Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, January 6, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Magic	70%	119	112	105.7	106	103.9
	29	Wizards	30%	112	120	112.1	107	109.2

Prediction updated: Jan 6, 2026 11:31 PM

Scoring Opportunities

ORL

+16

-19

103

WAS

+15

-14

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.09 54.4%

WAS

1.12 56.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · SF · 6'10" 250 · 23	24.5	14	58%	4	4	0	0	4	2	0	4	3-5	60%	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Desmond Bane #3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	23.6	15	68%	2	3	0	0	4	2	0	2	4-6	67%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Tristan da Silva #23 · PF · 6'8" 217 · 25	21.9	13	72%	1	1	2	0	2	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-4	75%
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 22	20.5	6	30%	5	4	0	1	4	3	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-5	0%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 27	19.6	2	17%	7	3	0	0	1	3	1	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%

Tyus Jones #2 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	27.5	3	21%	3	5	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-6	17%
Noah Penda #93 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 21	26.9	10	56%	4	2	4	1	2	1	1	3	1-4	25%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Jase Richardson #11 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 20	25.7	20	77%	3	3	0	0	2	1	1	2	3-3	100%	4-8	50%	3-4	75%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	20.2	10	71%	5	0	0	0	0	5	3	2	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	15.7	10	42%	6	3	0	0	0	3	3	3	4-5	80%	0-7	0%	2-3	67%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	11.7	9	75%	8	0	1	2	0	2	3	5	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 27	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Orlando Robinson #7 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Recovery
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left High Ankle; Sprain
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; MCL Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	54%	48	28	8	4	19	23	13	35	16-24	67%	30-59	51%	12-33	36%

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18 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · SF · 6'10" 250 · 23	24.5	14	58%	4	4	0	0	4	2	0	4	3-5	60%	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Desmond Bane #3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	23.6	15	68%	2	3	0	0	4	2	0	2	4-6	67%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Tristan da Silva #23 · PF · 6'8" 217 · 25	21.9	13	72%	1	1	2	0	2	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-4	75%
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 22	20.5	6	30%	5	4	0	1	4	3	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-5	0%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 27	19.6	2	17%	7	3	0	0	1	3	1	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%

Tyus Jones #2 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	27.5	3	21%	3	5	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-6	17%
Noah Penda #93 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 21	26.9	10	56%	4	2	4	1	2	1	1	3	1-4	25%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Jase Richardson #11 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 20	25.7	20	77%	3	3	0	0	2	1	1	2	3-3	100%	4-8	50%	3-4	75%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	20.2	10	71%	5	0	0	0	0	5	3	2	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	15.7	10	42%	6	3	0	0	0	3	3	3	4-5	80%	0-7	0%	2-3	67%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	11.7	9	75%	8	0	1	2	0	2	3	5	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 27	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Orlando Robinson #7 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Recovery
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left High Ankle; Sprain
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; MCL Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	54%	48	28	8	4	19	23	13	35	16-24	67%	30-59	51%	12-33	36%

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29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	38.2	27	68%	6	5	0	0	2	3	2	4	2-2	100%	8-12	67%	3-7	43%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 21	34.0	14	64%	8	3	5	0	2	3	3	5	5-6	83%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	30.9	23	68%	8	2	1	4	1	0	1	7	7-7	100%	5-9	56%	2-5	40%
Khris Middleton #22 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 34	22.6	11	42%	7	3	1	0	2	2	3	4	6-6	100%	1-5	20%	1-5	20%
Tre Johnson #12 · SF · 6'5" 190 · 20	22.5	6	38%	2	5	2	0	2	4	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-4	0%

Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	31.0	6	33%	5	4	1	2	1	1	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-4	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	22.2	17	106%	3	3	0	2	1	5	2	1	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	4-5	80%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	17.1	12	60%	3	0	2	1	2	2	0	3	8-8	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	12.3	4	40%	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	6.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 23	2.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury Management
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	56%	46	25	12	9	14	25	11	35	31-33	94%	28-52	54%	11-34	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	WAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.09 54.4%

WAS

1.12 56.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

62%

WAS

52%

Midrange

ORL

42%

WAS

55%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

18.0

36%

55%

WAS

16.5

32%

49%

Free Throws

ORL

67%

WAS

94%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Richardson	20	77%	10.0 / 13
D. Bane	15	68%	7.5 / 11
P. Banchero	14	58%	7.0 / 12
T. da Silva	13	72%	6.5 / 9
N. Penda	10	56%	5.0 / 9
G. Bitadze	10	71%	5.0 / 7
J. Howard	10	42%	5.0 / 12
J. Isaac	9	75%	4.5 / 6
A. Black	6	30%	3.0 / 10
T. Jones	3	21%	1.5 / 7
W. Carter	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. McCollum	27	68%	13.5 / 20
A. Sarr	23	68%	11.5 / 17
J. Champagnie	17	106%	8.5 / 8
B. Coulibaly	14	64%	7.0 / 11
M. Bagley	12	60%	6.0 / 10
K. Middleton	11	42%	5.5 / 13
T. Johnson	6	38%	3.0 / 8
B. Carrington	6	33%	3.0 / 9
W. Riley	4	40%	2.0 / 5
A. Johnson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.3 29 109.7	ORL 105.7 WAS 112.1 +6.5
Pace	14 100.5 5 102.5	ORL 103.9 WAS 109.2 +5.3
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.2 23 14.0	ORL 13.9 WAS 13.2 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 53.0% 21 53.5%	ORL 52.2% +0.5% WAS 51.7%
TO %	12 13.5% 26 14.7%	ORL 15.6% WAS 13.0% −2.6%
ORB %	18 25.0% 21 24.0%	ORL 27.1% +3.2% WAS 23.9%
FTrt	2 31.1 26 23.5	ORL 26.1 WAS 38.4 +12.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 64.7% 24 59.9%	ORL 66.7% +2.6% WAS 64.1%
STL %	16 8.4% 22 7.8%	ORL 7.5% WAS 11.2% +3.7%
BLK %	17 8.8% 9 10.0%	ORL 7.7% WAS 15.3% +7.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 56.3% 26 55.4%	ORL 54.4% WAS 56.1% +1.7%
Rim FG%	24 63.0% 15 64.7%	ORL 61.5% +9.1% WAS 52.4%
Mid FG%	24 41.5% 26 41.3%	ORL 42.4% WAS 54.8% +12.4%
3P %	27 34.3% 16 35.9%	ORL 36.4% +4.0% WAS 32.4%
FT %	8 80.1% 23 76.6%	ORL 66.7% WAS 93.9% +27.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 35.7% 22 30.6%	ORL 28.3% +3.8% WAS 24.4%
Mid Att. %	12 25.7% 25 29.1%	ORL 35.9% −0.2% WAS 36.0%
3P Att. %	24 38.6% 20 40.3%	ORL 35.9% WAS 39.5% +3.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ORL	WAS
Possessions	106	107
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	112	120
Rebounds	48	46
Assists	28	25
Steals	8	12
Blocks	4	9
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls	23	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (0)	35 (2)
Field Goals	42-92	39-86
At-the-Rim FG	16-26	11-21
Midrange FG	14-33	17-31
2-Point FG	30-59	28-52
3-Point FG	12-33	11-34
Free Throws	16-24	31-33
Fast Break Pts	15	22
2nd Chance Pts	18	12
Points in Paint	56	40
Pts off Turnovers	17	29
Bench Points	62	39
Biggest Lead	3	26

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg