Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, December 31, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Blazers	11%	105	95	88.8	107	106.2
	1	Thunder	89%	121	124	117.0	106	106.8

Prediction updated: Jan 1, 2026 12:32 AM

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+17

-24

100

OKC

+12

-14

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.96 48.0%

OKC

1.20 60.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

22 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	33.5	6	38%	7	4	0	0	5	3	2	5	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	2-6	33%
Deni Avdija #8 · SG · 6'8" 228 · 25	31.9	17	50%	7	7	2	1	7	1	0	7	6-7	86%	4-10	40%	1-4	25%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · PG · 6'5" 210 · 23	28.4	14	37%	4	1	3	0	3	2	0	4	4-4	100%	5-15	33%	0-2	0%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	27.2	19	95%	1	2	0	1	3	3	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	5-7	71%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	17.4	6	50%	5	0	0	0	1	2	2	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%

Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	30.1	10	42%	5	4	3	0	3	3	0	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-7	29%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	25.8	10	83%	3	1	0	0	1	3	1	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	16.2	8	100%	8	0	1	1	0	2	4	4	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	12.1	2	17%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	10.8	3	38%	5	0	0	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 30	6.5	0	0%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Fracture
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Ligament Tear
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 36	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendonitis
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	48%	50	20	10	3	24	21	12	38	13-17	76%	20-52	38%	14-35	40%

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22 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	33.5	6	38%	7	4	0	0	5	3	2	5	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	2-6	33%
Deni Avdija #8 · SG · 6'8" 228 · 25	31.9	17	50%	7	7	2	1	7	1	0	7	6-7	86%	4-10	40%	1-4	25%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · PG · 6'5" 210 · 23	28.4	14	37%	4	1	3	0	3	2	0	4	4-4	100%	5-15	33%	0-2	0%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	27.2	19	95%	1	2	0	1	3	3	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	5-7	71%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	17.4	6	50%	5	0	0	0	1	2	2	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%

Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	30.1	10	42%	5	4	3	0	3	3	0	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-7	29%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	25.8	10	83%	3	1	0	0	1	3	1	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	16.2	8	100%	8	0	1	1	0	2	4	4	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	12.1	2	17%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	10.8	3	38%	5	0	0	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 30	6.5	0	0%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Fracture
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Ligament Tear
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 36	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendonitis
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	48%	50	20	10	3	24	21	12	38	13-17	76%	20-52	38%	14-35	40%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	28.6	30	83%	2	6	4	0	0	3	0	2	7-7	100%	10-13	77%	1-2	50%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	26.5	5	50%	2	4	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 25	25.7	13	50%	7	7	3	0	2	2	0	7	1-1	100%	6-11	55%	0-2	0%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 27	24.8	12	60%	2	1	1	1	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-10	40%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 24	24.7	12	55%	10	1	2	6	4	3	2	8	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	1-3	33%

Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	23.2	17	106%	6	3	1	1	2	1	1	5	8-8	100%	3-3	100%	1-1	100%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	22.0	2	14%	0	2	2	0	1	0	0	0	2-4	50%	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 27	19.7	12	60%	7	1	0	1	2	1	1	6	0-2	0%	3-3	100%	2-6	33%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	19.4	15	83%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	5-10	50%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	12.0	3	25%	2	3	1	0	1	0	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	8.6	3	75%	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Chris Youngblood #3 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	4.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Surgical Recovery
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Bursitis
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	60%	41	29	15	10	14	18	5	36	20-26	77%	28-41	68%	16-49	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	POR	OKC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.96 48.0%

OKC

1.20 60.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

47%

OKC

73%

Midrange

POR

25%

OKC

60%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

21.0

40%

60%

OKC

24.0

33%

49%

Free Throws

POR

76%

OKC

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Cissoko	19	95%	9.5 / 10
D. Avdija	17	50%	8.5 / 17
S. Sharpe	14	37%	7.0 / 19
C. Love	10	42%	5.0 / 12
K. Murray	10	83%	5.0 / 6
R. Williams	8	100%	4.0 / 4
T. Camara	6	38%	3.0 / 8
D. Clingan	6	50%	3.0 / 6
Y. Hansen	3	38%	1.5 / 4
R. Rupert	2	17%	1.0 / 6
D. Reath	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	30	83%	15.0 / 18
A. Mitchell	17	106%	8.5 / 8
I. Joe	15	83%	7.5 / 9
J. Williams	13	50%	6.5 / 13
L. Dort	12	60%	6.0 / 10
C. Holmgren	12	55%	6.0 / 11
B. Carlson	12	60%	6.0 / 10
C. Wallace	5	50%	2.5 / 5
K. Williams	3	25%	1.5 / 6
A. Caruso	3	75%	1.5 / 2
A. Wiggins	2	14%	1.0 / 7
C. Youngblood	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 113.1 7 117.6	POR 88.8 OKC 117.0 +28.2
Pace	8 101.6 15 100.3	POR 106.2 OKC 106.8 +0.6
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.2 20 14.1	POR 13.6 OKC 13.5 −0.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 53.3% 4 56.1%	POR 47.1% OKC 57.8% +10.7%
TO %	30 16.1% 1 11.8%	POR 20.9% OKC 12.9% −8.0%
ORB %	2 31.3% 28 22.3%	POR 25.0% +13.4% OKC 11.6%
FTrt	9 28.0 17 26.1	POR 19.5 OKC 28.9 +9.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 61.6% 25 59.8%	POR 58.8% OKC 65.9% +7.1%
STL %	20 8.1% 4 9.6%	POR 9.3% OKC 14.2% +4.9%
BLK %	8 10.1% 2 11.0%	POR 7.3% OKC 19.2% +11.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 55.6% 4 58.5%	POR 48.0% OKC 60.2% +12.2%
Rim FG%	19 63.9% 11 65.2%	POR 46.9% OKC 73.1% +26.2%
Mid FG%	29 37.4% 1 47.6%	POR 25.0% OKC 60.0% +35.0%
3P %	28 34.2% 9 36.5%	POR 40.0% +7.3% OKC 32.7%
FT %	24 76.5% 3 81.7%	POR 76.5% OKC 76.9% +0.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 35.6% 16 31.3%	POR 36.8% +7.9% OKC 28.9%
Mid Att. %	2 17.6% 15 26.1%	POR 23.0% OKC 16.7% −6.3%
3P Att. %	3 46.8% 13 42.6%	POR 40.2% OKC 54.4% +14.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.26 and 2.26.

Game Totals	POR	OKC
Possessions	107	106
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	95	124
Rebounds	50	41
Assists	20	29
Steals	10	15
Blocks	3	10
Turnovers (Team)	24 (1)	14 (1)
Fouls	21	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (5)	5 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (1)	36 (2)
Field Goals	34-87	44-90
At-the-Rim FG	15-32	19-26
Midrange FG	5-20	9-15
2-Point FG	20-52	28-41
3-Point FG	14-35	16-49
Free Throws	13-17	20-26
Fast Break Pts	12	25
2nd Chance Pts	17	17
Points in Paint	34	52
Pts off Turnovers	17	28
Bench Points	33	52
Biggest Lead	3	31

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg