Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 7, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Wizards	10%	107	110	106.8	103	94.9
	9	76ers	90%	124	131	128.4	102	111.5

Prediction updated: Jan 8, 2026 12:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+15

-22

PHI

-10

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.16 57.9%

PHI

1.31 65.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	39.6	18	75%	3	7	0	0	6	5	0	3	3-3	100%	0-1	0%	5-10	50%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	28.1	20	71%	5	3	1	0	3	2	1	4	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	2-6	33%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	28.0	18	60%	1	2	0	0	1	5	0	1	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	2-5	40%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	26.8	15	83%	7	3	2	1	4	2	2	5	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	1-1	100%
Justin Champagnie #9 · PF · 6'6" 206 · 25	25.4	6	43%	5	2	1	1	2	3	2	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-2	0%

Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 23	31.3	8	36%	4	8	3	1	2	2	1	3	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	20.0	8	100%	4	0	0	1	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	19.7	6	33%	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	16.4	9	45%	9	1	0	1	1	0	5	4	0-0	-	3-8	38%	1-2	50%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	4.8	2	100%	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring, Injury Management
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee, Injury Management
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	58%	42	29	7	6	22	20	11	31	11-11	100%	30-54	56%	13-33	39%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	39.6	18	75%	3	7	0	0	6	5	0	3	3-3	100%	0-1	0%	5-10	50%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	28.1	20	71%	5	3	1	0	3	2	1	4	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	2-6	33%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	28.0	18	60%	1	2	0	0	1	5	0	1	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	2-5	40%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	26.8	15	83%	7	3	2	1	4	2	2	5	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	1-1	100%
Justin Champagnie #9 · PF · 6'6" 206 · 25	25.4	6	43%	5	2	1	1	2	3	2	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-2	0%

Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 23	31.3	8	36%	4	8	3	1	2	2	1	3	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	20.0	8	100%	4	0	0	1	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	19.7	6	33%	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	16.4	9	45%	9	1	0	1	1	0	5	4	0-0	-	3-8	38%	1-2	50%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	4.8	2	100%	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring, Injury Management
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee, Injury Management
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	58%	42	29	7	6	22	20	11	31	11-11	100%	30-54	56%	13-33	39%

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9 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
VJ Edgecombe #77 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	35.4	13	43%	6	7	5	0	2	3	0	6	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	1-6	17%
Paul George #8 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 36	32.9	23	82%	4	5	2	1	1	0	0	4	5-6	83%	3-3	100%	4-8	50%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	28.4	22	73%	3	8	2	1	2	1	0	3	0-1	0%	5-5	100%	4-10	40%
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 32	25.4	28	78%	7	2	0	2	2	3	0	7	7-8	88%	9-12	75%	1-2	50%
Dominick Barlow #25 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 23	23.2	11	92%	6	2	0	0	1	0	4	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-1	100%

Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 26	26.3	16	73%	1	1	2	0	2	1	1	0	5-5	100%	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	20.3	2	25%	3	1	2	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 32	12.4	11	69%	4	1	2	1	0	1	2	2	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Jared McCain #20 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	10.7	2	25%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	10.2	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Justin Edwards #11 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	6.0	1	25%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Trendon Watford #12 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	4.8	0	0%	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jabari Walker #33 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	4.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johni Broome #22 · PF · 6'9" 244 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
MarJon Beauchamp #16 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	66%	34	30	15	5	10	11	7	27	27-32	84%	31-47	66%	14-37	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	PHI
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	PHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.16 57.9%

PHI

1.31 65.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

63%

PHI

63%

Midrange

WAS

38%

PHI

71%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

19.5

39%

59%

PHI

21.0

38%

57%

Free Throws

WAS

100%

PHI

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Johnson	20	71%	10.0 / 14
B. Carrington	18	75%	9.0 / 12
B. Coulibaly	18	60%	9.0 / 15
A. Sarr	15	83%	7.5 / 9
M. Bagley	9	45%	4.5 / 10
M. Branham	8	36%	4.0 / 11
A. Gill	8	100%	4.0 / 4
J. Champagnie	6	43%	3.0 / 7
A. Johnson	6	33%	3.0 / 9
T. Vukcevic	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Embiid	28	78%	14.0 / 18
P. George	23	82%	11.5 / 14
T. Maxey	22	73%	11.0 / 15
Q. Grimes	16	73%	8.0 / 11
V. Edgecombe	13	43%	6.5 / 15
D. Barlow	11	92%	5.5 / 6
A. Drummond	11	69%	5.5 / 8
K. Oubre	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. McCain	2	25%	1.0 / 4
A. Bona	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Edwards	1	25%	0.5 / 2
J. Walker	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 109.7 16 114.4	WAS 106.8 PHI 128.4 +21.6
Pace	5 102.5 16 100.3	WAS 94.9 PHI 111.5 +16.5
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 11 14.6	WAS 15.2 PHI 12.9 −2.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.5% 25 53.0%	WAS 56.9% PHI 61.9% +5.0%
TO %	26 14.7% 6 12.8%	WAS 19.3% PHI 9.3% −10.0%
ORB %	21 24.0% 11 26.2%	WAS 28.9% +10.5% PHI 18.4%
FTrt	26 23.5 11 27.5	WAS 12.6 PHI 38.1 +25.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 59.9% 28 58.9%	WAS 67.4% +0.7% PHI 66.7%
STL %	22 7.8% 7 9.0%	WAS 6.8% PHI 14.7% +7.9%
BLK %	9 10.0% 3 10.9%	WAS 12.8% +3.5% PHI 9.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 55.4% 21 55.9%	WAS 57.9% PHI 65.5% +7.6%
Rim FG%	15 64.7% 27 62.1%	WAS 63.2% PHI 63.3% +0.1%
Mid FG%	26 41.3% 23 41.8%	WAS 37.5% PHI 70.6% +33.1%
3P %	16 35.9% 23 34.9%	WAS 39.4% +1.6% PHI 37.8%
FT %	23 76.6% 4 80.9%	WAS 100.0% +15.6% PHI 84.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.6% 6 35.0%	WAS 43.7% +8.0% PHI 35.7%
Mid Att. %	25 29.1% 13 25.9%	WAS 18.4% −1.8% PHI 20.2%
3P Att. %	20 40.3% 23 39.1%	WAS 37.9% PHI 44.0% +6.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	PHI
Possessions	103	102
Possession Minutes	26.0	22.0
Points	110	131
Rebounds	42	34
Assists	29	30
Steals	7	15
Blocks	6	5
Turnovers (Team)	22 (0)	10 (0)
Fouls	20	11
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (4)	7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (1)	27 (3)
Field Goals	43-87	45-84
At-the-Rim FG	24-38	19-30
Midrange FG	6-16	12-17
2-Point FG	30-54	31-47
3-Point FG	13-33	14-37
Free Throws	11-11	27-32
Fast Break Pts	15	21
2nd Chance Pts	11	13
Points in Paint	52	48
Pts off Turnovers	7	25
Bench Points	33	34
Biggest Lead	5	24

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg