Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, January 4, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Timberwolves	73%	120	141	134.3	105	102.7
	29	Wizards	27%	112	115	109.5	105	107.5

Prediction updated: Jan 4, 2026 11:01 PM

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+20

-14

111

WAS

+12

-19

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.27 63.5%

WAS

1.17 58.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

6 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	30.2	35	80%	6	3	4	0	4	2	0	6	1-4	25%	8-11	73%	6-10	60%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 34	29.3	18	82%	14	0	0	4	1	0	6	8	2-2	100%	8-10	80%	0-0	-
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	25.3	22	65%	3	4	0	0	0	3	2	1	3-5	60%	8-12	67%	1-3	33%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 29	22.6	5	25%	4	3	3	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-9	11%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	21.9	12	86%	5	5	3	0	1	4	1	4	6-6	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	27.6	12	75%	2	3	3	1	0	0	2	0	4-5	80%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	20.1	9	50%	7	3	0	1	1	0	2	5	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	15.4	7	58%	2	5	0	0	1	3	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	12.9	7	88%	2	3	0	0	1	0	2	0	1-1	100%	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	10.5	6	43%	3	0	1	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Johnny Juzang #9 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 25	8.6	6	60%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	8.4	2	100%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	7.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Abductor Hallucis Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	141	64%	51	29	14	6	14	17	17	34	20-27	74%	44-61	72%	11-37	30%

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6 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	30.2	35	80%	6	3	4	0	4	2	0	6	1-4	25%	8-11	73%	6-10	60%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 34	29.3	18	82%	14	0	0	4	1	0	6	8	2-2	100%	8-10	80%	0-0	-
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	25.3	22	65%	3	4	0	0	0	3	2	1	3-5	60%	8-12	67%	1-3	33%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 29	22.6	5	25%	4	3	3	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-9	11%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	21.9	12	86%	5	5	3	0	1	4	1	4	6-6	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	27.6	12	75%	2	3	3	1	0	0	2	0	4-5	80%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	20.1	9	50%	7	3	0	1	1	0	2	5	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	15.4	7	58%	2	5	0	0	1	3	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	12.9	7	88%	2	3	0	0	1	0	2	0	1-1	100%	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	10.5	6	43%	3	0	1	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Johnny Juzang #9 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 25	8.6	6	60%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	8.4	2	100%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	7.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Abductor Hallucis Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	141	64%	51	29	14	6	14	17	17	34	20-27	74%	44-61	72%	11-37	30%

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29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	27.6	6	50%	4	1	0	2	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	27.0	13	46%	3	3	1	0	2	3	0	3	6-6	100%	2-6	33%	1-5	20%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	26.0	7	35%	3	4	1	0	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-8	25%	1-2	50%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	22.2	20	91%	3	2	1	0	3	2	1	2	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	3-4	75%
Khris Middleton #22 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 34	17.9	10	83%	2	1	1	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%

Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	18.1	6	50%	6	0	0	2	0	1	2	4	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	17.4	7	35%	0	4	2	0	1	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-6	17%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	13.8	6	100%	3	0	0	0	3	4	1	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	13.5	6	75%	3	0	1	0	3	0	1	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	13.3	8	67%	2	2	0	1	1	0	1	1	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	12.9	5	50%	2	4	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 23	7.0	4	67%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	5.2	4	100%	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder: DVT
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	59%	35	21	9	5	19	20	9	26	17-19	89%	31-52	60%	12-36	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.27 63.5%

WAS

1.17 58.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

87%

WAS

74%

Midrange

MIN

48%

WAS

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

16.5

30%

45%

WAS

18.0

33%

50%

Free Throws

MIN

74%

WAS

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	35	80%	17.5 / 22
J. Randle	22	65%	11.0 / 17
R. Gobert	18	82%	9.0 / 11
J. McDaniels	12	86%	6.0 / 7
J. Clark	12	75%	6.0 / 8
N. Reid	9	50%	4.5 / 9
B. Hyland	7	58%	3.5 / 6
M. Conley	7	88%	3.5 / 4
L. Miller	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Juzang	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. DiVincenzo	5	25%	2.5 / 10
J. Ingles	2	100%	1.0 / 1
R. Dillingham	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. McCollum	20	91%	10.0 / 11
T. Johnson	13	46%	6.5 / 14
C. Kispert	13	72%	6.5 / 9
K. Middleton	10	83%	5.0 / 6
T. Vukcevic	8	67%	4.0 / 6
A. Sarr	7	35%	3.5 / 10
B. Carrington	7	35%	3.5 / 10
B. Coulibaly	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Champagnie	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Bagley	6	100%	3.0 / 3
W. Riley	6	75%	3.0 / 4
A. Johnson	5	50%	2.5 / 5
M. Branham	4	67%	2.0 / 3
A. Gill	4	100%	2.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 115.7 29 109.7	MIN 134.3 +24.8 WAS 109.5
Pace	9 101.4 5 102.5	MIN 102.7 WAS 107.5 +4.8
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 23 14.0	MIN 14.0 WAS 13.4 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 55.9% 21 53.5%	MIN 61.7% +6.0% WAS 55.7%
TO %	18 13.9% 26 14.7%	MIN 11.3% −5.2% WAS 16.5%
ORB %	15 25.7% 21 24.0%	MIN 39.5% +18.6% WAS 20.9%
FTrt	7 28.5 26 23.5	MIN 27.6 +6.0 WAS 21.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	21 61.2% 24 59.9%	MIN 52.7% +3.9% WAS 48.8%
STL %	13 8.6% 22 7.8%	MIN 13.3% +4.7% WAS 8.6%
BLK %	6 10.4% 9 10.0%	MIN 11.5% +3.3% WAS 8.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 57.6% 26 55.4%	MIN 63.5% +4.8% WAS 58.7%
Rim FG%	10 65.7% 15 64.7%	MIN 86.8% +12.7% WAS 74.1%
Mid FG%	14 43.7% 26 41.3%	MIN 47.8% +3.8% WAS 44.0%
3P %	6 37.0% 16 35.9%	MIN 29.7% WAS 33.3% +3.6%
FT %	29 75.2% 23 76.6%	MIN 74.1% WAS 89.5% +15.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 33.0% 22 30.6%	MIN 38.8% +8.1% WAS 30.7%
Mid Att. %	10 25.0% 25 29.1%	MIN 23.5% −4.9% WAS 28.4%
3P Att. %	16 42.0% 20 40.3%	MIN 37.8% WAS 40.9% +3.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	WAS
Possessions	105	105
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	141	115
Rebounds	51	35
Assists	29	21
Steals	14	9
Blocks	6	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	19 (0)
Fouls	17	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (3)	9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (1)	26 (1)
Field Goals	55-98	43-88
At-the-Rim FG	33-38	20-27
Midrange FG	11-23	11-25
2-Point FG	44-61	31-52
3-Point FG	11-37	12-36
Free Throws	20-27	17-19
Fast Break Pts	19	21
2nd Chance Pts	25	15
Points in Paint	76	48
Pts off Turnovers	26	13
Bench Points	49	59
Biggest Lead	37	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg