Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 2, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Grizzlies	49%	116	121	115.2	105	115.4
	19	Lakers	51%	117	128	120.8	106	97.2

Prediction updated: Jan 3, 2026 03:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+15

-15

105

LAL

-20

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.16 58.2%

LAL

1.36 68.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

17 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	31.4	16	42%	3	11	2	0	3	1	0	3	2-3	67%	7-15	47%	0-3	0%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	30.3	25	78%	1	2	1	0	2	5	0	1	1-5	20%	12-12	100%	0-3	0%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	28.1	6	27%	1	2	1	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-8	25%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	23.8	5	25%	7	5	1	1	2	1	1	6	1-1	100%	2-7	29%	0-3	0%
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	21.6	3	38%	2	0	1	1	2	2	2	0	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	29.8	15	68%	7	3	1	0	0	0	1	6	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-9	33%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	22.9	20	91%	5	2	2	0	1	4	0	5	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	4-6	67%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	20.3	14	78%	5	0	0	0	1	3	4	1	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	16.6	5	83%	2	5	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	15.2	12	75%	1	2	1	0	2	1	0	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	3-6	50%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar; Tendinitis
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; UCL Surgery Recovery
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	58%	34	32	10	2	15	20	8	26	15-23	65%	32-54	59%	14-42	33%

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17 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	31.4	16	42%	3	11	2	0	3	1	0	3	2-3	67%	7-15	47%	0-3	0%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	30.3	25	78%	1	2	1	0	2	5	0	1	1-5	20%	12-12	100%	0-3	0%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	28.1	6	27%	1	2	1	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-8	25%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	23.8	5	25%	7	5	1	1	2	1	1	6	1-1	100%	2-7	29%	0-3	0%
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	21.6	3	38%	2	0	1	1	2	2	2	0	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	29.8	15	68%	7	3	1	0	0	0	1	6	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-9	33%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	22.9	20	91%	5	2	2	0	1	4	0	5	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	4-6	67%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	20.3	14	78%	5	0	0	0	1	3	4	1	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	16.6	5	83%	2	5	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	15.2	12	75%	1	2	1	0	2	1	0	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	3-6	50%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar; Tendinitis
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; UCL Surgery Recovery
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	58%	34	32	10	2	15	20	8	26	15-23	65%	32-54	59%	14-42	33%

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19 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 27	37.5	34	63%	6	8	2	0	6	3	0	6	17-20	85%	7-11	64%	1-7	14%
Jake LaRavia #12 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 24	37.0	21	81%	9	2	2	1	1	5	4	5	2-3	67%	5-6	83%	3-6	50%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 41	36.1	31	74%	9	6	0	0	4	3	0	9	6-6	100%	11-13	85%	1-5	20%
Marcus Smart #36 · SG · 6'3" 220 · 32	34.3	13	72%	8	7	1	1	4	3	1	7	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Deandre Ayton #5 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	24.8	4	50%	6	0	1	0	1	3	1	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	23.2	12	86%	2	0	2	1	0	3	0	2	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 27	20.3	5	63%	2	1	1	1	3	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Nick Smith Jr. #20 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 22	16.0	8	100%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	10.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Drew Timme #17 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Mañon #30 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Soreness
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar Back; Strain
Adou Thiero #1 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right MCL; Sprain
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	68%	42	26	9	4	20	21	6	36	27-31	87%	34-45	76%	11-32	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	LAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.16 58.2%

LAL

1.36 68.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

74%

LAL

95%

Midrange

MEM

48%

LAL

58%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

21.0

33%

50%

LAL

16.5

34%

52%

Free Throws

MEM

65%

LAL

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jackson	25	78%	12.5 / 16
K. Caldwell-Pope	20	91%	10.0 / 11
J. Morant	16	42%	8.0 / 19
S. Aldama	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Landale	14	78%	7.0 / 9
G. Jackson	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. Wells	6	27%	3.0 / 11
C. Coward	5	25%	2.5 / 10
C. Spencer	5	83%	2.5 / 3
C. Koloko	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Dončić	34	63%	17.0 / 27
L. James	31	74%	15.5 / 21
J. LaRavia	21	81%	10.5 / 13
M. Smart	13	72%	6.5 / 9
J. Hayes	12	86%	6.0 / 7
N. Smith	8	100%	4.0 / 4
J. Vanderbilt	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Ayton	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Knecht	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 112.4 10 117.1	MEM 115.2 LAL 120.8 +5.5
Pace	7 101.8 21 99.2	MEM 115.4 +18.2 LAL 97.2
Avg. Poss. Time	26 13.8 6 14.8	MEM 12.5 −2.3 LAL 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.3% 2 57.3%	MEM 55.2% LAL 65.6% +10.4%
TO %	22 14.3% 19 13.9%	MEM 12.4% −5.7% LAL 18.1%
ORB %	19 24.7% 22 23.9%	MEM 18.2% LAL 18.8% +0.6%
FTrt	21 25.1 1 32.0	MEM 24.0 LAL 40.3 +16.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 67.4% 19 61.5%	MEM 69.6% +11.8% LAL 57.8%
STL %	11 8.7% 12 8.6%	MEM 9.5% +1.0% LAL 8.5%
BLK %	14 9.1% 23 8.3%	MEM 4.4% LAL 7.4% +3.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.8% 2 59.4%	MEM 58.2% LAL 68.1% +9.9%
Rim FG%	26 62.8% 1 72.0%	MEM 73.9% LAL 95.2% +21.3%
Mid FG%	11 44.2% 4 46.8%	MEM 48.4% LAL 58.3% +9.9%
3P %	22 35.3% 14 35.9%	MEM 33.3% LAL 34.4% +1.1%
FT %	9 79.3% 26 76.3%	MEM 65.2% LAL 87.1% +21.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 28.6% 21 30.7%	MEM 24.0% LAL 27.3% +3.3%
Mid Att. %	19 27.8% 26 30.0%	MEM 32.3% LAL 31.2% −1.1%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 22 39.4%	MEM 43.8% +2.2% LAL 41.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.16 and 3.16.

Game Totals	MEM	LAL
Possessions	105	106
Possession Minutes	21.8	26.2
Points	121	128
Rebounds	34	42
Assists	32	26
Steals	10	9
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	20 (0)
Fouls	20	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (7)	6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (0)	36 (5)
Field Goals	46-96	45-77
At-the-Rim FG	17-23	20-21
Midrange FG	15-31	14-24
2-Point FG	32-54	34-45
3-Point FG	14-42	11-32
Free Throws	15-23	27-31
Fast Break Pts	18	8
2nd Chance Pts	10	13
Points in Paint	60	68
Pts off Turnovers	27	18
Bench Points	66	25
Biggest Lead	3	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg