Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 2, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Hawks	39%	116	111	106.7	104	115.1
	9	Knicks	61%	119	99	95.2	104	94.8

Prediction updated: Jan 3, 2026 12:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+10

-13

101

NYK

+20

-14

110

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.10 55.0%

NYK

0.90 45.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	38.0	18	56%	10	11	2	0	4	1	1	9	3-6	50%	6-11	55%	1-3	33%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	37.5	11	61%	6	8	2	0	2	3	1	5	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 27	34.3	23	52%	4	3	2	0	1	2	0	4	2-4	50%	6-10	60%	3-10	30%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	29.8	23	64%	9	2	3	2	2	4	2	7	2-4	50%	6-10	60%	3-6	50%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	22.3	12	67%	5	1	0	0	0	3	2	3	3-5	60%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%

Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 26	29.1	8	50%	4	1	1	0	1	3	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Luke Kennard #3 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 30	20.7	12	100%	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-3	67%
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30	17.3	4	22%	8	2	2	0	2	4	1	7	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	0-3	0%
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	11.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Contusion
Nikola Đurišić #22 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Malik Williams #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
RayJ Dennis #4 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
N'Faly Dante #12 · C · 6'11" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Torn ACL
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	55%	49	31	12	2	13	21	9	40	15-25	60%	30-52	58%	12-36	33%

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15 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	38.0	18	56%	10	11	2	0	4	1	1	9	3-6	50%	6-11	55%	1-3	33%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	37.5	11	61%	6	8	2	0	2	3	1	5	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 27	34.3	23	52%	4	3	2	0	1	2	0	4	2-4	50%	6-10	60%	3-10	30%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	29.8	23	64%	9	2	3	2	2	4	2	7	2-4	50%	6-10	60%	3-6	50%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	22.3	12	67%	5	1	0	0	0	3	2	3	3-5	60%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%

Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 26	29.1	8	50%	4	1	1	0	1	3	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Luke Kennard #3 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 30	20.7	12	100%	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-3	67%
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30	17.3	4	22%	8	2	2	0	2	4	1	7	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	0-3	0%
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	11.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Contusion
Nikola Đurišić #22 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Malik Williams #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
RayJ Dennis #4 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
N'Faly Dante #12 · C · 6'11" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Torn ACL
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	55%	49	31	12	2	13	21	9	40	15-25	60%	30-52	58%	12-36	33%

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9 New York Knicks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Mikal Bridges #25 · PF · 6'6" 209 · 29	35.1	18	45%	5	5	2	0	1	1	1	4	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	3-11	27%
OG Anunoby #8 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 28	35.0	19	53%	10	1	2	0	3	4	2	8	8-10	80%	4-7	57%	1-6	17%
Jalen Brunson #11 · SG · 6'2" 190 · 29	34.9	24	50%	2	5	1	0	2	3	0	2	3-3	100%	9-16	56%	1-7	14%
Miles McBride #2 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 25	30.7	11	39%	1	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	3-10	30%
Ariel Hukporti #55 · C · 7'0" 246 · 24	28.4	8	67%	16	4	1	4	1	2	6	10	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Tyler Kolek #13 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 25	17.2	6	60%	3	1	0	0	3	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Kevin McCullar Jr. #9 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 25	16.6	0	0%	5	6	0	0	0	4	2	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 30	15.0	8	67%	4	1	0	0	2	0	0	4	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 34	13.5	5	31%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
Mohamed Diawara #51 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 21	6.5	0	0%	4	1	1	1	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Trey Jemison III #50 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26	4.6	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Pacôme Dadiet #4 · SG · 6'9" 210 · 20	2.4	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Tosan Evbuomwan #20 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Landry Shamet #44 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
Mitchell Robinson #23 · C · 7'0" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Left Ankle Injury Management
Josh Hart #3 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	45%	52	27	8	6	14	17	14	38	18-21	86%	27-55	49%	9-42	21%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	NYK
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	NYK

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.10 55.0%

NYK

0.90 45.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

68%

NYK

64%

Midrange

ATL

46%

NYK

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

18.0

33%

50%

NYK

13.5

21%

32%

Free Throws

ATL

60%

NYK

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Alexander-Walker	23	52%	11.5 / 22
O. Okongwu	23	64%	11.5 / 18
J. Johnson	18	56%	9.0 / 16
Z. Risacher	12	67%	6.0 / 9
L. Kennard	12	100%	6.0 / 6
D. Daniels	11	61%	5.5 / 9
V. Krejčí	8	50%	4.0 / 8
K. Porziņģis	4	22%	2.0 / 9
A. Newell	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Knicks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Brunson	24	50%	12.0 / 24
O. Anunoby	19	53%	9.5 / 18
M. Bridges	18	45%	9.0 / 20
M. McBride	11	39%	5.5 / 14
A. Hukporti	8	67%	4.0 / 6
G. Yabusele	8	67%	4.0 / 6
T. Kolek	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Clarkson	5	31%	2.5 / 8
K. McCullar	0	-	0.0 / 3
M. Diawara	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 115.1 4 118.7	ATL 106.7 +11.5 NYK 95.2
Pace	4 102.5 25 97.7	ATL 115.1 +20.3 NYK 94.8
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.5 4 15.0	ATL 12.5 −2.7 NYK 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.4% 9 55.7%	ATL 54.5% +12.7% NYK 41.8%
TO %	8 13.0% 9 13.1%	ATL 11.6% −0.8% NYK 12.4%
ORB %	20 24.3% 5 29.3%	ATL 19.1% NYK 25.9% +6.8%
FTrt	27 23.4 25 23.8	ATL 28.4 +6.8 NYK 21.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 69.1% 15 64.3%	ATL 73.8% NYK 75.0% +1.2%
STL %	6 9.1% 18 8.3%	ATL 11.5% +3.8% NYK 7.7%
BLK %	18 8.8% 22 8.3%	ATL 3.6% NYK 11.5% +7.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 56.9% 7 57.6%	ATL 55.0% +10.0% NYK 45.0%
Rim FG%	21 63.3% 14 64.8%	ATL 67.9% +3.9% NYK 64.0%
Mid FG%	6 44.6% 7 44.6%	ATL 45.8% +9.1% NYK 36.7%
3P %	5 37.1% 4 37.3%	ATL 33.3% +11.9% NYK 21.4%
FT %	20 77.4% 10 79.2%	ATL 60.0% NYK 85.7% +25.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 32.1% 18 31.2%	ATL 31.8% +6.0% NYK 25.8%
Mid Att. %	9 25.0% 14 26.1%	ATL 27.3% −3.7% NYK 30.9%
3P Att. %	11 42.9% 12 42.8%	ATL 40.9% NYK 43.3% +2.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	NYK
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	21.7	26.3
Points	111	99
Rebounds	49	52
Assists	31	27
Steals	12	8
Blocks	2	6
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls	21	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (1)	14 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (3)	38 (3)
Field Goals	42-88	36-97
At-the-Rim FG	19-28	16-25
Midrange FG	11-24	11-30
2-Point FG	30-52	27-55
3-Point FG	12-36	9-42
Free Throws	15-25	18-21
Fast Break Pts	27	28
2nd Chance Pts	13	12
Points in Paint	58	46
Pts off Turnovers	12	17
Bench Points	24	19
Biggest Lead	26	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg