Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, January 7, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Raptors | 55% | 115 | 97 |
 | 17 | Hornets | 45% | 113 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Bulls | 31% | 108 | 93 |
 | 16 | Pistons | 69% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 2 | Celtics | 77% | 121 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Pelicans | 17% | 111 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Magic | 43% | 111 | 104 |
 | 21 | Nets | 57% | 114 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Knicks | 63% | 115 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Thunder | 92% | 127 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Lakers | 26% | 111 | 91 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Bucks | 33% | 111 | 113 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, January 6, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 70% | 119 | 112 |
| 29 | Wizards | 30% | 112 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 65% | 120 | 105 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 35% | 115 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Heat | 40% | 114 | 94 |
 | 7 | Timberwolves | 60% | 117 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Lakers | 60% | 119 | 111 |
| 27 | Pelicans | 40% | 116 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Mavericks | 68% | 117 | 100 |
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Monday, January 5, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 57% | 114 | 90 |
| 10 | Pistons | 43% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 18% | 112 | 101 |
| 2 | Celtics | 82% | 123 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 49% | 115 | 100 |
| 15 | Raptors | 51% | 116 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 27% | 107 | 97 |
| 4 | Rockets | 73% | 115 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 15% | 108 | 124 |
| 1 | Thunder | 85% | 121 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nuggets | 12% | 104 | 125 |
| 6 | 76ers | 88% | 119 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 67% | 112 | 102 |
| 19 | Clippers | 33% | 107 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 39% | 118 | 117 |
| 23 | Blazers | 61% | 121 | 137 |
Sunday, January 4, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 38% | 113 | 114 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 62% | 117 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 35% | 110 | 127 |
| 18 | Magic | 65% | 114 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nuggets | 60% | 116 | 115 |
| 26 | Nets | 40% | 112 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pelicans | 26% | 114 | 106 |
| 10 | Heat | 74% | 122 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 73% | 120 | 141 |
| 30 | Wizards | 27% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 76% | 116 | 105 |
| 13 | Suns | 24% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bucks | 69% | 117 | 115 |
| 29 | Kings | 31% | 111 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 47% | 116 | 114 |
| 16 | Lakers | 53% | 117 | 120 |
Saturday, January 3, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 49% | 115 | 125 |
| 9 | Heat | 51% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 76ers | 43% | 115 | 130 |
| 5 | Knicks | 57% | 117 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 41% | 112 | 117 |
| 16 | Raptors | 59% | 115 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 51% | 121 | 112 |
| 23 | Bulls | 49% | 120 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Blazers | 28% | 113 | 115 |
| 10 | Spurs | 72% | 120 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 72% | 116 | 104 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 28% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 18% | 114 | 114 |
| 3 | Warriors | 82% | 126 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 59% | 114 | 146 |
| 13 | Clippers | 41% | 111 | 115 |
Friday, January 2, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | 67% | 119 | 123 |
| 23 | Pacers | 33% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 39% | 110 | 99 |
| 27 | Wizards | 61% | 114 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nuggets | 22% | 113 | 108 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 78% | 123 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 39% | 116 | 111 |
| 8 | Knicks | 61% | 119 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 62% | 117 | 114 |
| 22 | Bulls | 38% | 114 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 36% | 115 | 121 |
| 10 | Bucks | 64% | 119 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Blazers | 61% | 118 | 122 |
| 30 | Pelicans | 39% | 114 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 19% | 107 | 102 |
| 11 | Suns | 81% | 118 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 78% | 114 | 131 |
| 18 | Warriors | 22% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 49% | 116 | 121 |
| 19 | Lakers | 51% | 117 | 128 |
Thursday, January 1, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 83% | 115 | 120 |
| 26 | Nets | 17% | 103 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 41% | 112 | 118 |
| 7 | Pistons | 59% | 115 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 76ers | 60% | 116 | 123 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 40% | 112 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 82% | 120 | 120 |
| 28 | Kings | 18% | 108 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 14% | 107 | 101 |
| 11 | Clippers | 86% | 121 | 118 |
Wednesday, December 31, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 70% | 118 | 132 |
| 21 | Hornets | 30% | 111 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 59% | 117 | 102 |
| 17 | Hawks | 41% | 114 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 64% | 115 | 112 |
| 23 | Pacers | 36% | 110 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 31% | 112 | 113 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 69% | 119 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | 47% | 120 | 118 |
| 24 | Bulls | 53% | 121 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 44% | 116 | 132 |
| 8 | Spurs | 56% | 118 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nuggets | 34% | 111 | 106 |
| 16 | Raptors | 66% | 116 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 23% | 111 | 114 |
| 15 | Bucks | 77% | 120 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Blazers | 11% | 105 | 95 |
| 1 | Thunder | 89% | 121 | 124 |
Tuesday, December 30, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 53% | 116 | 139 |
| 18 | Grizzlies | 47% | 115 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 77% | 124 | 129 |
| 26 | Jazz | 23% | 115 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pistons | 60% | 115 | 128 |
| 19 | Lakers | 40% | 112 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 25% | 107 | 90 |
| 11 | Clippers | 75% | 116 | 131 |
Monday, December 29, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bucks | 52% | 115 | 123 |
| 23 | Hornets | 48% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | 78% | 120 | 115 |
| 30 | Wizards | 22% | 110 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 65% | 116 | 120 |
| 20 | Nets | 35% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 51% | 120 | 123 |
| 13 | Heat | 49% | 119 | 147 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Magic | 51% | 111 | 106 |
| 18 | Raptors | 49% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 62% | 121 | 136 |
| 16 | Bulls | 38% | 117 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 20% | 104 | 119 |
| 5 | Rockets | 80% | 115 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 73% | 123 | 130 |
| 27 | Pelicans | 27% | 115 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hawks | 13% | 105 | 129 |
| 1 | Thunder | 87% | 119 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 41% | 118 | 113 |
| 4 | Spurs | 59% | 121 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Mavericks | 46% | 114 | 122 |
| 22 | Blazers | 54% | 116 | 125 |
Sunday, December 28, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 65% | 115 | 127 |
| 17 | Raptors | 35% | 110 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 14% | 104 | 104 |
| 1 | Thunder | 86% | 118 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | 70% | 121 | 112 |
| 29 | Wizards | 30% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 69% | 118 | 108 |
| 24 | Blazers | 31% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pistons | 55% | 112 | 99 |
| 13 | Clippers | 45% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 23% | 109 | 101 |
| 19 | Lakers | 77% | 119 | 125 |
Saturday, December 27, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Mavericks | 58% | 114 | 107 |
| 30 | Kings | 42% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 64% | 119 | 126 |
| 21 | Magic | 36% | 114 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 56% | 116 | 123 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 44% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | 60% | 120 | 128 |
| 12 | Hawks | 40% | 117 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 32% | 110 | 116 |
| 14 | Heat | 68% | 117 | 142 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 42% | 117 | 112 |
| 17 | Bulls | 58% | 119 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 45% | 113 | 100 |
| 6 | Rockets | 55% | 115 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 19% | 107 | 123 |
| 4 | Timberwolves | 81% | 119 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 14% | 114 | 127 |
| 8 | Spurs | 86% | 128 | 114 |
Friday, December 26, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 41% | 117 | 126 |
| 12 | Hawks | 59% | 120 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 41% | 113 | 120 |
| 20 | Magic | 59% | 116 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 70% | 117 | 117 |
| 29 | Wizards | 30% | 110 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 71% | 114 | 140 |
| 24 | Pacers | 29% | 107 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 57% | 121 | 102 |
| 17 | Bulls | 43% | 118 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 35% | 112 | 104 |
| 15 | Grizzlies | 65% | 117 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 61% | 117 | 115 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 39% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pistons | 73% | 123 | 129 |
| 28 | Jazz | 27% | 115 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | 55% | 114 | 119 |
| 22 | Blazers | 45% | 112 | 103 |
Thursday, December 25, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 43% | 117 | 124 |
| 6 | Knicks | 57% | 120 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | 23% | 109 | 117 |
| 1 | Thunder | 77% | 119 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 22% | 109 | 116 |
| 2 | Warriors | 78% | 119 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 59% | 115 | 119 |
| 11 | Lakers | 41% | 112 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 54% | 118 | 138 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 46% | 117 | 142 |