	4	7	5-6	83%	6-13	46%	1-2	50%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	28.4	14	54%	2	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-6	17%	4-7	57%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	25.1	10	42%	5	2	2	0	1	5	1	4	5-8	63%	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Khris Middleton #22 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 34	22.6	0	0%	3	6	0	1	0	5	0	3	0-0	-	0-6	0%	0-0	-

Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	32.5	12	60%	9	2	2	2	0	1	3	6	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	23.7	20	71%	5	5	0	1	2	2	1	4	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	6-11	55%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	19.6	9	75%	3	4	2	0	1	2	0	3	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	15.6	8	80%	0	2	1	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	11.7	3	50%	2	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	55%	44	31	8	8	10	18	13	31	13-20	65%	22-55	40%	19-39	49%

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29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	32.4	18	56%	4	4	0	0	1	0	1	3	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	3-6	50%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	28.4	20	56%	11	2	0	4	2	2	4	7	5-6	83%	6-13	46%	1-2	50%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	28.4	14	54%	2	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-6	17%	4-7	57%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	25.1	10	42%	5	2	2	0	1	5	1	4	5-8	63%	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Khris Middleton #22 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 34	22.6	0	0%	3	6	0	1	0	5	0	3	0-0	-	0-6	0%	0-0	-

Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	32.5	12	60%	9	2	2	2	0	1	3	6	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	23.7	20	71%	5	5	0	1	2	2	1	4	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	6-11	55%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	19.6	9	75%	3	4	2	0	1	2	0	3	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	15.6	8	80%	0	2	1	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	11.7	3	50%	2	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	55%	44	31	8	8	10	18	13	31	13-20	65%	22-55	40%	19-39	49%

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15 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Porter Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 26	39.3	19	56%	6	5	0	0	3	1	0	6	0-0	-	8-10	80%	1-7	14%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	39.3	16	57%	7	7	0	0	3	2	1	6	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	4-7	57%
AJ Green #20 · SF · 6'4" 190 · 26	33.9	9	56%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-8	38%
Myles Turner #3 · C · 6'11" 250 · 30	31.1	13	59%	7	2	2	5	0	3	2	5	1-2	50%	0-4	0%	4-6	67%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 31	28.4	33	61%	15	3	0	0	6	3	5	10	9-14	64%	12-20	60%	0-1	0%

Kyle Kuzma #18 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 30	21.0	5	63%	5	2	0	0	3	1	2	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	20.2	13	54%	5	3	0	1	0	2	1	4	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	3-6	50%
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 27	15.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Gary Harris #11 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	11.2	5	125%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Amir Coffey #17 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Antetokounmpo #29 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mark Sears #19 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Neck; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	55%	48	24	2	6	15	14	11	37	15-22	68%	25-50	50%	16-39	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.10 54.8%

MIL

1.11 55.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

52%

MIL

56%

Midrange

WAS

29%

MIL

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

28.5

49%

73%

MIL

24.0

41%

62%

Free Throws

WAS

65%

MIL

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Sarr	20	56%	10.0 / 18
B. Carrington	20	71%	10.0 / 14
C. McCollum	18	56%	9.0 / 16
T. Johnson	14	54%	7.0 / 13
J. Champagnie	12	60%	6.0 / 10
B. Coulibaly	10	42%	5.0 / 12
M. Bagley	9	75%	4.5 / 6
A. Johnson	8	80%	4.0 / 5
W. Riley	3	50%	1.5 / 3
K. Middleton	0	-	0.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	33	61%	16.5 / 27
K. Porter	19	56%	9.5 / 17
R. Rollins	16	57%	8.0 / 14
M. Turner	13	59%	6.5 / 11
B. Portis	13	54%	6.5 / 12
A. Green	9	56%	4.5 / 8
K. Kuzma	5	63%	2.5 / 4
G. Harris	5	125%	2.5 / 2
G. Trent	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 109.7 24 112.3	WAS 116.3 +2.2 MIL 114.1
Pace	5 102.5 24 98.1	WAS 99.7 +2.3 MIL 97.3
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 7 14.8	WAS 14.5 −0.3 MIL 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.5% 3 56.5%	WAS 53.7% MIL 55.1% +1.4%
TO %	26 14.7% 24 14.7%	WAS 8.9% −4.3% MIL 13.2%
ORB %	21 24.0% 30 21.1%	WAS 26.0% MIL 26.2% +0.2%
FTrt	26 23.5 29 22.3	WAS 21.3 MIL 24.7 +3.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 59.9% 17 63.3%	WAS 75.6% +17.1% MIL 58.5%
STL %	22 7.8% 23 7.5%	WAS 8.2% +6.2% MIL 2.0%
BLK %	9 10.0% 25 8.2%	WAS 16.0% +5.1% MIL 10.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 55.4% 9 57.5%	WAS 54.8% MIL 55.4% +0.6%
Rim FG%	15 64.7% 4 67.1%	WAS 51.9% MIL 55.9% +4.0%
Mid FG%	26 41.3% 20 42.6%	WAS 28.6% MIL 37.5% +8.9%
3P %	16 35.9% 2 38.7%	WAS 48.7% +7.7% MIL 41.0%
FT %	23 76.6% 30 73.0%	WAS 65.0% MIL 68.2% +3.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.6% 27 28.2%	WAS 28.7% MIL 38.2% +9.5%
Mid Att. %	25 29.1% 16 26.1%	WAS 29.8% MIL 18.0% −11.8%
3P Att. %	20 40.3% 5 45.7%	WAS 41.5% MIL 43.8% +2.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Game Totals	WAS	MIL
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	114	113
Rebounds	44	48
Assists	31	24
Steals	8	2
Blocks	8	6
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls	18	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	11 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (3)	37 (3)
Field Goals	41-94	41-89
At-the-Rim FG	14-27	19-34
Midrange FG	8-28	6-16
2-Point FG	22-55	25-50
3-Point FG	19-39	16-39
Free Throws	13-20	15-22
Fast Break Pts	17	5
2nd Chance Pts	16	17
Points in Paint	38	42
Pts off Turnovers	23	4
Bench Points	52	23
Biggest Lead	10	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg