Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 2, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Hornets	36%	115	121	124.7	97	96.3
	10	Bucks	64%	119	122	125.8	97	97.7

Prediction updated: Jan 3, 2026 12:57 AM

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+13

-14

MIL

+11

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.26 63.0%

MIL

1.27 63.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

21 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 28	36.6	25	66%	6	2	1	0	3	3	0	6	4-5	80%	3-7	43%	5-10	50%
Kon Knueppel #7 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	33.8	26	72%	4	3	0	0	3	2	1	3	5-7	71%	6-8	75%	3-8	38%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	30.3	19	56%	7	4	0	0	5	4	1	6	3-4	75%	2-8	25%	4-7	57%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	25.9	12	46%	2	7	2	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	2-7	29%
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	18.9	4	40%	8	1	0	2	1	2	5	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Collin Sexton #8 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	27.3	16	73%	0	6	1	0	2	2	0	0	5-6	83%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Sion James #4 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 23	27.2	7	88%	6	3	1	0	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	22.1	12	100%	4	1	0	1	0	3	0	4	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-3	67%
Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	12.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Liam McNeeley #33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20	5.2	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Connaughton #21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - Coaches Decision
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Mason Plumlee #22 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	63%	39	27	5	3	14	18	8	31	23-28	82%	22-42	52%	18-40	45%

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21 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 28	36.6	25	66%	6	2	1	0	3	3	0	6	4-5	80%	3-7	43%	5-10	50%
Kon Knueppel #7 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	33.8	26	72%	4	3	0	0	3	2	1	3	5-7	71%	6-8	75%	3-8	38%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	30.3	19	56%	7	4	0	0	5	4	1	6	3-4	75%	2-8	25%	4-7	57%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	25.9	12	46%	2	7	2	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	2-7	29%
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	18.9	4	40%	8	1	0	2	1	2	5	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Collin Sexton #8 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	27.3	16	73%	0	6	1	0	2	2	0	0	5-6	83%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Sion James #4 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 23	27.2	7	88%	6	3	1	0	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	22.1	12	100%	4	1	0	1	0	3	0	4	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-3	67%
Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	12.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Liam McNeeley #33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20	5.2	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Connaughton #21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - Coaches Decision
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Mason Plumlee #22 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	63%	39	27	5	3	14	18	8	31	23-28	82%	22-42	52%	18-40	45%

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10 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
AJ Green #20 · SF · 6'4" 190 · 26	40.7	12	43%	0	3	1	0	1	4	0	0	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	3-10	30%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 24	37.0	29	112%	4	8	3	1	1	3	1	3	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	6-7	86%
Kevin Porter Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 26	36.0	10	33%	4	10	2	0	1	4	1	3	2-2	100%	4-10	40%	0-4	0%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 31	29.8	30	71%	10	5	1	0	3	1	2	8	8-8	100%	11-18	61%	0-0	-
Myles Turner #3 · C · 6'11" 250 · 30	22.4	1	10%	4	2	0	2	0	1	1	3	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%

Kyle Kuzma #18 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 30	32.0	18	90%	6	1	0	0	2	6	1	5	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	3-5	60%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	22.4	20	83%	6	1	0	1	2	1	2	4	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	4-6	67%
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 27	17.4	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 27	2.3	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Amir Coffey #17 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gary Harris #11 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Mark Sears #19 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Antetokounmpo #29 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Neck; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	64%	36	31	7	4	11	23	8	28	16-18	89%	29-50	58%	16-37	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	MIL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.26 63.0%

MIL

1.27 63.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

67%

MIL

84%

Midrange

CHA

38%

MIL

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

27.0

45%

68%

MIL

24.0

43%

65%

Free Throws

CHA

82%

MIL

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Knueppel	26	72%	13.0 / 18
M. Bridges	25	66%	12.5 / 19
B. Miller	19	56%	9.5 / 17
C. Sexton	16	73%	8.0 / 11
L. Ball	12	46%	6.0 / 13
T. Salaün	12	100%	6.0 / 6
S. James	7	88%	3.5 / 4
P. Hall	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Green	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	30	71%	15.0 / 21
R. Rollins	29	112%	14.5 / 13
B. Portis	20	83%	10.0 / 12
K. Kuzma	18	90%	9.0 / 10
A. Green	12	43%	6.0 / 14
K. Porter	10	33%	5.0 / 15
J. Sims	2	100%	1.0 / 1
M. Turner	1	10%	0.5 / 5
G. Trent	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 118.6 24 112.3	CHA 124.7 MIL 125.8 +1.0
Pace	27 97.5 24 98.1	CHA 96.3 MIL 97.7 +1.4
Avg. Poss. Time	3 15.2 7 14.8	CHA 15.0 MIL 14.7 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.2% 3 56.5%	CHA 59.8% MIL 60.9% +1.1%
TO %	27 14.8% 24 14.7%	CHA 12.9% MIL 10.4% −2.5%
ORB %	4 30.5% 30 21.1%	CHA 22.2% +1.7% MIL 20.5%
FTrt	23 24.4 29 22.3	CHA 34.1 +13.4 MIL 20.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 64.3% 17 63.3%	CHA 67.5% MIL 68.9% +1.4%
STL %	29 7.2% 23 7.5%	CHA 5.2% MIL 7.2% +2.0%
BLK %	20 8.6% 25 8.2%	CHA 6.0% MIL 9.5% +3.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.3% 9 57.5%	CHA 63.0% MIL 63.5% +0.5%
Rim FG%	23 63.1% 4 67.1%	CHA 66.7% MIL 84.0% +17.3%
Mid FG%	25 41.4% 20 42.6%	CHA 38.1% +6.1% MIL 32.0%
3P %	3 37.8% 2 38.7%	CHA 45.0% +1.8% MIL 43.2%
FT %	2 81.8% 30 73.0%	CHA 82.1% MIL 88.9% +6.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 29.3% 27 28.2%	CHA 25.6% MIL 28.7% +3.1%
Mid Att. %	6 22.0% 16 26.1%	CHA 25.6% −3.1% MIL 28.7%
3P Att. %	2 48.7% 5 45.7%	CHA 48.8% +6.3% MIL 42.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Game Totals	CHA	MIL
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	121	122
Rebounds	39	36
Assists	27	31
Steals	5	7
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls	18	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (5)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (1)	28 (4)
Field Goals	40-82	45-87
At-the-Rim FG	14-21	21-25
Midrange FG	8-21	8-25
2-Point FG	22-42	29-50
3-Point FG	18-40	16-37
Free Throws	23-28	16-18
Fast Break Pts	14	16
2nd Chance Pts	14	13
Points in Paint	38	48
Pts off Turnovers	13	13
Bench Points	35	40
Biggest Lead	16	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg